DINESH

Greenpanel Industries

Latest CMP 160
Today's Change ▲ 0.80%
52-Week High / Low 309 | 151
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 163
Expected Upside 0.7%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 22.9%
1,000 Invested 23-Oct-2019
Today's Value 4,180
Investment Period 7 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-17.1%
Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
163
2-Year Target Price
163
52-Week High / Low
309 / 151
20-Day Return
+1.7%
Market Cap (Cr.)
1,967
Current PE
—
P/BV Ratio
1.4
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Industry PE
36.5

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Greenpanel Industries is currently navigating a challenging landscape characterized by intense domestic competition and geopolitical headwinds impacting its export business. Management's focus on consolidating its leadership in the MDF market through expanded capacity and operational efficiency is crucial for long-term growth. However, recent price rollbacks to maintain market share have led to margin pressures, complicating the revenue outlook. Vista's forecast reflects a moderation in revenue growth, with expectations of improving margins as input costs stabilize. The company's strategic pivot towards domestic market recovery and operational efficiency is expected to support this outlook, despite the potential for continued volatility in raw material prices. The building materials industry is expanding, providing a favorable backdrop, but Greenpanel's performance will depend on its ability to navigate competitive pressures and geopolitical challenges. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include leveraging increased MDF capacity and improving operational efficiencies, while watchpoints include raw material cost volatility and the competitive landscape in the domestic market

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on operational efficiency and cost optimization is expected to enhance margins over time
  • The company's expanded MDF capacity positions it well to capture market share in a growing industry
  • Improving pricing power in the building materials sector may benefit Greenpanel as input costs stabilize

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Intense domestic competition has forced price rollbacks, impacting margins and revenue growth
  • Geopolitical tensions and high freight costs continue to hinder the export business significantly
  • Potential volatility in raw material prices poses ongoing risks to profitability

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Weak Cash Conversion
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 1,567 1,436 1,539 1,510 1,569
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 182 70 -44 -21 -11
PBT Margin 11.6% 4.9% -2.9% -1.4% -0.7%
Net Profit (Cr.) 141 67 -44 -16 -8
Earnings Per Share 11.5 5.5 -3.6 -1.3 -0.7

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
IDBI Capital ► Hold 195 12-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ▲ Buy 284 12-Aug-2026
Anand Rathi ▲ Buy 320 01-Jun-2026
HDFC Securities ▲ Buy 275 01-Jun-2026
ICICI Securities ► Hold 181 29-May-2026
Investec ▲ Buy 260 19-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Buy
Consensus Target 240
Coverage 6 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Greenpanel Industries is leveraging its expanded MDF manufacturing capacity to drive volume growth and strengthen its market position in the Indian market. The company's shift towards the retail segment has resulted in a 12% increase in MDF volumes, despite intense domestic competition and geopolitical export challenges. Operational efficiencies have yielded cost savings, aiding in debt reduction. However, competitive pressures have led to price rollbacks and margin compression, particularly in the plywood segment. Future catalysts include potential capacity expansion and normalization of export logistics, which could enhance profitability.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Greenpanel Industries Limited engages in the manufacturing and sale of plywood, medium density fibre board (MDF), and allied products under the Greenpanel brand name in India and internationally. The company provides high-density fibreboard, fire-resistant, pre-laminated, HDWR boards, veneered MDF, wooden flooring, plywood, block boards, and wooden flooring and doors. Greenpanel Industries Limited was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Gurugram, India.