DINESH

Coal India

Industry: Mining
Latest CMP 425
Today's Change ▲ 0.00%
52-Week High / Low 469 | 356
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Hold
Target Price 444
Expected Upside 2.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 13.0%
1,000 Invested 04-Nov-2010
Today's Value 7,027
Investment Period 16 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-2.2%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
434
2-Year Target Price
444
52-Week High / Low
469 / 356
20-Day Return
+2.5%
Market Cap (Cr.)
261,915
Current PE
8.3
P/BV Ratio
2.2
Dividend Yield
7.8%
Industry PE
17.1

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Coal India is navigating a complex landscape characterized by rising thermal power demand and strategic diversification into renewable energy and coal gasification. Management's optimistic outlook hinges on achieving production targets of 815 MT and offtake of 850 MT for FY27, supported by strong e-auction premiums. However, the sustainability of these premiums is contingent on supply recovery post-monsoon. Vista's forecast reflects moderated revenue growth, stable margins, and a fair valuation, aligning with management's focus on operational efficiency and diversification. The company's strong liquidity and commitment to dividends provide a stable outlook, despite near-term margin pressures from rising operational costs. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the successful execution of diversification projects and potential IPOs of subsidiaries, while watchpoints include execution risks and competitive pressures from renewables. Overall, Coal India's strategic initiatives position it for long-term growth, albeit with challenges from cost inflation and market dynamics

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong e-auction premiums indicate robust demand and pricing power
  • Strategic diversification into renewable energy and coal gasification could open new revenue streams
  • Management's focus on operational efficiency and production targets supports long-term growth potential

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising operational costs are pressuring margins and could impact profitability
  • Execution risks associated with large-scale diversification projects may hinder progress
  • Increased competition from renewable energy sources poses a threat to market share

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 144,762 143,369 168,400 173,689 182,915
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 48,794 46,967 41,923 39,148 43,650
PBT Margin 33.7% 32.8% 24.9% 22.5% 23.9%
Net Profit (Cr.) 37,222 35,868 30,952 28,859 32,152
Earnings Per Share 60.5 58.3 50.3 46.8 52.2

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
BofA ▲ Buy 490 24-Sep-2026
Morgan Stanley ▲ Overweight 480 22-Sep-2026
Citigroup ▲ Buy 465 03-Sep-2026
BNP Paribas ► Neutral 425 02-Sep-2026
HSBC ► Hold 440 02-Sep-2026
Nuvama ► Hold 454 02-Sep-2026
UBS ▲ Buy 550 02-Sep-2026
Anand Rathi ► Neutral 520 29-Jul-2026
JPMorgan ► Neutral 430 28-Jul-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 500 28-Jul-2026
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight nan 28-Jul-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 510 28-Jul-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 472 28-Jul-2026
Axis Securities ▲ Buy 485 01-Jul-2026
Mirae Asset ▲ Buy 530 16-Jun-2026
JMFinancials ► Hold 515 09-Jun-2026
CLSA ▼ Reduce 385 08-May-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 500 29-Apr-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 522 28-Apr-2026
Macguire ► Hold 445 10-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 472
Coverage 20 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Coal India's growth is bolstered by high e-auction premiums due to tight supply-demand dynamics and increased thermal power demand. Strategic diversification into coal gasification and renewable energy, including significant solar projects, aims to mitigate long-term risks from renewable competition. However, elevated operational costs and potential normalization of e-auction premiums pose challenges. Key catalysts include new production capacity post-monsoon and the strategic pivot towards clean energy, which could diversify revenue streams and enhance long-term growth prospects.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Coal India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells coal and coal products in India. The company offers coking coal for steel making and metallurgical industries, as well as for hard coke manufacturing; semi coking coal for blend-able coal in steel making, merchant coke manufacturing, and other metallurgical industries; and non-coking coal for cement, fertilizer, glass, ceramic, paper, chemical, and brick manufacturing, as well as power generation and other heating purposes. It also provides washed and beneficiated coal for manufacturing of hard coke for steel making and power generation, as well as for cement, sponge iron, and other industrial plants; middling products for power generation, domestic fuel plants, brick manufacturing units, cement plants, and industrial plants, etc.; and reject products for fluidized bed combustion boilers for power generation, road repairs, briquette making, and land filling, etc. In addition, the company offers CIL/LTC coke for use in furnaces and kilns of industrial units, as well as for domestic fuel by halwais and hotels, etc.; coal/coke fines for use in industrial furnaces and domestic purposes; and tar, heavy and light oil, and soft pitch for use in furnaces and boilers of industrial plants, power houses, oil, dye, and pharmaceutical industries, etc. Further, it engages in coal mining and gasification; consultancy support in coal and mineral exploration; and renewable energy activities. The company serves the power and non-power sectors. The company was formerly known as Coal Mines Authority Limited and changed its name to Coal India Limited in January 1975. Coal India Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.