DINESH

Central Depository Services (CDSL)

Latest CMP 1,264
Today's Change ▲ 0.17%
52-Week High / Low 1,640 | 1,109
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 1,542
Expected Upside 10.4%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 26.9%
1,000 Invested 30-Jun-2017
Today's Value 9,047
Investment Period 9 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-0.8%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
1,434
2-Year Target Price
1,542
52-Week High / Low
1,640 / 1,109
20-Day Return
-9.3%
Market Cap (Cr.)
26,418
Current PE
62.1
P/BV Ratio
13.4
Dividend Yield
1.0%
Industry PE
29.2

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Central Depository Services (CDSL) is positioned for a volume-led growth recovery, supported by management's strategic shift towards leveraging its established technology platform. Key developments include a revival in primary market activity and the normalization of operating costs, which are expected to drive revenue growth and margin expansion. Despite facing regulatory challenges and rising operational expenses, CDSL's strong market share in BO accounts and its asset-light model provide a defensive advantage. Vista's financial outlook anticipates stable revenue growth and improving margins, aligning with management's expectations of double-digit earnings growth through FY29. The industry context, characterized by a sunrise growth phase and improving pricing power, further supports this outlook. However, potential headwinds include regulatory changes impacting KYC pricing and market volatility affecting trading volumes. Over the next 12-24 months, CDSL's focus on technology investments and the integration of new revenue streams will be critical for sustaining growth. Key opportunities lie in the deepening of the securities market and onboarding unlisted companies, while watchpoints include the impact of regulatory transitions and operational cost pressures

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on leveraging an established technology platform is expected to drive revenue growth and margin expansion
  • The revival of primary market activity and normalization of operating costs are key growth drivers
  • CDSL's strong market share in BO accounts and asset-light model provide a defensive advantage

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Regulatory changes impacting KYC pricing may pose risks to revenue stability
  • Rising operational expenses could pressure margins in the near term
  • Market volatility may affect trading volumes and overall performance

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 812 1,082 1,145 1,161 1,316
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 556 695 609 617 707
PBT Margin 68.5% 64.2% 53.2% 53.1% 53.8%
Net Profit (Cr.) 433 533 457 465 532
Earnings Per Share 20.7 25.5 21.9 22.2 25.5

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
HDFC Securities ▲ Buy 1,620 15-Sep-2026
Jeffries ► Hold 1,315 10-Sep-2026
ICICI Securities ▼ Reduce 1,140 11-Aug-2026
JPMorgan ▼ Underweight 1,200 03-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 1,200 03-Aug-2026
Kotak Securities ► Add 1,370 06-May-2026
Axis Securities ► Hold 1,425 16-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 1,358
Coverage 7 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
CDSL benefits from a dominant market share in demat accounts and a scalable platform, driving growth through primary market activity and annuity revenue streams. Analysts highlight margin pressures due to past technology investments and regulatory challenges in the KYC segment. The company's asset-light model and lack of derivatives exposure provide a defensive advantage. Future growth is expected from a heavy IPO calendar and initiatives like Unified KYC integration, despite cyclicality in market-linked revenues.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Central Depository Services (India) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides depository services in India. It operates through Depository; Data Entry and Storage; and Repository segments. The Depository segment offers various services to investors, such as dematerialisation, rematerialisation, holding, transfer, and pledge of securities in electronic form; and provides e-voting services to companies. Its Data Entry and Stroage segment provides centralized record keeping of KYC document of capital market investors. The Repository segment offers policyholders/warehouse receipt holders a facility to keep insurance policies/warehouse receipts in electronic form and to undertake changes, modifications, and revisions in the policy/receipt. It also provides account opening, processing delivery and receipt instructions, pledging, nomination, transmission of securities, change in address, bank account details, and SMS services for depository participants (DPs). In addition, the company offers various services, such as electronic access to security information and execution of secured transaction, SMS alerts related to transactions, electronic consolidated account statements, and virtual annual general meetings; Myeasi mobile application; application programming interfaces for DPs, electronic delivery instruction slip, and electronic margin pledge; and electronic foreign investment monitoring, electronic system driven disclosure services, and electronic notices, as well as e-locker services. Further, it provides KYC registration agency, eKYC, electronic signature service, tax filing, stamp duty calendar, electronic negotiable warehouse receipts and electronic non-negotiable warehouse receipts, and electronic insurance account. The company serves market participants, exchanges, clearing corporations, DPs, issuers, and investors. Central Depository Services (India) Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Mumbai, India.