DINESH

Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals

Latest CMP 169
Today's Change ▼ -1.37%
52-Week High / Low 207 | 130
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Strong Buy
Target Price 405
Expected Upside 54.7%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 9.7%
1,000 Invested 01-Oct-2006
Today's Value 6,359
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+11.7%
Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
313
2-Year Target Price
405
52-Week High / Low
207 / 130
20-Day Return
-3.8%
Market Cap (Cr.)
29,670
Current PE
9.1
P/BV Ratio
2.1
Dividend Yield
1.6%
Industry PE
5.1

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) is navigating a complex landscape characterized by rising crude prices and geopolitical tensions, which have pressured margins despite a recovery in revenue growth. Management's focus on operational resilience and strategic initiatives, such as expanding retail outlets and transitioning towards sustainable refining, positions the company for long-term growth. The recent emphasis on digital optimization and energy efficiency aligns with Vista's forecast of stable production levels and cautious margin recovery. While the company faces near-term challenges, including the impact of the Special Additional Excise Duty on profitability, the outlook remains supported by improving pricing power and strong demand for petroleum products. Vista's financial outlook anticipates an expected upside of approximately 82%, with a target price of INR 321.29 over the next 12 months. However, investors should remain vigilant regarding geopolitical risks and supply chain disruptions that could impact profitability. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the development of specialized products and infrastructure investments, while headwinds may arise from fluctuating crude prices and regulatory pressures

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on expanding retail outlets serves as a hedge against export market volatility
  • The transition towards sustainable refining and digital optimization enhances operational efficiency
  • Strong demand for petroleum products and improving pricing power support revenue growth

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising crude prices and geopolitical tensions are exerting pressure on margins
  • The Special Additional Excise Duty is impacting near-term profitability
  • Fluctuating global oil prices and regulatory challenges pose ongoing risks

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 90,407 94,682 88,667 139,997 172,962
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 5,675 125 4,015 6,646 9,243
PBT Margin 6.3% 0.1% 4.5% 4.7% 5.3%
Net Profit (Cr.) 4,657 106 3,310 5,482 7,625
Earnings Per Share 26.6 0.6 18.9 31.3 43.5

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Choice Equity ▲ Buy 215 17-Jul-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Sell 144 17-Jul-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Hold 150 16-Jul-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 214 26-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 150
Coverage 4 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
MRPL leverages its high 11.7 Nelson Complexity Index to capitalize on favorable middle-distillate spreads, enhancing its competitive position. Strategic initiatives, including the Bengaluru ATF pipeline and SAF certification, support future growth. However, challenges such as inventory headwinds, elevated crude costs, and the Special Additional Excise Duty (SAED) impact margins. Analysts highlight the chemicals project as a significant future catalyst, with potential for long-term growth despite current earnings pressures.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited engages in refining of crude oil in India and internationally. The company offers bitumen, high speed diesel, MS, Xylol, PetCoke, Sulphur, paraxylene, benzene, heavy aromatics, paraffinic raffinate, reformate, toluene, mineral turpentine oil, and other products, as well as LPG, naphtha, toluene, SKO, and furnace oil; and petrochemical products, such as polypropylene. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Mangalore, India. Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited operates as a subsidiary of Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited.