DINESH
Latest CMP 77
Today's Change ▼ -0.77%
52-Week High / Low 87 | 72
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 99
Expected Upside 13.6%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 11.3%
1,000 Invested 01-Sep-2009
Today's Value 6,111
Investment Period 17 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-1.9%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
87
2-Year Target Price
99
52-Week High / Low
87 / 72
20-Day Return
-4.8%
Market Cap (Cr.)
77,246
Current PE
30.4
P/BV Ratio
1.9
Dividend Yield
2.7%
Industry PE
29.0

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

NHPC Ltd is strategically positioned for growth, driven by a robust pipeline of hydro and solar projects, with management emphasizing accelerated project execution and diversification into renewable energy. The anticipated commissioning of key projects like Subansiri Lower and Pakal Dul is expected to significantly enhance operational capacity, aligning with the growing demand for clean energy solutions. However, execution risks and regulatory challenges, particularly regarding necessary clearances, could impact timelines and costs. Vista's financial outlook reflects an expectation of accelerating revenue growth and improving margins, supported by the company's aggressive capacity expansion plans and favorable government policies. The renewable utilities sector is experiencing a positive trajectory, with a forecast CAGR of over 10.74%, further bolstering NHPC's growth prospects. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the successful execution of large-scale projects and the expansion into battery energy storage systems, while watchpoints include regulatory hurdles and potential cost overruns. Overall, NHPC's strategic initiatives and project pipeline suggest a positive outlook, albeit with execution and regulatory risks that need to be managed effectively

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong project pipeline with significant capacity expansion in hydro and solar energy
  • Management's focus on operational efficiency and diversification into battery energy storage systems
  • Favorable government policies supporting the renewable energy sector enhance growth prospects

Things To Watch Out For

  • Execution risks related to obtaining necessary regulatory clearances for large-scale projects
  • Potential cost overruns and delays due to geographical complexities and local law issues
  • Dependence on hydroelectric generation exposes the company to risks from climate change and water availability

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 9,631 10,380 11,615 13,097 15,629
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 5,030 4,788 3,894 3,763 4,753
PBT Margin 52.2% 46.1% 3352.6% 28.7% 30.4%
Net Profit (Cr.) 3,970 3,837 3,055 2,938 3,158
Earnings Per Share 3.5 3.4 2.6 2.5 3.1

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
CLSA ▲ Buy 117 01-Jul-2026
Elara Capital ▲ Buy 97 05-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 107
Coverage 2 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
NHPC's strategic focus on expanding its hydro capacity with projects like Subansiri Lower and diversifying into other clean energy sources supports a strong growth trajectory. The company's long-term development pipeline, including the Kamala and Etalin projects, enhances its valuation prospects. However, reliance on CERC tariff approvals and the execution risks of large-scale projects pose challenges. Successful project completions and operational stabilization are critical catalysts for future performance.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

NHPC Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, sale, and trading of electricity through hydro, wind, and solar power stations in India and Nepal. It also owns and operates power stations. In addition, the company offers construction, execution and maintenance, and consultancy services in the areas of design and engineering, geotechnical investigations, construction, renovation and modernization, procurement, project management and supervision, operation and maintenance of power plants, rural road projects, and rural electrification projects. It sells electricity to bulk customers, including electricity utilities owned by state governments/private distribution companies. NHPC Limited was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Faridabad, India.