DINESH

Muthoot Microfin

Industry: NBFC Lending
Latest CMP 178
Today's Change ▲ 0.43%
52-Week High / Low 256 | 145
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 239
Expected Upside 15.9%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested —
Today's Value —
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-17.4%
Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
230
2-Year Target Price
239
52-Week High / Low
256 / 145
20-Day Return
-13.8%
Market Cap (Cr.)
2,993
Current PE
17.0
P/BV Ratio
1.0
Dividend Yield
—
Industry PE
23.5

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Muthoot Microfin is strategically transforming its business model to enhance resilience and diversify its lending portfolio, focusing on secured assets like gold loans. Management's optimistic outlook is supported by improved asset quality and a commitment to operational efficiency, which aligns with Vista's forecast of recovering revenue growth and expanding margins. The company's shift towards a higher-yield product mix and aggressive digital adoption positions it well to achieve its 20% growth guidance over the next 12-24 months. However, potential regulatory changes and competition from traditional banks remain critical watchpoints. Overall, the favorable macro environment, characterized by stable economic conditions and government support for MSMEs, further bolsters Muthoot's growth prospects, with an expected upside of approximately 41.78% in the coming year

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on secured lending, particularly gold loans, enhances revenue potential and asset quality
  • The company's commitment to digital transformation is expected to lower operational costs and improve underwriting efficiency
  • Strong government initiatives supporting MSME financing create a favorable environment for growth

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Potential regulatory changes could impact loan pricing and structures, posing risks to profitability
  • Increased competition from traditional banks may pressure market share and margins
  • Economic fluctuations could affect borrower repayment capacity, impacting overall asset quality

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Not Available
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 1,383 1,632 1,496 1,654 1,922
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 582 -289 209 240 276
PBT Margin 42.1% -17.7% 14.0% 14.5% 14.4%
Net Profit (Cr.) 437 -336 194 223 257
Earnings Per Share 26.0 -20.0 11.5 13.3 15.3

Analyst Recommendations

No analyst recommendations available.

Consensus Recommendation ► None
Consensus Target —
Coverage 0 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Muthoot Microfin Limited, a non-deposit taking non-banking financial company, provides micro loans to women entrepreneurs in rural regions of India. The company offers income generating, Pragathi, Suvidha, and individual loans; education, mobile phones, solar lighting product, and household appliances product loans; sanitation improvement loans; and secured loans. It also provides value-added services, such as wellness combo and property insurance. The company was formerly known as Panchratna Securities Limited and changed its name to Muthoot Microfin Limited in October 2012. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Kochi, India. Muthoot Microfin Limited operates as a subsidiary of Muthoot Fincorp Limited.