DINESH
Latest CMP 154
Today's Change ▲ 0.49%
52-Week High / Low 208 | 131
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 205
Expected Upside 15.3%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 17.7%
1,000 Invested 01-Oct-2006
Today's Value 26,009
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+1.4%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
191
2-Year Target Price
205
52-Week High / Low
208 / 131
20-Day Return
-9.0%
Market Cap (Cr.)
90,570
Current PE
27.0
P/BV Ratio
6.4
Dividend Yield
2.4%
Industry PE
30.7

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Ashok Leyland's recent management commentary highlights a resilient outlook driven by strong domestic demand in the commercial vehicle (CV) sector, particularly in the medium and heavy commercial vehicle (MHCV) segment. The company is strategically expanding its product offerings, including innovative solutions like air suspension, which enhances competitiveness and aligns with premiumization strategies. Despite facing near-term margin pressures from commodity cost inflation, management remains optimistic about revenue growth, supported by a robust order book in the electric vehicle market and the upcoming merger with Hinduja Leyland Finance, which is expected to unlock additional value. Vista's financial outlook reflects moderate revenue growth expectations, with margins under pressure but a stable balance sheet. The expected upside of approximately 23.77% aligns with the company's strategic initiatives and market positioning. Industry dynamics, including improving pricing power and stable demand, further support this outlook. Key opportunities include the expansion into higher-margin segments like defense and power solutions, while watchpoints include potential supply chain disruptions and commodity price volatility. Overall, Ashok Leyland is well-positioned for sustained growth over the next 12-24 months

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong domestic demand in the MHCV segment supports revenue growth
  • Strategic expansion into higher-margin segments like defense and electric vehicles enhances competitive positioning
  • The merger with Hinduja Leyland Finance is expected to unlock additional value

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Near-term margin pressures from commodity cost inflation may impact profitability
  • Potential supply chain disruptions could hinder production capabilities
  • Geopolitical risks affecting export markets pose challenges to growth

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Losing
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 45,703 48,535 56,362 57,112 61,988
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 4,115 4,515 5,539 5,937 6,923
PBT Margin 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 10.4% 11.2%
Net Profit (Cr.) 2,633 2,820 3,869 4,127 4,502
Earnings Per Share 4.1 4.3 6.2 6.6 7.7

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Geojit Financials ▲ Outperform 179 30-Sep-2026
BofA ▲ Buy 205 24-Sep-2026
Macguire ▲ Buy 192 23-Aug-2026
JPMorgan ► Hold 180 18-Aug-2026
Anand Rathi ▲ Buy 230 17-Aug-2026
CLSA ▲ Outperform 196 17-Aug-2026
Citigroup ▲ Buy 200 17-Aug-2026
Goldman Sachs ► Neutral 175 17-Aug-2026
ICICI Securities ► Hold 175 17-Aug-2026
Jeffries ► Hold 160 17-Aug-2026
Kotak Securities ► Hold 180 17-Aug-2026
Moneycontrol ► Equalweight nan 17-Aug-2026
Nomura ► Neutral 194 17-Aug-2026
UBS ► Equalweight 210 17-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 198 15-Aug-2026
Axis Securities ▲ Buy 195 29-May-2026
Choice Equity ▲ Buy 195 29-May-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 182 29-May-2026
HSBC ► Hold 180 29-May-2026
Morgan Stanley ► Equalweight 235 29-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Buy
Consensus Target 190
Coverage 20 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Ashok Leyland benefits from a strong domestic MHCV market share and favorable GST 2.0 policies, supporting volume growth. Strategic moves into higher-margin segments such as defense, power solutions, and electric vehicles, along with innovative product offerings like air suspension in trucks, enhance competitiveness. However, margin pressures from material cost inflation and geopolitical disruptions affecting exports pose challenges. Future catalysts include the Hinduja Leyland Finance merger and a strong order book for e-buses, indicating growth potential in the EV market.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Ashok Leyland Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells commercial vehicles in India. It operates in Commercial Vehicle and Financial Service segments. The company offers ICV trucks, haulage vehicles, tractors, and tippers; buses; light commercial vehicle goods carriers and passenger vehicles, and small commercial vehicle goods carriers; defense vehicles, such as armored, high mobility, specialist, and logistics vehicles; transit mixers for use in construction and mining operations; and tanker trucks, reefers, ambulances, and other custom-built vehicles. It also provides power solutions, such as diesel gensets, agriculture and industrial non-emission and emission engines, and marine genset and propulsion engines; spare parts; forgings and castings; manpower supply, air chartering, and IT services; and vehicle and housing financing services. In addition, the company trades in commercial vehicles; and operates retail parts stores. Further, it provides at-site and e-commerce service support; AL Revive Program, which restores accident vehicles; technical and driving training; AL Care, a one-stop solution designed to take care of service needs; iAlert, a telematics solution for vehicle and fuel platforms; uptime solution centers; AL Live, which provides live location tracking of mobile service vans; Re-AL, a vehicle buying, selling, and exchange platform; and LeyKart app. The company serves various customer categories, including commercial fleet operators, retail customers, government, industrial customers, defense and military customers, and special application vehicle customers through its distributors. It also exports its products to the Middle East, Africa, South Asia, Latin America, and the Commonwealth of Independent States countries. Ashok Leyland Limited was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Chennai, India. Ashok Leyland Limited operates as a subsidiary of Hinduja Automotive Limited.