DINESH

Bajaj Housing Finance

Industry: HFCs
Latest CMP 82
Today's Change ▲ 0.91%
52-Week High / Low 112 | 73
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 115
Expected Upside 18.6%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested —
Today's Value —
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-3.2%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
101
2-Year Target Price
115
52-Week High / Low
112 / 73
20-Day Return
-1.1%
Market Cap (Cr.)
68,296
Current PE
27.3
P/BV Ratio
3.0
Dividend Yield
—
Industry PE
13.7

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Bajaj Housing Finance's recent performance reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook, driven by strong operational execution and record growth in disbursements, despite a challenging macro environment. Management has highlighted a strategic focus on deepening market penetration in prime home loans and scaling commercial segments, which is crucial for sustaining revenue growth. The company's ability to maintain asset quality and navigate margin compression due to competitive pressures is pivotal for its earnings trajectory. Vista's forecast anticipates a 24% growth in AUM, supported by a disciplined approach to credit and operational efficiency, aligning with the expected upside of approximately 23.85%. The affordable housing finance sector's expansion, bolstered by government initiatives and rising income levels, further supports this outlook. However, potential regulatory changes and intense competition pose risks that could impact margins. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include leveraging the 'Sambhav' product line for higher yields, while watchpoints include monitoring NIM compression and maintaining asset quality amidst aggressive pricing strategies

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong operational execution and record growth in disbursements indicate robust demand and market positioning
  • Strategic focus on scaling the 'Sambhav' product line is expected to enhance profitability and yield
  • Disciplined credit management and stable asset quality provide a solid foundation for future growth

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Intense competition may lead to further margin compression, impacting profitability
  • Potential regulatory changes could disrupt lending practices and affect growth
  • Economic downturns may dampen housing demand, posing risks to revenue growth

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Elite Balance Sheet
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,922 3,595 4,391 4,500 5,096
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 2,162 2,773 3,233 3,525 4,121
PBT Margin 74.0% 77.1% 73.6% 78.3% 80.9%
Net Profit (Cr.) 1,653 2,152 2,562 2,705 3,162
Earnings Per Share 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.8

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Jeffries ► Hold 92 20-Aug-2026
Deven Choksey ▲ Buy 107 31-Jul-2026
Emkay Global ► Hold 90 30-Jul-2026
HSBC ▼ Sell 76 30-Jul-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 125 30-Jul-2026
JPMorgan ► Neutral 85 30-Jul-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 95 30-Jul-2026
Citigroup ▼ Sell 88 03-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 95
Coverage 8 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Bajaj Housing Finance's strong AUM growth of 24% YoY and strategic focus on the higher-yielding 'Sambhav' portfolio underpin its competitive edge, outpacing industry benchmarks. Analysts highlight the company's operational efficiency and strategic portfolio shifts as key positives, although margin compression due to competitive pricing and rising funding costs remains a concern. Future growth catalysts include scaling 'Sambhav' disbursements and maintaining asset quality, while potential regulatory challenges and interest rate volatility pose risks.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Bajaj Housing Finance Limited provides housing finance services in India. It offers finance to individuals and corporate entities for the purchase and renovation of homes or commercial spaces. The company also provides loans against property for business or personal needs, as well as working capital for business expansion purposes. In addition, it offers finance to developers engaged in the construction of residential and commercial properties, as well as leases rental discounting to developers and high-net-worth individuals, real estate investment trusts, private equities, sovereign wealth funds, MNC funds, and corporates and commercial developers. Bajaj Housing Finance Limited was formerly known as Bajaj Financial Solutions Limited and changed its name to Bajaj Housing Finance Limited in November 2014. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Pune, India. Bajaj Housing Finance Limited is a subsidiary of Bajaj Finance Limited.