Vodafone Idea
Stock Snapshot
Price Performance
Vista Outlook
View Technicals Analysis →Basis of our Recommendation
Vodafone Idea's recent operational stabilization, marked by its first positive net subscriber additions post-merger and improved ARPU, reflects management's commitment to aggressive network expansion and premiumization strategies. The INR 64 billion capital infusion is pivotal for achieving 4G coverage parity with competitors, which is expected to enhance revenue growth and margins. However, the company faces execution risks, including a declining core subscriber base and rising operational costs due to inflation and supply chain issues. Vista's financial outlook anticipates stable revenue growth and improving margins, supported by the structural tailwinds of the Indian telecom market, including low penetration and increasing digital adoption. Nevertheless, the high valuation relative to peers and substantial capital requirements for debt servicing and capex remain significant headwinds. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the ongoing network rollout and diversification into digital financial services, while watchpoints include subscriber retention and competitive pressures. Overall, while the outlook is cautiously optimistic, the path to recovery is fraught with challenges that could impact long-term growth potential
Why We Like This Stock
- First positive net subscriber additions post-merger indicate operational stabilization
- Aggressive network rollout supported by substantial capital infusion aims for 4G coverage parity
- Improving ARPU driven by premiumization and digital service expansion presents growth opportunities
Things To Watch Out For
- Declining core subscriber base poses risks to revenue stability
- High operational costs from inflation and supply chain issues could pressure margins
- Significant capital requirements for debt servicing and network expansion create financial strain
Key Parameters
Financial Snapshot
| Actuals | Forecast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 | |
| Revenue (Cr.) | 42,652 | 43,571 | 44,873 | 46,523 | 48,712 |
| Profit Before Tax (Cr.) | -31,238 | -27,465 | -24,059 | -8,717 | -15,198 |
| PBT Margin | -73.2% | -63.0% | -5361.6% | -18.7% | -31.2% |
| Net Profit (Cr.) | -32,066 | -27,462 | -24,059 | -6,538 | -11,399 |
| Earnings Per Share | -3.0 | -2.5 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -1.1 |
Analyst Recommendations
| Broker | Recommendation | Target Price | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLSA | ► Hold | 13 | 11-Aug-2026 |
| Citigroup | ▲ Buy | 17 | 12-Aug-2026 |
| JPMorgan | ▼ Underweight | 9 | 11-Aug-2026 |
| Motilal Oswal | ► Neutral | 11 | 12-Aug-2026 |
| Nomura | ► Neutral | 13 | 11-Aug-2026 |
| Nuvama | ► Neutral | 13 | 12-Aug-2026 |
| UBS | ▲ Buy | 15 | 09-Jun-2026 |
Company Overview
Show Company Profile
Vodafone Idea Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile telecommunication services in India. The company offers voice services, such as 4G VoLTE and Voice over WIFI calling; broadband data services on 3G, 4G, and 5G platforms; content and digital products and services; value-added services, including over-the-top paid subscription, digital advertising, gaming, digital marketplace, and utility bill payment app, as well as voice and short messaging services; and long distance and internet service provider services. It also engages in renting of passive infrastructure to telecommunication service providers; outsourcing backend IT support, data centre operations, and hosting; and provision of high speed broadband internet access through cable network and high bandwidth internet broadband, and manpower services. In addition, the company trades in mobile handsets, data cards, and related accessories and services; outsources finance and accounts, human resources, supply chain management, credit and collection support, and customer support, as well as caters to the information technology (IT) needs for data consolidation. Further, it offers technology, software, hardware, VAS, application software, and contents and related products and services, which facilitate and develop access to IT enabled VAS products and services on single or multiple platforms or operating systems; and data centre related services and IT solutions, including E-SIMs activation, as well as prepaid and postpaid plans. The company was formerly known as Idea Cellular Limited and changed its name to Vodafone Idea Limited in August 2018. Vodafone Idea Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India.