DINESH

Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL)

Latest CMP 5,030
Today's Change ▲ 1.92%
52-Week High / Low 5,030 | 3,480
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Hold
Target Price 5,871
Expected Upside 8.0%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 33.1%
1,000 Invested 28-Mar-2018
Today's Value 10,953
Investment Period 8 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+7.6%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
5,411
2-Year Target Price
5,871
52-Week High / Low
5,030 / 3,480
20-Day Return
+12.2%
Market Cap (Cr.)
336,390
Current PE
32.4
P/BV Ratio
8.2
Dividend Yield
1.1%
Industry PE
86.5

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) is positioned for robust growth, supported by a substantial order book of INR 2.54 trillion and a strategic focus on scaling production of key platforms like the LCA Mk-1A and HTT-40. Management's guidance of 10-12% revenue growth and stable EBITDA margins of 30-31% reflects confidence in operational execution, despite challenges related to engine supply and program timelines. The shift towards a balanced revenue mix, with an emphasis on higher-margin manufacturing, is expected to enhance profitability over the long term. However, execution risks remain a critical watchpoint, particularly concerning timely component deliveries and the successful rollout of advanced platforms. The favorable geopolitical environment and increasing government defense spending further bolster HAL's growth prospects. Overall, while the outlook remains positive, the company must navigate potential delays and supply chain complexities to realize its ambitious targets over the next 12-24 months

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Substantial order book of INR 2.54 trillion provides multi-year revenue visibility
  • Management's guidance of 10-12% revenue growth and stable margins reflects confidence in operational execution
  • Strategic pivot towards higher-margin manufacturing is expected to enhance long-term profitability

Things To Watch Out For

  • Execution risks related to engine supply and program timelines could impact revenue realization
  • Dependence on a single primary customer (Ministry of Defence) poses structural risks
  • Potential delays in the rollout of advanced platforms may hinder growth momentum

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 30,381 30,981 33,089 36,377 44,162
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 10,219 10,859 12,152 13,344 15,751
PBT Margin 33.6% 35.1% 3672.5% 36.7% 35.7%
Net Profit (Cr.) 7,316 7,981 9,452 10,377 12,249
Earnings Per Share 109.4 119.3 141.3 155.2 183.1

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Anand Rathi ▲ Buy 5,431 13-Aug-2026
CLSA ▲ Outperform 5,481 13-Aug-2026
Choice Equity ▲ Buy 5,650 13-Aug-2026
Citigroup ▲ Buy 5,550 13-Aug-2026
Elara Capital ▲ Buy 5,350 17-May-2026
Goldman Sachs ▲ Buy 5,870 07-Aug-2026
HDFC Securities ▼ Reduce 3,800 18-May-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 5,300 18-May-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 5,733 09-Apr-2026
JPMorgan ▲ Overweight 5,145 13-Aug-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 6,300 18-May-2026
Kotak Securities ► Add 5,304 13-Aug-2026
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight nan 13-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 5,800 13-Aug-2026
Nomura ▲ Buy 6,314 13-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ▲ Buy 5,795 13-Aug-2026
UBS ▼ Reduce 3,200 18-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 5,610
Coverage 17 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Hindustan Aeronautics benefits from a substantial order book and a strategic focus on expanding manufacturing capacity, particularly for the Tejas Mk-1A program. Analysts highlight the company's efforts to increase indigenous content and balance its revenue mix, which is expected to enhance long-term margins. However, execution risks remain, particularly concerning engine supply and integration challenges. Future catalysts include significant order inflows and the delivery of key aircraft programs, which are expected to drive sustained growth in the domestic defense sector.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Hindustan Aeronautics Limited engages in the design, development, manufacture, repair, overhaul, upgrade, and servicing of aircraft, helicopters, aero-engines, avionics, accessories, and aerospace structures in India and internationally. The company offers basic trainer and light combat aircraft, light transport aircraft, intermediate jet trainer aircraft, light utility and combat helicopters, maritime utility helicopters, and turbofan and turboshaft engines, as well as aerospace products, which include aluminum alloy riveted structures, propellant tanks, and cryogenic engines. It also provides avionics, accessories, and materials comprising flight data recorders, laser range systems, head up displays, auto stabilizers, inertial navigation systems, hydraulic pumps, fuel management systems, oxygen systems, gyroscopic/barometric instruments, panel instruments, ejector release units, flight control systems, wheels and brake systems, ground radars, radar computers, missile inertial navigation solutions, air borne secondary radars, radio navigation equipment, communication equipment, rolled rings, rubber products, powder metallurgy, forgings, and castings. In addition, the company offers air data computer that measures pressure altitude, calibrated airspeed, true airspeed, Mach number, vertical speed, and temperature in the atmosphere. Further, the company provides various services in the areas of aircraft and helicopters MRO, and power plants, as well as systems, accessories, and avionics. It serves space, defense, and civil industries. Hindustan Aeronautics Limited was incorporated in 1940 and is based in Bengaluru, India.