DINESH

Aditya Birla Fashion

Latest CMP 56
Today's Change ▼ -1.32%
52-Week High / Low 93 | 54
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 64
Expected Upside 7.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 1.2%
1,000 Invested 17-Jul-2013
Today's Value 1,166
Investment Period 13 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-0.2%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
64
2-Year Target Price
64
52-Week High / Low
93 / 54
20-Day Return
-2.3%
Market Cap (Cr.)
6,833
Current PE
P/BV Ratio
1.2
Dividend Yield
Industry PE
45.0

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Aditya Birla Fashion's recent management commentary highlights a strategic focus on scaling new business formats and refurbishing existing stores, particularly within the Pantaloons and ethnic segments. While revenue growth remains stable, margins are under pressure due to the gestation of new ventures like Galeries Lafayette and TMRW. Vista's financial outlook reflects these dynamics, projecting continued revenue growth but acknowledging margin challenges, with a target price of INR 65.41. The company's commitment to improving store productivity and expanding its ethnic portfolio is expected to drive long-term growth, despite potential demand volatility and geopolitical risks. The consumer discretionary sector's overall positive trajectory, supported by improving consumer spending and strategic trade agreements, provides a favorable backdrop, although inflationary pressures could impact margins. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the successful execution of store expansions and premiumization strategies, while watchpoints include the pace of profitability ramp-up in new formats and the competitive landscape in the ethnic wear market

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong revenue growth in Pantaloons and ethnic segments driven by strategic initiatives
  • Management's focus on improving store-level productivity and expanding the ethnic portfolio
  • Positive industry dynamics with improving consumer spending and pricing power

Things To Watch Out For

  • Margins are under pressure due to the gestation of new business formats
  • Potential demand volatility from geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures
  • Slower-than-anticipated profitability ramp-ups in loss-making formats could hinder growth

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Weak Cash Conversion
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Sell
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 6,441 7,351 8,177 9,184 9,761
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) -1,114 -981 -888 -984 -1,034
PBT Margin -17.3% -13.3% -1086.0% -10.7% -10.6%
Net Profit (Cr.) -930 -845 -931 -738 -775
Earnings Per Share -6.7 -6.3 -7.2 -6.0 -6.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Axis Securities ► Hold 70 27-May-2026
CLSA ► Hold 55 07-Apr-2026
Citigroup ▼ Sell 60 07-Apr-2026
Dolat Capital ▼ Sell 60 26-May-2026
Emkay Global ► Hold 75 01-Jun-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 75 26-May-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Sell 65 11-Aug-2026
Morgan Stanley ▲ Overweight 127 03-Jun-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 60 10-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▼ Sell
Consensus Target 66
Coverage 9 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
ABFRL's high-investment phase prioritizes scaling new business formats and refurbishing brands, driving strong revenue growth in Luxury and Pantaloons segments. However, profitability is pressured by the gestation period of ventures like Galeries Lafayette and TMRW. Key strategic priorities include improving store productivity and growing the ethnic segment despite wedding season volatility. Analysts highlight potential catalysts such as the expected break-even of the Collective and Galeries Lafayette portfolio by 2HFY27 and the transition to FCF positive by FY29.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited manufactures, distributes, and retails fashion apparel and accessories in India and internationally. It operates in Pantaloons and Ethnic & Others segments. The company offers shirts, trousers, denims, t-shirts, dresses, suits and blazers, casuals, ceremonial, and party wear; shorts, joggers, track pants, sweatshirts, jackets, polos, chinos, kurtas and bottom wear, occasion wear, festive ensembles, classic shirts, logo T-shirts, casual pants, lehengas and kurta sets, innerwear, athleisure wear, workwear, tops, sleepwear, crops tops, skirts, jeans, and sportswear; and accessories, as well as footwear, handbags, bed linen, towels, smart table linen, dressy cushion covers, and others. It markets its products under the Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solly, and Peter England brands, as well as The Collective, Ralph Lauren, Hackett London, Ted Baker, and Fred Perry luxury brands; and ethnic wear products under the Sabyasachi, S&N' by Shantnu & Nikhil, Tasva, Tarun Tahiliani, House of Masaba, and Jaypore brands, as well as operates fashion store under the Pantaloons brand name. The company was formerly known as Pantaloons Fashion & Retail Limited and changed its name to Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited in January 2016. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mumbai, India.