DINESH

Aditya Birla Capital

Industry: NBFC Lending
Latest CMP 381
Today's Change ▲ 0.69%
52-Week High / Low 425 | 292
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 478
Expected Upside 12.0%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 8.4%
1,000 Invested 01-Sep-2017
Today's Value 2,084
Investment Period 9 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+0.5%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
469
2-Year Target Price
478
52-Week High / Low
425 / 292
20-Day Return
-5.3%
Market Cap (Cr.)
104,064
Current PE
28.0
P/BV Ratio
2.9
Dividend Yield
—
Industry PE
23.5

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Aditya Birla Capital (ABCL) is poised for sustained growth, driven by strategic initiatives in digital transformation and a diversified product offering. Management's recent commentary highlights a robust capital base and a focus on higher-margin segments, particularly in life insurance and MSME lending. The merger with Aditya Birla Finance is expected to unlock new growth avenues, enhancing market share and operational efficiencies. Vista's financial outlook reflects stable revenue growth and improving margins, supported by a favorable industry backdrop characterized by increasing demand for gold-backed loans and government initiatives like ECLGS 5.0. However, potential regulatory changes and competitive pressures pose risks to profitability. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include expanding digital capabilities and capturing market share in the health insurance sector, while watchpoints include macroeconomic factors that could impact borrower repayment capacity and margin pressures from heightened competition. Overall, ABCL's strategic focus and market positioning support Vista's positive investment outlook, with an expected upside of approximately 18.6%

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on higher-margin product mixes and digital transformation is expected to enhance profitability
  • The merger with Aditya Birla Finance is anticipated to unlock new growth opportunities and improve operational efficiencies
  • Government initiatives like ECLGS 5.0 are enhancing credit flow to underserved segments, supporting revenue growth

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Potential regulatory changes could impact operational flexibility and profitability
  • High competition among NBFCs may pressure margins and affect growth
  • Macroeconomic factors, including inflation and economic downturns, could impact borrower repayment capacity

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 26,341 30,938 33,891 37,875 41,939
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 4,465 4,815 5,325 6,176 6,776
PBT Margin 17.0% 15.6% 15.7% 16.3% 16.2%
Net Profit (Cr.) 3,356 3,414 4,011 4,634 4,959
Earnings Per Share 11.9 12.2 14.3 16.5 18.1

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Jeffries ▲ Buy 475 23-Aug-2026
BofA ▲ Buy 445 03-Aug-2026
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 470 03-Aug-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 470 03-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 480 03-Aug-2026
Morgan Stanley ▲ Overweight 427 12-Jun-2026
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight 401 08-Jun-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 365 05-May-2026
Kotak Securities ▲ Buy 410 05-May-2026
Macguire ▲ Buy 415 05-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 469
Coverage 10 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Aditya Birla Capital benefits from robust growth in its lending and asset management segments, driven by digital transformation and stable credit costs. Analysts highlight the company's improving asset quality and margins as key factors underpinning their strong buy consensus. While the valuation remains attractive, indicating a positive market perception, the growth potential is considered moderate. Overall, the broad-based momentum across business segments reinforces the positive sentiment.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Aditya Birla Capital Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in India and internationally. It operates through Lending, Housing Finance, Life Insurance, Asset Management, Health Insurance, Stock and Securities Broking, and Other Financial Services segments. The company offers housing loans, such as home extension, renovation, construction, plot and construction, lease rental discounting, and commercial property loans, as well as loan against property; personal and consumer, flexi, secured, unsecured business loan, and corporate loans; gold loan; and SME loans, including line of credit, working capital, machinery and rooftop solar loan, and supply chain financing solutions. It also provides loan against shares, mutual funds, life insurance policies, IPO financings, and promoter fundings; corporate financing, such as project financing and term loans; and payment solutions and credit card products. In addition, it provides life insurance, such as term, retirement, saving, ULIP, children future, wealth protection, group life, general, and pension solutions; health and wellness, and super top-up health insurance plans; and motor insurance comprising bike and car insurances; and travel insurances, as well as pocket insurance, including eye, dental, hospicash, mental health and nutrition, and personal accident insurance. Further, the company offers investment solutions in mutual funds, such as debt, equity, hybrid, retirement, children funds, exchange traded, fund of funds, and index funds; stock and securities, including equity, margin trading facilities, and bonds; fixed deposits; digital gold and silver; forex services; and tax filing and planning. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mumbai, India. Aditya Birla Capital Limited is a subsidiary of Grasim Industries Limited.