DINESH

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone

Industry: Ports
Latest CMP 1,798
Today's Change ▼ -1.30%
52-Week High / Low 1,883 | 1,298
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Hold
Target Price 2,105
Expected Upside 8.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 13.2%
1,000 Invested 27-Nov-2007
Today's Value 10,261
Investment Period 19 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-5.7%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
1,956
2-Year Target Price
2,105
52-Week High / Low
1,883 / 1,298
20-Day Return
+5.4%
Market Cap (Cr.)
414,328
Current PE
31.1
P/BV Ratio
4.3
Dividend Yield
0.5%
Industry PE
41.0

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) is strategically positioned for robust growth, driven by management's ambitious 'Ambition 2031' plan, which targets a significant increase in cargo capacity to 1 billion metric tons by 2030. Recent management commentary highlights a focus on high-margin logistics and marine services, supported by substantial capital investments in technology and infrastructure. The company's diversified cargo mix and international expansion efforts, particularly through partnerships like the one with Terminal Investment Limited, are expected to enhance revenue visibility and operational efficiency. Despite facing short-term volume volatility due to geopolitical disruptions, APSEZ's integrated business model and disciplined capital allocation approach provide a solid foundation for long-term growth. Vista's financial outlook reflects a stable margin environment and a fair valuation, with an expected upside of approximately 14%. However, investors should remain vigilant regarding competitive pricing pressures and potential regulatory challenges that could impact margins. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the ramp-up of the Vizhinjam transshipment hub and further international acquisitions, while headwinds may arise from geopolitical instability and fluctuating trade volumes

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's ambitious capacity expansion plan aims for 1 billion metric tons by 2030, enhancing long-term growth prospects
  • Strategic partnerships, such as with Terminal Investment Limited, are expected to bolster revenue visibility and operational efficiency
  • The integrated business model and focus on high-margin segments provide resilience against short-term market volatility

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Geopolitical disruptions may lead to short-term volume volatility and impact margins
  • Competitive pricing pressures in the logistics sector could challenge profitability
  • Regulatory challenges and compliance costs may pose risks to operational efficiency and growth

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 26,711 30,475 38,736 40,060 45,653
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 10,459 12,668 15,057 15,180 18,318
PBT Margin 39.2% 41.6% 38.9% 37.9% 40.1%
Net Profit (Cr.) 9,721 10,508 12,714 12,803 15,420
Earnings Per Share 42.2 45.7 55.3 55.5 66.9

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
CLSA ▲ Outperform 2,070 23-Sep-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 2,160 18-Sep-2026
Macguire ▲ Outperform 2,100 11-Sep-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 2,130 08-Sep-2026
HSBC ▲ Buy 2,200 03-Sep-2026
JPMorgan ▲ Overweight 2,000 02-Sep-2026
Kotak Securities ▲ Buy 2,000 02-Sep-2026
Nomura ▲ Buy 2,080 02-Sep-2026
Investec ▲ Buy 2,020 27-Aug-2026
Bernstein ▲ Outperform 1,973 18-Aug-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 1,883 30-Jul-2026
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 2,000 30-Jul-2026
Goldman Sachs ▲ Buy 1,870 30-Jul-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ▲ Buy 2,113 30-Jul-2026
Cantor Fitzgerald ▲ Buy 2,178 29-May-2026
Morgan Stanley ▲ Overweight 1,920 15-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 2,055
Coverage 16 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Adani Ports & SEZ is leveraging strategic partnerships, such as with Terminal Investment Limited, and aggressive capacity expansions to position itself as a leading transshipment hub. The company's focus on international expansion and technology investments, including AI-led automation, is expected to drive significant volume growth. Analysts highlight the robust operational resilience despite geopolitical headwinds and execution risks. Challenges include geopolitical uncertainties, regulatory approvals, and margin pressures in logistics and marine segments, but the overall outlook remains positive due to strong cash flow and disciplined capital allocation.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and maintains port infrastructure in India and internationally. The company is involved in the operation of ports and terminals, including bulk and break bulk, container, liquid, dry bulk, general, LPG/LNG, and crude cargo; terminal and ports related infrastructure development activities; and development of infrastructure at contiguous Special Economic Zone at Mundra. It also offers logistic services, which include logistic parks, container rail and bulk cargo logistic solutions, and warehousing, as well as auto, road, and agri logistic services. In addition, the company operates a fleet of dredging and reclamation service equipment comprising cutter suction, trailing suction hopper, water injection, grab, and specialized dredgers; split hopper, flat top, and jack up barges; and multi utility craft, survey vessels, floating crane, drag flow unit, and floating booster, as well as dozers, excavators, loaders, and other equipment. Further, it provides non-scheduled passenger airline services; hospital and related services; and marine services, such as pilotage, laying, mooring of vessels at berth and mid-stream, and maintenance of buoys. Additionally, the company engages in the development, construction, operation, and maintenance of railway corridors; land development activities; integrated textile park and container freight station businesses; develops inland container depots; owns and operates harbour tugs, barges, other port crafts, ocean towage and offshore support vessels; warehousing and storage facilities, hospital, and other related services; and provision of cargo storage-cum logistics services. Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Ahmedabad, India.