DINESH

Ahluwalia Contracts

Latest CMP 550
Today's Change ▼ -0.27%
52-Week High / Low 1,052 | 550
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 755
Expected Upside 17.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 7.0%
1,000 Invested 22-Feb-2007
Today's Value 3,789
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-25.5%
Severe De-rating
1-Year Target Price
617
2-Year Target Price
755
52-Week High / Low
1,052 / 550
20-Day Return
-7.5%
Market Cap (Cr.)
3,685
Current PE
15.0
P/BV Ratio
1.7
Dividend Yield
0.1%
Industry PE
20.6

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Ltd. is navigating a complex landscape characterized by a robust order book exceeding ₹206 billion, which underpins management's positive outlook for revenue growth. Recent earnings calls highlight a strategic pivot towards operational excellence and digital integration to mitigate execution risks, despite facing inflationary pressures and labor shortages. Management's cautious stance on margin targets reflects the reality of significant cost pressures, with Q1 FY27 margins contracting to 4.3%. This has led to a reset in revenue growth expectations, prioritizing margin protection over aggressive expansion. Vista's financial outlook anticipates stable revenue growth aligned with historical performance, although margins are expected to remain under pressure. The infrastructure sector's expansion, driven by government initiatives and increased private sector participation, supports this outlook. However, headwinds such as geopolitical tensions and regulatory challenges could impact execution timelines. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities lie in the successful execution of landmark projects and strategic capital allocation, while watchpoints include labor cost volatility and the ability to secure new orders to replace completed projects

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Robust order book exceeding ₹206 billion provides strong revenue visibility
  • Management's focus on operational excellence and digital integration aims to enhance productivity and mitigate risks
  • Government initiatives and increased private sector participation in infrastructure projects support long-term growth

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Significant margin contraction to 4.3% in Q1 FY27 due to labor cost inflation and project-specific issues
  • Cautious revenue growth guidance reflects the need for margin protection amid rising costs
  • Geopolitical tensions and regulatory challenges could disrupt execution timelines and impact project delivery

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 3,855 4,099 4,565 4,790 5,400
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 308 273 359 316 375
PBT Margin 8.0% 6.7% 7.9% 6.6% 6.9%
Net Profit (Cr.) 226 199 266 234 278
Earnings Per Share 33.8 29.8 39.7 35.0 41.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
ICICI Securities ► Hold 780 18-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ▲ Buy 930 18-Aug-2026
Anand Rathi ▲ Buy 1,009 04-Jun-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 922 10-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Buy
Consensus Target 855
Coverage 4 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Ahluwalia Contracts faces significant margin erosion due to sharp wage increases and regulatory uncertainties, particularly in the NCR region. However, a strong order book of INR 206.6 bn and strategic execution of marquee projects like Central Vista provide solid revenue visibility. The company is adjusting its bidding strategy to incorporate cost escalations, aiming for margin recovery over the next few quarters. While near-term challenges persist, the debt-free balance sheet and asset-light model support long-term stability.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an engineering, procurement, and construction company in India and internationally. The company operates through Construction Contract, Lease Rental, and Others segments. Its portfolio includes residential and commercial buildings/complexes, hotels, institutional and hospital buildings, corporate offices, information technology (IT) parks, industrial complexes, automated car parking lot, townships, BOT projects, metro station and depot, redevelopment/upgradation of railway stations, urban infrastructure, and data centres. The company is also involved in the developing and operating commercial complex; real estate trading business, as well as rentals activities. It serves government authorities, central and state governments, including public sector undertakings, private sector companies, real estate developers, and other institutional clients. The company was founded in 1965 and is based in New Delhi, India.