DINESH

Goodluck India

Latest CMP 508
Today's Change ▼ -3.89%
52-Week High / Low 542 | 306
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 694
Expected Upside 16.9%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 15.7%
1,000 Invested 31-Jan-2008
Today's Value 15,101
Investment Period 19 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-5.1%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
640
2-Year Target Price
694
52-Week High / Low
542 / 306
20-Day Return
+8.4%
Market Cap (Cr.)
5,060
Current PE
26.4
P/BV Ratio
1.1
Dividend Yield
0.7%
Industry PE
47.8

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Goodluck India is strategically pivoting towards high-margin, value-added engineering and defense manufacturing, which management identifies as key growth drivers. The company reported strong Q1 FY27 performance, with a projected revenue growth of 15-20%, although execution risks related to defense capacity expansion and geopolitical uncertainties remain. Vista's financial outlook reflects this optimism, forecasting accelerating revenue growth beyond historical levels while maintaining stable margins. The anticipated expansion in defense production, particularly artillery shells, aligns with government initiatives for self-reliance, enhancing Goodluck's competitive position. However, potential dilution concerns regarding the defense subsidiary and rising costs could impact margins. The industrial equipment sector's favorable conditions, including improving pricing power and supportive policies, further bolster Goodluck's outlook. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include scaling defense production and capitalizing on infrastructure projects, while watchpoints include execution risks and geopolitical volatility that could affect trade dynamics

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strategic pivot towards high-margin defense and renewable energy sectors is expected to drive revenue growth
  • Strong order book and capacity expansion plans in defense manufacturing align with government initiatives for self-reliance
  • Improving pricing power in the industrial equipment sector supports margin stability

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Execution risks related to the delayed defense capacity expansion could hinder short-term growth
  • Geopolitical uncertainties may impact international trade and operational stability
  • Concerns over potential dilution of economic interest in the defense subsidiary could affect investor sentiment

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 3,525 3,936 4,100 4,836 5,464
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 182 221 246 311 355
PBT Margin 5.2% 5.6% 6.0% 6.4% 6.5%
Net Profit (Cr.) 136 169 194 244 276
Earnings Per Share 13.6 17.0 19.3 24.2 27.7

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
ICICI Securities ► Hold 535 21-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 535
Coverage 1 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Goodluck India's transition from traditional steel manufacturing to precision-engineered solutions focuses on high-margin sectors like defence and renewable energy. The company aims to expand its defence vertical, scaling artillery shell production to meet domestic and European demand. Growth is bolstered by government infrastructure projects, such as high-speed rail corridors. However, execution risks from a significant capex plan and potential dilution of economic interest in its defence subsidiary present challenges. A future defence subsidiary IPO could unlock shareholder value, though geopolitical volatility remains a concern.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Goodluck India Limited manufactures and supplies precision engineering and steel products in India. The company provides electric resistance welded and cold drawn welded tubes, custom forgings, power and telecom towers, solar structures, ERW hot dip galvanized pipes, black pipes, black and GI hollow sections, cold formed profile, road safety products, galvanized plain, corrugated sheets, CR coils, CRCA sheets and pipes, forgings and flanges, telecom and transmission line towers, substation structure, road and railways bridge, and road safety equipment. It offers two-wheeler frame, hydraulic cylinder, boiler, crash bumper, engine mounting, and exhaust tubes; CBQ pressure outers; TFF-front fork; drive shaft; rear axles; sections; control arms; fuel lines; furniture; section pipes; and cycle frame, forks, and hub tubes. In addition, the company provides stub-ends/collors, spectacle blind, valve/SRN nozzle, and tube sheet for oil and gas applications; forged body, block, bars, and shape forging; valve forging, ICV, MSV valve, nonstandard, and strainers; and flush ring, nut NPT, nipple, taper union, nut, assembly, and hygiene flange. Further, it offers overhead electrification and substation structure; and fabricated structures for railway and road bridges, roads and expressways, building structures, launching girder, boiler structure, and defense fabrication. The company serves clients from public and private sector OEMs, and central and state government entities. It also exports its products to the United Kingdom, the United States, South Africa, the United Arab Emirates, Germany, and France. The company was formerly known as Good Luck Steel Tubes Limited and changed its name to Goodluck India Limited in June 2016. Goodluck India Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Ghaziabad, India.