DINESH

Kalyan Jewellers

Industry: Jewellery
Latest CMP 608
Today's Change ▼ -0.84%
52-Week High / Low 635 | 331
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 863
Expected Upside 19.1%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 41.9%
1,000 Invested 26-Mar-2021
Today's Value 6,600
Investment Period 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+9.6%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
738
2-Year Target Price
863
52-Week High / Low
635 / 331
20-Day Return
+6.7%
Market Cap (Cr.)
62,814
Current PE
48.7
P/BV Ratio
10.0
Dividend Yield
0.2%
Industry PE
22.2

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Kalyan Jewellers is navigating a robust demand environment, bolstered by strategic initiatives such as the 'Shine with India' program aimed at enhancing gold recirculation and the introduction of the 'ATM' brand to capture market share from unorganised players. Management's pivot towards a capital-light FOCO model is expected to drive operational efficiencies and improve return ratios, despite facing short-term margin pressures from increased employee costs and a higher mix of recycled gold. Vista's financial outlook reflects a projected revenue growth of 21.3% over the next 12 months, supported by aggressive store expansion and a strong same-store sales growth trajectory. The jewellery sector's resilience, driven by sustained wedding demand and improving pricing power, further underpins Kalyan's growth prospects. However, potential headwinds include margin compression from recycled gold and demand volatility in the discretionary segment. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities lie in expanding the Candere e-commerce platform and leveraging the FOCO model for accelerated growth, while watchpoints include execution risks associated with aggressive expansion plans and fluctuating gold prices

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong revenue growth driven by robust wedding demand and aggressive store expansion
  • Successful transition to a capital-light FOCO model enhancing operational efficiencies
  • Strategic initiatives like 'Shine with India' and 'ATM' brand launch to capture market share

Things To Watch Out For

  • Short-term margin pressures from increased employee costs and a higher mix of recycled gold
  • Potential demand volatility in the discretionary jewellery segment
  • Execution risks associated with aggressive expansion plans and supply-side disruptions

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 18,548 25,045 35,743 38,953 47,439
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 788 964 1,844 2,065 2,525
PBT Margin 4.2% 3.8% 515.9% 5.3% 5.3%
Net Profit (Cr.) 589 661 1,233 1,382 1,690
Earnings Per Share 5.7 6.4 11.9 13.4 16.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
BOB Capital Markets ▲ Buy 490 09-May-2026
Citigroup ▲ Buy 800 05-Aug-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 680 05-Aug-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 600 15-May-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 830 07-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 800
Coverage 5 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Kalyan Jewellers' 46% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY27 is underpinned by robust same-store sales growth and an aggressive expansion strategy, including 84 new FOCO showrooms. The strategic pivot to the FOCO model enhances return ratios, with TTM ROCE at 30.3%. Although gross margins face pressure from a higher recycled gold mix, initiatives like 'Cash for Gold' and customs duty benefits are mitigating factors. The launch of the 'ATM' format in Tamil Nadu presents a significant growth opportunity. Key risks include sustained margin compression and execution risks in the rapid rollout of new formats.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Kalyan Jewellers India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and retail of various gold and precious stone studded jewelry products. It offers gold, diamond, silver, platinum, gemstone, and white and rose gold jewelries, including wedding, staple regional, aspirational, studded, and other jewelries. The company also provides chains, necklaces, bangles, bracelets, nose studs, choker, jewelry, and moti sets, daily wear, vaddanam, rings, earrings, pendants, anklets, pearls, studs, jhumka, lockets, harams, kadas, payals, and second studs. It offers its products under MUDHRA, NIMAH, ANOKHI, RANG, TEJASVI, ZIAH, LAYA, GLO, CANDERE, VEDHA, APOORVA, HERA, and MUHURAT brand names. In addition, the company operates showrooms in India and the Middle East, as well as My Kalyan Grassroots stores. Further, it sells its products through an online platform, candere.com. Kalyan Jewellers India Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Thrissur, India.