DINESH

Kaynes Technologies

Industry: EMS
Latest CMP 3,501
Today's Change ▼ -0.30%
52-Week High / Low 7,593 | 3,001
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 5,283
Expected Upside 22.8%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested —
Today's Value —
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+5.6%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
4,241
2-Year Target Price
5,283
52-Week High / Low
7,593 / 3,001
20-Day Return
+0.5%
Market Cap (Cr.)
23,467
Current PE
70.2
P/BV Ratio
4.9
Dividend Yield
—
Industry PE
85.8

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Kaynes Technologies is currently navigating a pivotal transition, shifting focus from top-line growth to cash flow generation and balance sheet health. Management has acknowledged challenges in the smart-metering segment, which has strained working capital, prompting a strategic moderation of growth in that area. The company is undertaking a significant Rs 8,500 crore capex program aimed at expanding its capabilities in high-value sectors such as OSAT and PCB, which are expected to drive long-term revenue growth. Vista's financial outlook reflects a cautious optimism, with revenue growth moderating but supported by a robust order book of Rs 8,900 crore. Margins are under pressure due to input cost inflation and supply chain constraints, yet the strategic pivot towards higher-margin segments is anticipated to enhance profitability over time. The EMS sector's steady growth, bolstered by government incentives, provides a favorable backdrop, although geopolitical risks and market saturation in traditional sectors remain watchpoints. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include successful execution of new manufacturing capacities and improved cash flow management, while headwinds may arise from ongoing supply chain challenges and the need for effective capital allocation

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong order book of Rs 8,900 crore supports future revenue growth
  • Strategic pivot towards high-value segments like OSAT and PCB expected to enhance profitability
  • Government incentives are bolstering local manufacturing capabilities in the EMS sector

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Working capital pressures from the smart-metering segment are impacting cash flow
  • Margin pressures due to input cost inflation and supply chain constraints
  • Execution risks associated with the timely ramp-up of new manufacturing facilities

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Strong and Investable
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 1,805 2,722 3,626 3,993 5,231
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 230 363 478 465 636
PBT Margin 12.7% 13.3% 13.2% 11.7% 12.2%
Net Profit (Cr.) 183 290 344 334 457
Earnings Per Share 27.4 43.3 51.3 49.8 68.1

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Jeffries ▲ Buy 4,480 11-Sep-2026
Moneycontrol ► Equalweight nan 07-Sep-2026
Nomura ► Neutral 3,800 03-Sep-2026
Emkay Global ▼ Reduce 3,300 17-Aug-2026
Macguire ► Hold 3,800 11-Aug-2026
CLSA ► Hold 3,650 10-Aug-2026
JPMorgan ► Neutral 3,600 10-Aug-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Reduce 3,550 10-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 5,000 10-Aug-2026
Nomura ► Neutral 4,094 10-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 4,390 10-Aug-2026
BNP Paribas ▼ Reduce 2,990 06-Jun-2026
ICICI Securities ► Hold 2,590 18-May-2026
HDFC Securities ▼ Reduce 3,810 06-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 3,968
Coverage 14 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Kaynes Technologies is transitioning from a project-based model to a manufacturing-led approach, focusing on high-growth segments like OSAT and PCB manufacturing. This strategic shift is expected to drive long-term growth, bolstered by a strong order book and diversification into sectors such as space and defense electronics. Despite these positives, the company faces significant execution risks, particularly in ramping up new facilities, and is challenged by a stretched working capital cycle due to high receivables in the smart-metering segment. Successful cash flow improvements and operational execution are critical for future valuation support.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Kaynes Technology India Limited designs, manufactures, and sells electronic modules and solutions in India and internationally. It provides conceptual design, process engineering, integrated manufacturing, and life cycle support for various industries including automotive, industrial, aerospace and defence, outer-space, medical, railways, internet of things, information technology, and other industries. Kaynes Technology India Limited was founded in 1988 and is based in Mysore, India.