DINESH

City Union Bank

Latest CMP 209
Today's Change ▼ -0.89%
52-Week High / Low 236 | 144
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 282
Expected Upside 16.3%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 21.6%
1,000 Invested 15-Aug-2006
Today's Value 50,207
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-3.3%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
269
2-Year Target Price
282
52-Week High / Low
236 / 144
20-Day Return
-6.4%
Market Cap (Cr.)
20,672
Current PE
16.3
P/BV Ratio
1.5
Dividend Yield
0.9%
Industry PE
9.8

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

City Union Bank (CUB) is positioned for continued growth, driven by strong management initiatives and a favorable market environment. Management has highlighted a robust increase in net interest income and the launch of digital offerings, which are expected to enhance customer engagement and market share. The bank's focus on MSME and gold loans, coupled with a disciplined approach to lending, supports its target of credit growth exceeding the industry average. Despite potential headwinds from rising deposit costs and competitive pressures, CUB's asset quality remains strong, with a Gross NPA of 1.73% and a high provision coverage ratio of 85%. Vista's financial outlook reflects these developments, projecting improving margins and a stable return on assets (RoA) of 1.55% to 1.7% over the next 24 months. The macroeconomic backdrop is supportive, with moderate growth and improving risk sentiment in India, although inflationary pressures could pose challenges. Key opportunities include expanding digital services and leveraging the bank's branch network, while watchpoints include managing competitive pressures and potential increases in credit costs. Overall, CUB is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities while maintaining a strong risk management framework

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on digital transformation and MSME lending is expected to drive credit growth above industry averages
  • Strong asset quality and a high provision coverage ratio provide a buffer against potential credit risks
  • Improving margins and a stable return on assets indicate a solid financial outlook

Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising deposit costs may pressure net interest margins and profitability
  • Intense competition in the gold loan segment could impact market share and yields
  • Regulatory challenges and potential asset quality concerns could pose risks to growth

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Elite Balance Sheet
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,124 2,316 2,830 3,138 3,590
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 1,231 1,417 1,671 1,874 2,143
PBT Margin 58.0% 61.2% 5904.6% 59.7% 59.7%
Net Profit (Cr.) 1,016 1,124 1,326 1,481 1,693
Earnings Per Share 10.3 11.3 13.4 14.9 17.1

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Anand Rathi ▲ Buy 298 29-Jul-2026
Axis Securities ▲ Buy 280 29-Jul-2026
Elara Capital ▲ Buy 259 28-Apr-2026
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 262 28-Apr-2026
HDFC Securities ▲ Buy 232 28-Apr-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 244 28-Apr-2026
IDBI Capital ▲ Buy 236 28-Apr-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 240 28-Apr-2026
Macguire ▲ Outperform 250 29-Jul-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ▲ Buy 250 30-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 265
Coverage 10 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
City Union Bank's focus on MSME, gold, and secured retail loans drives its growth strategy, supported by a strong capital position and improving asset quality. Analysts highlight the bank's ability to outperform system growth and maintain stable margins as key positives. However, challenges such as increased deposit costs and salary-related expenses could pressure margins. Future catalysts include scaling ECLGS sanctions and operational efficiency improvements, with management targeting a reduction in the cost-to-income ratio.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

City Union Bank Limited provides various banking products and services in India. It operates in four segments: Treasury, Corporate/Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking, and Other Banking Operations. The company offers savings, current, staff salary, and resident foreign currency accounts; fixed, recurring, flexifix, and income tax saver deposits; personal and agricultural gold, personal, consumer, home/housing, property, education, working capital, business, and foreign currency loans, as well as loan against property, gold-based overdraft, cash credits, bill finance, bank guarantee, and letter of credit; international business services, including export, import, fx retail, remittance, correspondent banking, and treasury risk management services; sovereign gold bond; debit, prepaid, and credit cards; NRI banking products and services; and insurance products comprising life, health, and general insurance products, as well as social security schemes. It also provides tech products and services, such as net/online and mobile banking; cash and wealth management; electronic fund transfer; green pins; wallet; point of sale; and automated teller machines, as well as demat, bill payment, GST and TAX payments, and digital signature services. In addition, the company offers payments to government, including online taxes and electricity bill payment; agri related information, academic, and kiosk services; and support services, such as safe deposit locker facilities, value added, 24/7 customer care, and account aggregator. The company was formerly known as The Kumbakonam City Union Bank Limited and changed its name to City Union Bank Limited in December 1987. City Union Bank Limited was incorporated in 1904 and is based in Kumbakonam, India.