DINESH

Coal India

Industry: Mining
Latest CMP 407
Today's Change ▼ -0.83%
52-Week High / Low 475 | 353
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Hold
Target Price 448
Expected Upside 4.9%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 13.2%
1,000 Invested 04-Nov-2010
Today's Value 7,081
Investment Period 16 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-3.2%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
420
2-Year Target Price
448
52-Week High / Low
475 / 353
20-Day Return
-3.9%
Market Cap (Cr.)
250,884
Current PE
8.4
P/BV Ratio
2.1
Dividend Yield
7.7%
Industry PE
17.6

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Coal India Limited is navigating a pivotal transition, balancing its core role in India's energy security with a strategic shift towards diversification into renewable energy and coal gasification. Management's optimistic outlook on coal demand through 2035, coupled with initiatives to enhance operational efficiency and expand into solar energy, supports Vista's forecast of stable margins and moderate revenue growth. However, the company faces significant challenges, including high fixed costs and logistical bottlenecks, which could pressure profitability in the near term. The planned IPOs of subsidiaries may serve as catalysts for valuation re-rating, while the ongoing investments in coal gasification and renewable projects are expected to diversify revenue streams. Industry dynamics, including rising demand for strategic metals and competitive pricing pressures, further complicate the landscape. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities lie in scaling renewable energy projects and optimizing coal operations, while watchpoints include execution risks and cost management amid inflationary pressures

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on operational efficiency and diversification into renewable energy is expected to enhance long-term growth prospects
  • The planned IPOs of subsidiaries could unlock value and provide additional capital for strategic initiatives
  • Strong demand for coal-based power generation supports revenue stability despite current cost pressures

Things To Watch Out For

  • High fixed costs and logistical challenges may continue to pressure margins in the near term
  • Increased competition from renewable energy sources poses a risk to coal demand and pricing power
  • Execution risks associated with large-scale diversification projects could impact operational performance

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 144,762 143,369 168,400 173,811 184,399
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 48,794 46,967 41,923 34,160 42,300
PBT Margin 33.7% 32.8% 2489.5% 19.7% 22.9%
Net Profit (Cr.) 37,222 35,868 30,952 25,181 31,158
Earnings Per Share 60.5 58.3 50.3 40.8 50.6

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Anand Rathi ► Neutral 520 29-Jul-2026
Axis Securities ▲ Buy 485 01-Jul-2026
CLSA ▼ Reduce 385 08-May-2026
Citigroup ► Neutral 430 28-Jul-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 522 28-Apr-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 500 29-Apr-2026
HSBC ► Hold 440 28-Apr-2026
JMFinancials ► Hold 515 09-Jun-2026
JPMorgan ► Neutral 430 28-Jul-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 500 28-Jul-2026
Macguire ► Hold 445 10-Apr-2026
Mirae Asset ▲ Buy 530 16-Jun-2026
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight nan 28-Jul-2026
Morgan Stanley ► Equalweight 420 28-Jul-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 510 28-Jul-2026
Nuvama ▲ Buy 485 02-Jun-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 472 28-Jul-2026
UBS ▲ Buy 550 01-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Buy
Consensus Target 480
Coverage 18 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Coal India's diversification into coal gasification and renewable energy, such as the commissioning of solar projects, aligns with global energy trends and offers potential new revenue streams. The company faces margin compression due to increased fuel and material costs, impacting EBITDA. However, strong demand for coal, evidenced by increased e-auction volumes and premiums, and strategic investments in infrastructure and clean energy, underpin analysts' positive outlook. Execution risks related to cost management and project timelines remain key concerns.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Coal India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells coal and coal products in India. The company offers coking coal for steel making and metallurgical industries, as well as for hard coke manufacturing; semi coking coal for blend-able coal in steel making, merchant coke manufacturing, and other metallurgical industries; and non-coking coal for thermal grade coal for cement, fertilizer, glass, ceramic, paper, chemical, and brick manufacturing, as well as power generation and other heating purposes. It also provides washed and beneficiated coal for manufacturing of hard coke for steel making and power generation, as well as for cement, sponge iron, and other industrial plants; middling products for power generation, domestic fuel plants, brick manufacturing units, cement plants, and industrial plants, etc.; and rejects products for fluidized bed combustion boilers for power generation, road repairs, briquette making, and land filling, etc. In addition, the company offers CIL/LTC coke for use in furnaces and kilns of industrial units, as well as domestic fuel by halwais, and hotels, etc.; coal/coke fines for use in industrial furnaces and domestic purposes; and tar, heavy and light oil, and soft pitch for use in furnaces and boilers of industrial plants, power houses, oil, dye, and pharmaceutical industries, etc. Further, it engages in coal mining and gasification; consultancy support in coal and mineral exploration; and renewable and solar energy. The company was formerly known as Coal Mines Authority Limited and changed its name to Coal India Limited in January 1975. Coal India Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.