DINESH

Kalyan Jewellers

Industry: Jewellery
Latest CMP 553
Today's Change ▼ -2.76%
52-Week High / Low 632 | 329
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 873
Expected Upside 25.7%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 47.0%
1,000 Invested 26-Mar-2021
Today's Value 8,399
Investment Period 6 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+9.1%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
758
2-Year Target Price
873
52-Week High / Low
632 / 329
20-Day Return
-5.1%
Market Cap (Cr.)
57,124
Current PE
49.5
P/BV Ratio
9.1
Dividend Yield
0.2%
Industry PE
18.6

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Kalyan Jewellers is navigating a dynamic landscape characterized by strong operational resilience and strategic pivots that are expected to bolster its financial outlook. Management's focus on aggressive showroom expansion and the introduction of the 'House of Regional Brands' model is pivotal, as it aims to capture value-conscious consumers transitioning from unorganised to organised retail. This strategy not only enhances market share but also aligns with the growing consumer preference for established brands. Vista's forecast anticipates stable margins and a moderate revenue growth trajectory, supported by the company's capital-efficient approach and the successful integration of the Candere brand. However, headwinds such as recent gold import duty hikes and global economic volatility could pressure margins and consumer spending. The jewellery industry remains resilient, driven by strong wedding demand and a shift towards organised retail, which bodes well for Kalyan's growth. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include expanding the 'My Kalyan' network and leveraging the FOCO model, while watchpoints include execution risks in new market entries and potential demand fluctuations due to economic conditions

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Aggressive showroom expansion and the 'House of Regional Brands' model are expected to capture market share from unorganised players
  • Management's focus on a capital-efficient growth strategy and debt reduction enhances financial stability
  • Strong wedding demand and consumer preference for organised brands support revenue growth

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Recent duty hikes on gold imports could compress margins and affect pricing strategies
  • Volatility in gold prices may impact consumer purchasing decisions and overall demand
  • Execution risks associated with the rollout of new regional brands could hinder growth targets

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 18,548 25,045 35,743 39,003 46,275
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 788 964 1,844 2,041 2,457
PBT Margin 4.2% 3.8% 5.2% 5.2% 5.3%
Net Profit (Cr.) 589 661 1,233 1,366 1,644
Earnings Per Share 5.7 6.4 11.9 13.2 15.9

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
UBS ▲ Buy 900 29-Sep-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 680 24-Aug-2026
Citigroup ▲ Buy 800 17-Aug-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 830 07-Aug-2026
HSBC ▲ Buy 710 01-Jul-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 600 15-May-2026
BOB Capital Markets ▲ Buy 490 09-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 815
Coverage 7 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Kalyan Jewellers is leveraging a 'House of Regional Brands' strategy to tap into the value-conscious segment, beginning with Akshaya Thanga Maligai in Tamil Nadu. This approach, supported by a cost-efficient FOCO model, is designed to enhance inventory velocity and reduce marketing costs, despite lower gross margins. Analysts highlight the potential for rapid expansion and customer acquisition, yet note risks in execution and heightened competition in South India. The strategy's success could significantly bolster Kalyan's growth trajectory and market positioning.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Kalyan Jewellers India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and retail of various gold and precious stone studded jewelry products in India, the Middle East, the United states of America, and United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers gold, diamond, silver, platinum, gemstone, and white and rose gold jewelry, including wedding, staple regional, aspirational, studded, and other jewelries. The company also provides chains, necklaces, bangles, bracelets, nose studs, choker, jewelry, and moti sets, daily wear, vaddanam, rings, earrings, pendants, anklets, pearls, studs, jhumka, lockets, harams, kadas, payals, and second studs. It offers its products under MUDHRA, NIMAH, ANOKHI, RANG, TEJASVI, ZIAH, LAYA, GLO, CANDERE, VEDHA, APOORVA, HERA, and MUHURAT brand names. Further, it sells its products through an online platform, candere.com. Kalyan Jewellers India Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Thrissur, India.