DINESH

MRF Ltd

Industry: Tyres
Latest CMP 125,280
Today's Change ▲ 1.79%
52-Week High / Low 162,006 | 122,381
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 136,612
Expected Upside 4.4%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 19.0%
1,000 Invested 01-Oct-2006
Today's Value 32,374
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-2.5%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
126,081
2-Year Target Price
136,612
52-Week High / Low
162,006 / 122,381
20-Day Return
-4.0%
Market Cap (Cr.)
53,119
Current PE
21.6
P/BV Ratio
2.5
Dividend Yield
0.2%
Industry PE
21.6

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

MRF Limited's recent performance reflects a complex interplay of resilience and challenges within the tyre industry. Management has highlighted a cautious optimism, particularly in outperforming the industry in the Passenger Vehicle segment and successfully entering the premium superbike tyre market. However, rising raw material costs and geopolitical supply chain disruptions are exerting significant pressure on margins, with expectations of continued margin compression. Vista's financial outlook anticipates moderating revenue growth and persistent margin pressures, aligning with management's conservative stance. The company's strategic focus on R&D for low-rolling-resistance tyres and operational efficiency is crucial for maintaining its competitive position. While the tyre industry is experiencing expanding demand, MRF's ability to navigate these challenges will be pivotal in sustaining its market share. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include leveraging export growth and improving pricing power, while headwinds such as commodity price inflation and competition from imports remain critical watchpoints. Overall, MRF's current valuation reflects expectations of long-term growth, but the potential for a value trap exists given the projected earnings trajectory

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Successful entry into the premium superbike tyre market enhances revenue diversification
  • Strong OEM and replacement demand supports top-line resilience despite macro challenges
  • Strategic focus on R&D and operational efficiency aims to mitigate cost pressures

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising raw material costs are significantly compressing margins
  • Geopolitical tensions are creating supply chain uncertainties that could impact operations
  • Intense competition from Chinese imports poses a risk to market share and profitability

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Sell
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 25,169 28,152 31,149 31,352 33,230
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 2,797 2,478 3,285 3,038 3,268
PBT Margin 11.1% 8.8% 10.5% 9.7% 9.8%
Net Profit (Cr.) 2,164 1,869 2,522 2,324 2,500
Earnings Per Share 5102.8 4408.7 5948.1 5480.2 5896.2

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
CLSA ▲ Outperform 165,000 12-Aug-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Sell 125,000 12-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ▼ Sell 113,936 12-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▼ Sell
Consensus Target 125,000
Coverage 3 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
MRF's revenue growth is bolstered by robust demand from OEMs and the replacement market, yet profitability faces challenges from elevated raw material costs and supply chain issues linked to the Middle East crisis. Analysts highlight the company's strategic focus on cost management and pricing to defend margins, though concerns persist over expensive valuations and declining return ratios. Future demand recovery may hinge on easing supply chain disruptions and monsoon performance.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

MRF Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of rubber products in India and internationally. The company provides tires for passenger cars, two wheelers, farms, trucks, OTR, SCV, LCV, pick up, three-wheeler, MCV, ICV, tubes, and flap products; tread rubber product; and manufactures specialty coatings. It is also involved in the paints and coats, sports goods, pretreads, and motorsports businesses; and heavy-duty truck/bus tyres, light truck, MUV/RCV/passenger cars, farm services, military services, fork-lift, off the road/earth movers, and MRF commercial tyres products. In addition, the company offers MRF tyres and services that provide buy tyres, tubeless repair, purest nitrogen filling, wheel alignment and balancing, and tire changing; MRF TireTok which offers robotic wheel aligner, vehicle safety test lane, diagnostic wheel balancer, semi-automatic tyre changer, A/C recovery and recharging unit, electronic headlight aligner, nitrogen generator membrane type, and special two-wheeler tire changer; MRF Tyredrome; MRF FASST that offers wheels removal and refitment, nitrogen inflation, and tire mounting and de-mounting services; and MRF MuscleZone, as well as provides training for light and heavy commercial vehicle driving. MRF Limited was founded in 1946 and is based in Chennai, India.