DINESH

Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals

Latest CMP 171
Today's Change ▼ -2.20%
52-Week High / Low 207 | 119
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Strong Buy
Target Price 413
Expected Upside 55.6%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 9.3%
1,000 Invested 15-Aug-2006
Today's Value 5,970
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+11.2%
Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
316
2-Year Target Price
413
52-Week High / Low
207 / 119
20-Day Return
-0.2%
Market Cap (Cr.)
29,889
Current PE
8.9
P/BV Ratio
2.1
Dividend Yield
1.6%
Industry PE
5.2

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) is navigating a complex landscape characterized by rising crude costs and geopolitical tensions, yet management's strategic initiatives position the company for future growth. Recent earnings calls highlight MRPL's operational resilience, with a focus on expanding its retail footprint and enhancing logistics capabilities, which are expected to drive revenue growth and margin recovery over the next 12-24 months. Despite facing near-term margin pressures due to elevated crude prices and the Special Additional Excise Duty, the company's proactive approach to infrastructure development and green energy transition, including SAF certification, supports a positive long-term outlook. Vista's financial forecast reflects an early recovery in revenue, with stable margins anticipated as the company capitalizes on favorable market conditions. The overall industry context, marked by improving pricing power and a stable cyclicality profile, further reinforces MRPL's growth potential. Key opportunities include the expansion of specialized products and retail outlets, while headwinds consist of ongoing geopolitical risks and fluctuating crude prices. Overall, MRPL's strategic focus and operational excellence provide a solid foundation for future value creation

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on expanding retail outlets and logistics capabilities is expected to enhance revenue growth
  • The company's strategic pivot towards integrated refining and marketing supports long-term value creation
  • Improving pricing power within the industry provides a favorable environment for margin recovery

Things To Watch Out For

  • Elevated crude prices and the impact of the Special Additional Excise Duty are pressuring margins in the near term
  • Geopolitical tensions continue to introduce volatility in procurement costs and operational stability
  • The company's reliance on future projects for growth may pose risks if timelines are delayed

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 90,407 94,682 88,667 141,064 154,089
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 5,675 125 4,015 8,659 9,713
PBT Margin 6.3% 0.1% 452.8% 6.1% 6.3%
Net Profit (Cr.) 4,657 106 3,310 7,143 8,013
Earnings Per Share 26.6 0.6 18.9 40.8 45.7

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Choice Equity ▲ Buy 215 17-Jul-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 214 26-Apr-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Sell 144 17-Jul-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Hold 150 16-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 150
Coverage 4 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
MRPL leverages its high 11.7 Nelson Complexity Index to capitalize on favorable middle-distillate spreads, enhancing its competitive position. Strategic initiatives, including the Bengaluru ATF pipeline and SAF certification, support future growth. However, challenges such as inventory headwinds, elevated crude costs, and the Special Additional Excise Duty (SAED) impact margins. Analysts highlight the chemicals project as a significant future catalyst, with potential for long-term growth despite current earnings pressures.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of refined petroleum products in India. The company produces and sells bitumen, Xylol, high speed diesel, xylol, pet coke, sulphur, and motor gasoline, as well as polypropylene and other products. It also sells petrochemical products, such as aromatic products comprising paraxylene, benzene, heavy aromatics, paraffinic raffinate, reformate, and toluene. In addition, the company operates retail outlets. It also exports its products. Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Mangalore, India. Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited is a subsidiary of Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited.