DINESH
Latest CMP 168
Today's Change ▲ 1.82%
52-Week High / Low 199 | 140
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Hold
Target Price 190
Expected Upside 6.4%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 13.6%
1,000 Invested 17-Aug-2006
Today's Value 12,787
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+1.4%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
175
2-Year Target Price
190
52-Week High / Low
199 / 140
20-Day Return
+1.3%
Market Cap (Cr.)
22,321
Current PE
14.1
P/BV Ratio
1.8
Dividend Yield
3.9%
Industry PE
18.3

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

CESC Ltd's management has articulated a clear strategy focused on transitioning to a renewable-heavy portfolio, highlighted by the acquisition of ReNew's 1.4GW operational assets and an ambitious target to reach 10GW of renewable capacity by FY32. This strategic pivot is expected to enhance revenue growth and improve margins, supported by a robust balance sheet and ongoing operational improvements in its core distribution business. However, the company faces challenges from rising operational costs and execution risks associated with its extensive capital expenditure program. Vista's financial outlook reflects stable revenue growth and margins, aligning with management's optimistic tone regarding the renewable pipeline. The anticipated commissioning of new projects and the integration of acquired assets are expected to drive long-term growth, although regulatory shifts and market volatility remain watchpoints. Overall, CESC is well-positioned to capitalize on the expanding electricity demand, particularly from data centers and AI, while navigating competitive pressures in the power utilities sector

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • CESC's acquisition of ReNew's assets provides immediate scale and cash flow, enhancing its competitive position
  • The company's ambitious target of 10GW renewable capacity by FY32 supports long-term revenue growth and margin stability
  • Operational improvements in T&D losses and a strong balance sheet underpin a stable financial outlook

Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising operational costs and execution risks associated with the extensive capital expenditure program could pressure margins
  • Persistent losses in the Malegaon distribution franchise represent a significant operational challenge
  • Potential regulatory shifts in the power sector may impact future profitability and operational efficiency

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 15,293 17,001 18,570 18,769 21,353
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 1,649 1,728 2,119 2,031 2,334
PBT Margin 10.8% 10.2% 1141.1% 10.8% 10.9%
Net Profit (Cr.) 1,291 1,322 1,618 1,544 1,690
Earnings Per Share 9.2 9.5 11.6 11.1 12.7

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Elara Capital ▲ Buy 228 14-Aug-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 220 07-May-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 214 09-Jun-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ▲ Buy 220 14-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 220
Coverage 4 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
CESC's strategic focus on expanding its renewable energy footprint, including the acquisition of ReNew's operational assets, underpins analysts' optimism. The company's roadmap to increase capacity to 4.5GW by FY29 and secure 4.3GW of renewable PPAs demonstrates strong growth visibility. However, challenges such as rising personnel costs and losses in the Malegaon distribution franchise present risks. Future catalysts include the completion of the ReNew acquisition and the ramp-up of renewable capacity, which are expected to drive long-term growth and valuation improvements.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

CESC Limited, an integrated electrical utility company, engages in the generation and distribution of electricity in India. It owns and operates two thermal power plants, including Budge Budge generating station with a generating capacity of 750 megawatts and Southern generating stations with a generating capacity of 135 megawatts; a 40-megawatt atmospheric fluidized bed combustion power plant in Asansol, West Bengal; a 300-megawatt solar project in Bhadla, Rajasthan; a 450-megawatt hybrid project comprising a 150-megawatt solar unit and 300-megawatt wind unit in Mandsaur, Madhya, Pradesh; and a 450-megawatt hybrid project that consists of a 150-megawatt solar unit in Bikaner, Rajasthan and a 300-megawatt wind unit in Ananthapuram, Andhra Pradesh. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.