DINESH

NMDC Steel

Industry: Iron & Steel
Latest CMP 41
Today's Change ▼ -1.12%
52-Week High / Low 53 | 33
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 165
Expected Upside 100.0%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested —
Today's Value —
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-0.6%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
83
2-Year Target Price
165
52-Week High / Low
53 / 33
20-Day Return
-9.0%
Market Cap (Cr.)
12,109
Current PE
114.6
P/BV Ratio
0.9
Dividend Yield
—
Industry PE
21.7

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

NMDC Steel Limited is navigating a stabilization phase following the launch of its Nagarnar integrated steel plant, which is expected to enhance its production capacity and support revenue growth. Management's positive outlook is underpinned by India's infrastructure-led growth and increased government capital expenditure, which are likely to bolster demand for steel products. However, the company faces challenges from global excess steel capacity, particularly from China, and ongoing raw material cost pressures that could impact margins. Vista's financial outlook reflects a moderation in revenue growth, yet stable margins are anticipated as the company capitalizes on domestic demand. The current valuation aligns with intrinsic value, suggesting potential upside as operational efficiencies improve. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include leveraging government initiatives to drive demand and enhancing production capabilities, while watchpoints include global commodity price volatility and the competitive landscape. Overall, NMDC Steel's strategic focus on compliance and operational scaling positions it well, despite external pressures that could temper performance

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • The commencement of operations at the Nagarnar integrated steel plant is expected to enhance production capacity and support revenue growth
  • India's infrastructure-led growth and increased government capital expenditure are likely to bolster demand for steel products
  • Management's focus on regulatory compliance and operational scaling positions the company to navigate competitive pressures effectively

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Global excess steel capacity, particularly from China, poses a significant challenge to NMDC Steel's market position
  • Ongoing raw material cost pressures could impact profit margins despite stable expectations
  • Volatility in global commodity prices remains a critical risk that could affect future performance

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Weak Cash Conversion
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Not Available
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 3,049 8,503 13,642 16,138 22,116
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) -2,201 -3,322 76 1,330 1,398
PBT Margin -72.2% -39.1% 0.6% 8.2% 6.3%
Net Profit (Cr.) -2,201 -3,322 76 997 1,048
Earnings Per Share -7.5 -11.3 0.3 3.4 3.6

Analyst Recommendations

No analyst recommendations available.

Consensus Recommendation ► None
Consensus Target —
Coverage 0 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

NMDC Steel Limited manufactures and sells steel products in India. It offers hot rolled coils, sheets, and plates of welded steel pipe for pipeline transportation systems; structural and silicon steel; pig iron; and LPG grades of LPG cylinders manufacturing. The company also provides tube and pipe grade, boiler and pressure vessel grade, commercial forming grades, cold rolling grade, and HSLA Grade. It serves infrastructure and construction; automotive and mobility; energy, oil, and gas; and engineering and fabrication industries. NMDC Steel Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Hyderabad, India.