DINESH

National Securities Depository (NSDL)

Latest CMP 757
Today's Change ▲ 0.74%
52-Week High / Low 1,202 | 752
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Strong Buy
Target Price 1,533
Expected Upside 42.3%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested —
Today's Value —
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-3.3%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
1,210
2-Year Target Price
1,533
52-Week High / Low
1,202 / 752
20-Day Return
-6.2%
Market Cap (Cr.)
15,149
Current PE
40.1
P/BV Ratio
6.4
Dividend Yield
0.1%
Industry PE
29.2

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

NSDL's recent management commentary highlights a strategic focus on technology-driven growth and diversification of revenue streams, particularly through digital initiatives aimed at retail investors. This aligns with Vista's forecast of accelerating revenue growth, supported by a robust operational momentum in account acquisition and a strong market position. However, the company faces margin pressures due to rising operational costs and regulatory challenges, which could impact profitability in the near term. The capital markets sector is experiencing a sunrise phase, with improving pricing power and stable demand, although recent market volatility poses risks. Over the next 12-24 months, NSDL's ability to leverage its technology investments and navigate regulatory landscapes will be critical for sustaining growth. Key opportunities include expanding its fintech partnerships and capturing a larger share of the retail investor market, while watchpoints include managing rising expenses and potential regulatory impacts on pricing. Overall, Vista's outlook reflects a strong buy recommendation, with an expected upside of approximately 47% based on the company's long-term growth potential and current valuation metrics

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong operational momentum in account acquisition, significantly outperforming the industry
  • Strategic focus on technology and digital initiatives to capture retail investor participation
  • Stable market position with a significant share in issuer companies and e-voting

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising operational expenses and employee costs are pressuring margins
  • Potential regulatory challenges could impact pricing and revenue streams
  • Market volatility may affect liquidity and revenue for brokers, posing risks to growth

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 1,022 1,268 1,420 2,237 2,891
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 338 433 506 697 926
PBT Margin 33.1% 34.1% 35.6% 31.2% 32.0%
Net Profit (Cr.) 261 333 401 552 732
Earnings Per Share 13.1 16.7 20.0 27.6 36.6

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
ICICI Securities ► Hold 840 06-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 930 03-Aug-2026
Axis Securities ► Hold 1,000 16-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 885
Coverage 3 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
NSDL is capitalizing on its strong market position by expanding its depository participant network and fintech partnerships, which has led to increased market share in demat accounts. The company's banking services segment has shown significant growth, contributing to a diversified revenue mix. However, high operating expenses, driven by recent technology and cybersecurity hires, and regulatory pricing pressures on KYC services are compressing margins. Future growth catalysts include expected operating leverage benefits from technology investments and a potential uptick in IPO activity.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Nuveen Investments, Inc. The fund is co-managed by Nuveen Fund Advisors LLC and Nuveen Asset Management, LLC. It invests in the fixed income markets of New York. The fund invests in municipal bonds, with a rating of Baa or higher. It employs fundamental analysis, with bottom-up stock picking approach, to create its portfolio. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the Standard & Poor's New York Municipal Bond Index and Standard & Poor's National Municipal Bond Index. The fund was formerly known as Nuveen New York Dividend Advantage Municipal Fund. Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund was formed on May 26, 1999 and is domiciled in the United States.