DINESH

Kaynes Technologies

Industry: EMS
Latest CMP 3,660
Today's Change ▼ -2.67%
52-Week High / Low 7,593 | 3,001
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 5,107
Expected Upside 18.1%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested
Today's Value
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+8.6%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
3,913
2-Year Target Price
5,107
52-Week High / Low
7,593 / 3,001
20-Day Return
+10.0%
Market Cap (Cr.)
24,534
Current PE
66.4
P/BV Ratio
5.2
Dividend Yield
Industry PE
78.0

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Kaynes Technology is navigating a complex transition, balancing aggressive growth in its core EMS business with strategic pivots towards high-value segments like OSAT and PCB manufacturing. Management's cautious pragmatism is evident as they address working capital challenges and supply chain constraints, particularly in the smart metering segment, which has pressured margins. Despite achieving 40% YoY revenue growth, the company is moderating low-margin operations to enhance balance sheet health. Vista's financial outlook reflects these dynamics, projecting moderated revenue growth and continued margin pressure, with a target price of INR 3756 for the next 12 months. The EMS sector's robust growth trajectory, supported by government initiatives and a shift towards higher-margin products, provides a favorable backdrop. However, execution risks in capital-intensive projects and ongoing cash flow issues remain critical watchpoints. Over the next 12-24 months, Kaynes is expected to benefit from new customer wins in the EV and industrial sectors, while the successful commissioning of new facilities will be pivotal for long-term growth

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong order book growth in core EMS business, indicating robust demand
  • Strategic focus on high-value segments like OSAT and PCB manufacturing, expected to drive long-term growth
  • Government initiatives supporting local manufacturing enhance competitive positioning

Things To Watch Out For

  • Ongoing working capital challenges and cash flow issues, particularly in the smart metering segment
  • Execution risks associated with the timely ramp-up of new semiconductor and PCB facilities
  • Moderated revenue growth expectations due to supply chain constraints and elevated component costs

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Strong and Investable
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 1,805 2,722 3,626 3,995 5,323
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 230 363 478 454 651
PBT Margin 12.7% 13.3% 1318.3% 11.4% 12.2%
Net Profit (Cr.) 183 290 344 326 467
Earnings Per Share 27.4 43.3 51.3 48.6 69.7

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
BNP Paribas ▼ Reduce 2,990 06-Jun-2026
CLSA ► Hold 3,650 10-Aug-2026
HDFC Securities ▼ Reduce 3,810 06-Apr-2026
ICICI Securities ► Hold 2,590 18-May-2026
JPMorgan ► Neutral 3,600 10-Aug-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 3,970 15-May-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Reduce 3,550 10-Aug-2026
Moneycontrol ▼ Underweight nan 30-Jun-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 5,000 10-Aug-2026
Nomura ► Neutral 4,094 10-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 4,390 10-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 4,024
Coverage 11 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Kaynes Technologies is leveraging its robust EMS business to offset weaknesses in the smart-metering segment, while aggressively expanding into high-growth verticals like Aerospace and Defense. The company's strategic focus on OSAT and PCB manufacturing, backed by partnerships and customer commitments, is expected to drive future revenue. However, execution risks related to new facility ramp-ups and supply chain volatility pose challenges. Management's efforts to normalize working capital and improve cash flow are critical to sustaining investor confidence amid these headwinds.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Kaynes Technology India Limited operates as an end-to-end and IoT solutions-enabled integrated electronics manufacturer in India and internationally. It provides conceptual design, process engineering, integrated manufacturing, and life cycle support for various industries including automotive, industrial, aerospace and defence, outer-space, nuclear, medical, railways, internet of things, information technology, and other industries. Kaynes Technology India Limited was founded in 1988 and is based in Mysore, India.