DINESH

Aadhar Housing Finance

Industry: HFCs
Latest CMP 498
Today's Change ▼ -0.99%
52-Week High / Low 556 | 439
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 831
Expected Upside 29.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested
Today's Value
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-3.1%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
726
2-Year Target Price
831
52-Week High / Low
556 / 439
20-Day Return
-2.4%
Market Cap (Cr.)
21,788
Current PE
19.9
P/BV Ratio
2.9
Dividend Yield
Industry PE
15.2

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Aadhar Housing Finance is positioned for sustainable growth, driven by management's strategic focus on expanding into Tier-III and Tier-IV markets, targeting a 20% growth in assets under management (AUM) and profit after tax (PAT). The company's commitment to leveraging AI for operational efficiency and its disciplined execution strategy are expected to enhance margins despite competitive pressures. Management's confidence in maintaining strong asset quality, with gross non-performing assets (GNPA) projected to decline to 1.1% by FY27, supports Vista's forecast of moderate revenue growth and stable margins. The favorable macro environment, characterized by supportive government policies for affordable housing, further underpins the company's growth trajectory. However, the competitive landscape remains a watchpoint, as intensified competition in urban markets could pressure yields. Over the next 12-24 months, Aadhar's focus on emerging markets and branch expansion will be critical in capturing market share and driving profitability. Overall, while the company faces challenges, its strategic initiatives and the structural growth in the affordable housing sector position it well for future success

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's target of 20% AUM and PAT growth reflects confidence in capturing market opportunities
  • Strategic focus on Tier-III and Tier-IV markets enhances growth potential in underserved segments
  • Government support for affordable housing and improving pricing power bolster the company's competitive position

Things To Watch Out For

  • Intensifying competition in urban markets poses risks to margins and yield stability
  • Weak cash conversion relative to the asset base may impact operational flexibility
  • Cautious investor sentiment could affect market perception and share price performance

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Weak Cash Conversion
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,587 3,108 3,673 3,834 4,528
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 960 1,173 1,422 1,874 2,253
PBT Margin 37.1% 37.8% 3871.5% 48.9% 49.8%
Net Profit (Cr.) 742 924 1,110 1,464 1,761
Earnings Per Share 17.0 21.1 25.4 33.5 40.3

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 625 17-Jun-2026
IDBI Capital ▲ Buy 580 03-Aug-2026
Nomura ▲ Buy 615 06-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 602
Coverage 3 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Aadhar Housing Finance's growth is underpinned by a strategic focus on emerging markets and a disciplined execution strategy, targeting significant AUM and disbursement growth. The company's AI-driven initiatives enhance productivity and operational efficiency, while planned branch expansions aim to increase market reach. Despite these positives, the competitive landscape in the affordable housing sector remains a challenge, potentially impacting margins. Management's confidence in maintaining strong asset quality and leveraging recent credit rating upgrades further supports the growth outlook.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Aadhar Housing Finance Limited, a housing finance company, engages in the housing finance business in India. The company offers loans for residential property; plot purchase and construction; home improvement and extension loans; commercial property construction and acquisition; and loans against residential properties. It also provides loans against property; and other property related services. It serves individuals, companies, corporations, societies, and association of persons. The company was formerly known as DHFL Vysya Housing Finance Limited and changed its name to Aadhar Housing Finance Limited in August 2017. Aadhar Housing Finance Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Mumbai, India.