DINESH

Nelcast Ltd

Latest CMP 123
Today's Change ▲ 3.76%
52-Week High / Low 159 | 88
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Strong Sell
Target Price 125
Expected Upside 0.5%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested —
Today's Value —
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-14.2%
Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
110
2-Year Target Price
125
52-Week High / Low
159 / 88
20-Day Return
+4.9%
Market Cap (Cr.)
1,074
Current PE
19.9
P/BV Ratio
1.8
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Industry PE
29.8

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Nelcast Ltd's management has expressed a cautiously optimistic outlook for FY27, driven by strong domestic demand in the tractor and medium & heavy commercial vehicle (M&HCV) segments, alongside a recovery in export markets. The company's strategic pivot towards high-value products, such as heavy-duty axles and power steering components, is expected to enhance margins and improve the product mix. However, elevated input costs and macroeconomic headwinds have pressured margins, which are anticipated to recover through operational leverage and price adjustments. Vista's financial outlook reflects stable revenue growth consistent with historical performance, although margins are expected to face ongoing pressure due to raw material price volatility. The company's robust balance sheet and unutilized capacity position it well to capitalize on growth opportunities in the automotive supply chain. Industry dynamics, including improving pricing power and stable demand, support this outlook, although potential supply chain disruptions and economic downturns remain watchpoints. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include expanding into niche global markets and enhancing return on capital employed (ROCE), while headwinds include commodity price fluctuations and geopolitical risks

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong domestic demand in the tractor and M&HCV segments supports revenue growth
  • Strategic focus on high-value, differentiated products is expected to improve margins
  • Robust balance sheet and unutilized capacity provide a foundation for capturing growth

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Elevated input costs and macroeconomic headwinds are pressuring margins
  • Volatility in raw material prices poses a risk to profitability
  • Geopolitical instability and potential economic downturns could impact demand

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Not Available
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 1,267 1,252 1,328 1,365 1,422
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 51 46 65 55 61
PBT Margin 4.0% 3.6% 4.9% 4.1% 4.3%
Net Profit (Cr.) 41 37 51 44 48
Earnings Per Share 4.8 4.3 5.8 5.0 5.5

Analyst Recommendations

No analyst recommendations available.

Consensus Recommendation ► None
Consensus Target —
Coverage 0 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Nelcast Limited manufactures and sells ductile and grey iron castings in India and internationally. The company offers commercial components, such as bearing cap, rear differential carrier, differential case in plain and flanged, forward differential carrier, wheel hub, brake disc rotor, cast axle housing, suspension arm, bogie suspension bracket, central and outer housings for v-rod suspensions, front node bracket, independent front suspension/air buffer mount, cast axle housing, and engine/steering/cab/suspension bracket; and front engine support, mounting frames, hydraulic lift cover, centre/differential housing, axle housing, four-wheel drive front axle housing, transmission/clutch housing, and quick hitch coupling. It also provides transmission case, converter housing, planetary carrier, steering knuckle, axle housing, central and lateral housing undercarriage beam, and monolithic axle housing; base plates for ballastless track systems and brake discs; differential carrier, differential case, differential cap, case body and cap, and drive head; and exhaust manifold, flywheel housing, gearbox housing, and transmission housing. The company serves original equipment manufacturers and tier-1 customers in commercial vehicle, tractor, off-highway equipment, and railways and passenger vehicle sectors. It also exports its products in North America, Europe and Southeast Asia. Nelcast Limited was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Chennai, India.