DINESH

Black Box

Latest CMP 796
Today's Change ▼ -4.40%
52-Week High / Low 1,078 | 444
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Hold
Target Price 864
Expected Upside 4.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 20.4%
1,000 Invested 15-Aug-2006
Today's Value 41,331
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+3.0%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
931
2-Year Target Price
864
52-Week High / Low
1,078 / 444
20-Day Return
-5.0%
Market Cap (Cr.)
14,134
Current PE
50.6
P/BV Ratio
11.0
Dividend Yield
0.2%
Industry PE
45.4

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Black Box Limited is positioned for significant growth, driven by strong management confidence and a robust order backlog exceeding $800 million, expected to reach $1.3-$1.4 billion by March 2027. The company's strategic focus on AI adoption and data center build-outs aligns with industry trends, supporting Vista's forecast of a revenue target of $2 billion by FY30, with a 17% CAGR from organic growth. While margins are projected to remain stable, the ambitious hiring of 2,100 technicians poses execution risks. The competitive landscape remains challenging, particularly in lower-margin regions like India, but Black Box's disciplined capital allocation and strong balance sheet provide a solid foundation for achieving its goals. The macro environment in India, characterized by robust growth and favorable liquidity conditions, further supports the company's outlook. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include expanding relationships with Fortune 500 clients and leveraging AI capabilities, while watchpoints include managing inflationary pressures and the complexities of large-scale data center projects

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong order backlog exceeding $800 million, indicating robust revenue visibility
  • Management's ambitious growth targets align with industry trends in AI and data center investments
  • Disciplined capital allocation and a solid balance sheet provide a foundation for achieving strategic goals

Things To Watch Out For

  • Execution risks associated with the ambitious hiring of 2,100 technicians within a year
  • Competitive pricing pressures in lower-margin regions like India may challenge profitability
  • Inflationary pressures and the evolving cybersecurity landscape could impact operational efficiency

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Not Available
Dividend History
Irregular
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 6,282 5,967 6,322 7,051 7,039
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 185 286 302 349 345
PBT Margin 2.9% 4.8% 477.7% 4.9% 4.9%
Net Profit (Cr.) 175 268 275 317 314
Earnings Per Share 9.8 15.1 15.5 17.9 17.7

Analyst Recommendations

No analyst recommendations available.

Consensus Recommendation ► None
Consensus Target
Coverage 0 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Black Box Limited provides information and communications technology solutions in India, the United States, and internationally. It operates through System Integration, Technology Product Solution, and Others segments. The company's product portfolio includes data centers, digital workplace, and connected buildings; keyboard, video and mouse (KVM), cables, Internet of Things (IoT), and audio video products; and IP-led hardware offerings under the Black Box brand, including KVM switches, OEM-distributed equipment, and contract-manufactured solutions. It also provides connectivity infrastructure, including fiber connectivity, physical security, surveillance, passive infrastructure, and structured cabling; enterprise networking with local and wide area, cloud, and wireless and private LTE networks; customer and employee experience, and advisory services; and cybersecurity solutions. In addition, the company offers application development and integration, field and dispatch, project and deployment, training, and consulting and design services; and managed services, such as staff augmentation, support, service desk, and X-as-a-service. It serves broadcast, data center, education, finance, government, healthcare, manufacturing and industrial, retail, transportation, utilities, power, oil and gas, workspaces, entertainment and leisure venues, military and defense, and public safety industries under the AlertWerks, Boxilla, ControlBridge, DKM 4K, Emerald, Freedom II KM, iCompel, MCX AVoIP 10G 4K, MediaCento AVoIP 1G HD/4K, Radian, and VideoPlex4000 brands. The company was formerly known as AGC Networks Limited and changed its name to Black Box Limited in November 2021. Black Box Limited was founded in 1976 and is based in Navi Mumbai, India.