DINESH

Interglobe Aviation

Industry: Airlines
Latest CMP 4,984
Today's Change ▲ 2.30%
52-Week High / Low 5,934 | 3,944
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 5,541
Expected Upside 5.4%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 16.2%
1,000 Invested 10-Nov-2015
Today's Value 5,115
Investment Period 11 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-3.6%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
5,541
2-Year Target Price
5,541
52-Week High / Low
5,934 / 3,944
20-Day Return
+0.1%
Market Cap (Cr.)
192,731
Current PE
—
P/BV Ratio
29.8
Dividend Yield
0.2%
Industry PE
—

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo) is navigating a complex operational landscape marked by elevated fuel costs and geopolitical tensions, yet management remains committed to a long-term growth strategy. Recent commentary highlights a focus on expanding international capacity to 40% by 2030, supported by a robust order book of over 900 aircraft and strategic investments in fleet modernization and digital infrastructure. Despite short-term earnings pressures, driven by high ATF prices and currency volatility, the company is leveraging its dominant domestic market share to maintain pricing discipline and protect margins. Vista's financial outlook anticipates accelerating revenue growth, underpinned by strong demand and operational resilience, while margins are expected to remain stable despite current headwinds. The airline industry is experiencing a resurgence in travel demand, which, coupled with IndiGo's strategic initiatives, positions the company favorably for long-term growth. However, watchpoints include ongoing fuel price volatility and geopolitical risks that could impact profitability. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities lie in international expansion and operational efficiency, while headwinds include competitive pricing pressures and external macroeconomic factors

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's commitment to expanding international capacity to 40% by 2030 supports long-term growth
  • Strong domestic market share provides a competitive advantage and pricing power
  • Strategic investments in fleet modernization and digital infrastructure enhance operational efficiency

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Elevated fuel costs and currency volatility are pressuring near-term margins
  • Geopolitical tensions could disrupt operations and impact profitability
  • Intense competition in the airline industry may lead to pricing pressures

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Financial Stress Risk
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Irregular
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 68,904 80,803 84,962 92,561 103,189
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 7,054 6,107 -367 -2,700 1,966
PBT Margin 10.2% 7.6% -0.4% -2.9% 1.9%
Net Profit (Cr.) 7,053 5,837 -712 -2,025 1,475
Earnings Per Share 182.4 151.0 -18.4 -52.4 38.1

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Goldman Sachs ▲ Buy 5,900 29-Sep-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 5,840 21-Sep-2026
HSBC ▲ Buy 6,040 09-Sep-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 6,020 01-Sep-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 6,580 28-Aug-2026
Anand Rathi ▲ Buy 5,550 27-Jul-2026
Ambit Capital ▲ Buy 5,350 24-Jul-2026
Citigroup ▲ Buy 5,800 24-Jul-2026
Elara Capital ▲ Buy 6,020 24-Jul-2026
Investec ▼ Reduce 4,050 24-Jul-2026
JPMorgan ► Neutral 4,740 24-Jul-2026
Kotak Securities ▲ Buy 5,900 24-Jul-2026
Moneycontrol ► Equalweight nan 24-Jul-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Hold 4,520 24-Jul-2026
UBS ► Hold 5,450 24-Jul-2026
Nuvama ► Hold 5,335 10-Jun-2026
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 5,200 09-Jun-2026
Morgan Stanley ▲ Overweight 5,844 09-Jun-2026
BofA ▲ Buy 5,100 01-Jun-2026
JMFinancials ► Hold 5,000 29-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 5,795
Coverage 20 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo) is transforming into a global aviation platform by expanding its international network and increasing fleet ownership, supported by a strategic engine partnership with CFM International. Analysts highlight the company's robust domestic market share as a competitive advantage, feeding international routes. Despite challenges from forex volatility, high fuel costs, and geopolitical risks, IndiGo's focus on capacity expansion and operational efficiency, including new MRO capabilities, underpins a positive long-term outlook. Key catalysts include the induction of new aircraft and the commissioning of an MRO facility to enhance fleet resilience.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

InterGlobe Aviation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services under the IndiGo brand in India and internationally. The company offers pre-flight and post-flight ground handling operations; passenger and cargo services; and related allied services, such as in-flight sales, and other allied services at the airports. It also engages in aircraft and aircraft engine leasing, as well as related financial services. In addition, the company provides cargo transport; charter flights; hotel booking services through its website and mobile app; and cadet pilot program for pilot training. As of March 31, 2025, its fleet consisted of 434 aircraft. The company serves businesses, leisure travelers, students, and families. InterGlobe Aviation Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Gurugram, India.