DINESH

Oil India

Latest CMP 449
Today's Change ▼ -2.35%
52-Week High / Low 517 | 391
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 766
Expected Upside 30.6%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 13.1%
1,000 Invested 30-Sep-2009
Today's Value 8,129
Investment Period 17 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+7.4%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
744
2-Year Target Price
766
52-Week High / Low
517 / 391
20-Day Return
-8.3%
Market Cap (Cr.)
72,978
Current PE
11.9
P/BV Ratio
1.3
Dividend Yield
3.7%
Industry PE
22.5

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Oil India Limited (OIL) is navigating a significant transformation towards becoming a diversified energy entity, as highlighted by management's focus on aggressive upstream exploration and downstream capacity expansion. The company's strategic initiatives, including the expansion of the Numaligarh Refinery and the integration of new gas pipelines, are expected to drive substantial revenue growth and improve margins. Vista's financial outlook reflects this optimism, forecasting accelerating revenue growth and expanding profitability, supported by favorable crude price realizations and disciplined capital allocation. However, execution risks related to regulatory challenges and infrastructure bottlenecks remain critical watchpoints. The broader industry context, characterized by improving pricing power and a recovery in demand, further bolsters OIL's growth prospects. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the successful commissioning of the NRL expansion and advancements in renewable energy initiatives, while headwinds may arise from geopolitical tensions and potential regulatory shifts affecting pricing. Overall, OIL is well-positioned for long-term growth, with a target price reflecting a significant expected upside

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's aggressive drilling and refinery expansion strategies are expected to significantly enhance production and margins
  • The transition towards renewable energy and critical minerals positions OIL favorably against energy transition risks
  • Improving pricing power in the oil market and strong demand recovery support a robust revenue growth outlook

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Execution risks related to regulatory clearances and infrastructure bottlenecks could hinder growth plans
  • Geopolitical tensions may lead to price volatility, impacting revenue stability
  • Rising adoption of electric vehicles poses a long-term threat to oil demand

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 31,749 31,703 33,946 45,887 51,940
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 11,170 9,369 9,582 16,795 18,033
PBT Margin 35.2% 29.6% 28.2% 36.6% 34.7%
Net Profit (Cr.) 7,861 7,105 7,488 13,158 12,371
Earnings Per Share 44.4 40.7 40.3 70.8 76.1

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Morgan Stanley ► Equalweight 506 10-Sep-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 600 28-Aug-2026
Axis Securities ▲ Outperform 520 27-Aug-2026
CLSA ▲ Outperform 550 11-Aug-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Sell 370 11-Aug-2026
Nomura ► Hold 500 11-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 511 11-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 485 10-Aug-2026
HDFC Securities ▲ Buy 639 27-May-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 620 18-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Buy
Consensus Target 511
Coverage 10 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Oil India's strategic focus on increasing drilling activity and expanding the Numaligarh Refinery to 9mtpa underpins analysts' optimism. The company's roadmap includes significant gas production growth through infrastructure projects like IGGL and DNPL, with a target of 25% EPS CAGR by FY29. However, execution risks related to large-scale projects and potential regulatory shifts pose challenges. Key catalysts include the commissioning of the NRL expansion and full pipeline connectivity, expected to enhance production volumes and profitability.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Oil India Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in India. It operates through Crude Oil, Natural Gas, LPG, Pipeline Transportation, Renewable Energy, and Others segments. The company owns and operates crude oil trunk pipeline comprising an area of 1,157 kilometers; and drilling rigs and workover rigs. It is also involved in the transportation of crude oil and natural gas; and production of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) and condensate, as well as in the pipeline transportation services. In addition, it generates energy through wind and solar power projects. Oil India Limited was founded in 1889 and is based in Noida, India.