DINESH

Home First Finance

Industry: HFCs
Latest CMP 1,105
Today's Change ▲ 0.95%
52-Week High / Low 1,280 | 901
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 1,813
Expected Upside 28.1%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 17.1%
1,000 Invested 03-Feb-2021
Today's Value 2,446
Investment Period 6 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-2.6%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
1,560
2-Year Target Price
1,813
52-Week High / Low
1,280 / 901
20-Day Return
-8.0%
Market Cap (Cr.)
11,545
Current PE
23.0
P/BV Ratio
2.7
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Industry PE
13.7

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Home First Finance Company is positioned for sustained growth, with management targeting a 25% increase in assets under management (AUM) for FY27, driven by a robust digital-first strategy and disciplined credit underwriting. The company's focus on the affordable housing segment, supported by rising customer incomes and aspirations, is expected to enhance revenue growth and maintain stable profit margins. Despite facing competitive pressures and potential execution risks in co-lending, management's commitment to operational efficiency through technology integration and strategic market expansion in high-potential regions like Uttar Pradesh and southern states underpins Vista's positive financial outlook. The affordable housing finance sector's growth, bolstered by government initiatives and urbanization trends, aligns with Home First's strategic priorities, providing a favorable backdrop for achieving its targets. However, watchpoints include potential regulatory changes and economic fluctuations that could impact consumer confidence. Overall, Vista anticipates a fair valuation with an expected upside of approximately 29%, reinforcing the company's strong market position and growth trajectory over the next 12-24 months

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's target of 25% AUM growth reflects strong demand in the affordable housing segment
  • The integration of technology and AI enhances operational efficiency and underwriting processes
  • Stable profit margins and a disciplined approach to credit underwriting support long-term profitability

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Intensifying competition in the affordable housing finance sector may pressure yields
  • Execution risks in the co-lending portfolio could impact growth momentum
  • Potential regulatory changes and economic fluctuations pose risks to consumer confidence

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Elite Balance Sheet
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 654 820 1,123 1,208 1,426
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 400 502 708 817 994
PBT Margin 61.2% 61.2% 63.0% 67.6% 69.7%
Net Profit (Cr.) 306 388 541 622 757
Earnings Per Share 29.3 37.1 51.8 59.5 72.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Kotak Securities ▲ Buy 1,530 08-Sep-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 1,450 29-Jul-2026
IDBI Capital ▲ Buy 1,400 29-Jul-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 1,425 29-Jul-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ▲ Buy 1,385 29-Jul-2026
Morgan Stanley ▲ Overweight 1,650 13-Jul-2026
Investec ▲ Buy 1,450 30-Jun-2026
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight nan 16-Jun-2026
HDFC Securities ▼ Reduce 1,200 08-May-2026
Bernstein ▲ Buy 1,430 08-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 1,472
Coverage 10 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Home First Finance is leveraging strategic branch expansions and a focus on underserved segments to drive its 25% AUM growth target for FY27. The company's use of AI and technology enhances operational efficiency, supporting its competitive position. While competitive pressures in the affordable housing finance space and execution risks in co-lending pose challenges, the management's disciplined underwriting and market penetration strategies are expected to sustain yields and asset quality. Future growth is anticipated from branch network expansion and market focus, particularly in UP and the Mumbai/Pune regions.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Home First Finance Company India Limited operates as a housing finance company in India. The company offers home, self-construction, renovation, mortgage, shop, and resale, as well as top-up loans. It also provides insurance loan products and loans through mobile applications. The company serves salaried professionals, self-employed individuals, informal earners, and small business owners, as well as corporates. Home First Finance Company India Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.