DINESH

Dodla Dairy

Industry: FMCG
Latest CMP 1,109
Today's Change ▼ -0.04%
52-Week High / Low 1,456 | 967
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 996
Expected Upside -5.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 13.2%
1,000 Invested 28-Jun-2021
Today's Value 1,887
Investment Period 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-4.2%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
809
2-Year Target Price
996
52-Week High / Low
1,456 / 967
20-Day Return
+3.3%
Market Cap (Cr.)
6,690
Current PE
31.3
P/BV Ratio
4.2
Dividend Yield
0.2%
Industry PE
42.0

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Dodla Dairy is navigating a challenging cost environment, with management highlighting elevated milk procurement costs that have pressured margins despite achieving record-high revenues. The company's strategic focus on expanding its high-margin Value-Added Products (VAP) portfolio and its footprint in Africa is expected to drive revenue growth in the low to mid-teens over the next fiscal year. Management anticipates a gradual recovery in gross margins, supported by normalizing procurement costs and effective pricing strategies. The ongoing capacity expansions, including a new integrated dairy plant in Maharashtra and a greenfield facility in Uganda, are pivotal for long-term growth. However, risks such as sustained commodity price inflation and competitive pressures remain. Vista's financial outlook reflects stable revenue growth, with margins under pressure but expected to recover gradually. The favorable macro environment in India, characterized by improving manufacturing activity and contained inflation, supports Dodla's growth trajectory. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include scaling the VAP portfolio and expanding in Africa, while watchpoints include input cost volatility and competitive dynamics in the FMCG sector

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strategic expansion of the high-margin Value-Added Products portfolio is expected to enhance revenue and margins
  • Growth in the African market is projected to contribute significantly to overall revenue, targeting 15-18% by FY28
  • Management's disciplined capital allocation and operational efficiency initiatives are likely to support long-term profitability

Things To Watch Out For

  • Elevated milk procurement costs and input inflation pose ongoing risks to margins and profitability
  • Competitive pressures in the FMCG sector may impact market share and pricing strategies
  • Operational variability and seasonal demand fluctuations could affect the growth of the Value-Added Products segment

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 3,125 3,720 4,125 4,370 4,851
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 239 346 283 191 261
PBT Margin 7.7% 9.3% 686.1% 4.4% 5.4%
Net Profit (Cr.) 164 250 205 138 188
Earnings Per Share 27.2 41.7 33.9 22.9 31.2

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
ICICI Securities ► Add 1,118 27-Jul-2026
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight nan 20-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 1,118
Coverage 2 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Dodla Dairy is focusing on scaling its Value-Added Products portfolio and expanding in Africa, which has shown robust revenue growth. The company's investment in Sids Farms aims to enhance its presence in premium and e-commerce channels. However, profitability is currently constrained by significant margin compression due to high milk procurement inflation and increased raw material costs. Future catalysts include greenfield expansion in Uganda and potential price adjustments to mitigate cost pressures.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Dodla Dairy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of milk and value-added dairy products in India and internationally. The company offers flavoured, toned, standardized, full cream, ultrahigh temperature processed (UHT)-toned, UHT cow, and UHT-double toned milk; and milk products, such as butter milk, lassi, ghee, paneer, cheese, curd, flavored milk, yoghurt, butter, ice cream, and sweets. It also engages production and sale of cattle feed. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Hyderabad, India.