DINESH

Bharat Dynamics

Latest CMP 1,398
Today's Change ▲ 1.64%
52-Week High / Low 1,626 | 1,097
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 4,719
Expected Upside 83.7%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 27.7%
1,000 Invested 23-Mar-2018
Today's Value 7,782
Investment Period 8 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+9.6%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
2,452
2-Year Target Price
4,719
52-Week High / Low
1,626 / 1,097
20-Day Return
+11.2%
Market Cap (Cr.)
51,245
Current PE
111.0
P/BV Ratio
12.1
Dividend Yield
0.4%
Industry PE
86.5

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Bharat Dynamics Limited (BDL) is navigating a complex landscape characterized by a robust order book of INR 26,176 Crore, which provides a solid foundation for future revenue growth despite anticipated declines in FY26. Management has indicated that while revenue and profitability are expected to dip this fiscal year due to operational challenges and increased inventory levels, the company is strategically investing in R&D and expanding production capabilities to support long-term growth. The expected recovery in FY27 and FY28, driven by improved execution of key programs like Akash and Astra, aligns with Vista's forecast of a gradual revenue rebound and margin improvement. However, the reliance on imported components may pressure margins in the near term. The defense sector's expansion, fueled by geopolitical tensions and increased government spending, further supports BDL's outlook. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include successful execution of the order book and export growth, while watchpoints include potential operational inefficiencies and execution delays that could hinder profitability

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong order book visibility of INR 26,176 Crore supports future revenue growth
  • Strategic investments in R&D and production capacity are aimed at enhancing long-term competitiveness
  • Expected recovery in earnings driven by improved execution of key defense programs in FY27 and FY28

Things To Watch Out For

  • Projected declines in revenue and profitability for FY26 due to operational challenges
  • Increased inventory levels may indicate slower sales conversion and potential production inefficiencies
  • Margin pressures anticipated from a higher proportion of imported components in the near term

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Sell
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,369 3,345 2,442 4,236 7,217
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 828 749 568 1,522 2,180
PBT Margin 35.0% 22.4% 2326.0% 35.9% 30.2%
Net Profit (Cr.) 600 498 420 1,127 1,613
Earnings Per Share 16.4 13.6 11.5 30.7 44.0

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Choice Equity ▲ Buy 1,500 29-May-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 1,315 03-Jun-2026
Goldman Sachs ▼ Sell 1,150 17-Aug-2026
ICICI Securities ► Hold 1,360 29-May-2026
Moneycontrol ► Equalweight nan 22-Jun-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 1,150 29-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▼ Strong Sell
Consensus Target 1,178
Coverage 6 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Bharat Dynamics is poised for a significant earnings recovery in FY27 and FY28, supported by a strong Rs 26,176 crore order book and strategic investments in capacity expansion, including a new naval systems facility. Key programs like Akash and Astra Mk1 are expected to contribute significantly to revenue. However, FY26 was impacted by supply-side constraints and execution delays, with EBITDA margins likely to remain pressured due to a higher proportion of imported components. Completion of capacity expansions and progress in emerging programs are anticipated to bolster future growth.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Bharat Dynamics Limited manufactures and sells guided missiles, underwater weapons, air-borne products, and allied defense equipment in India. It offers light and heavy-weight torpedoes, unified launcher, fagot launcher adapted to Milan equipment, Konkurs launcher test equipment, Akash and Astra weapon systems, Konkurs missile test equipment, medium-range surface-to-air missile, quick reaction surface-to-air missile, and multi-influential ground mines. The company also sells vertically launched-short range surface-to-air missile, anti-submarine warfare suite, counter measures dispensing system, smart anti-airfield weapon, anti-torpedo decoy launching system, Helina, Amogha – III, man portable anti-tank guided missile (ATGM), NAG ATGM, invar (3 UBK 20) anti-tank guided missile, Konkurs-M ATGM, and Milan–2T ATGM, as well as Dishani, an air-deployed ASW sensor system. Bharat Dynamics Limited was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.