DINESH

Paradeep Phosphates

Latest CMP 154
Today's Change ▲ 0.13%
52-Week High / Low 194 | 102
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Strong Buy
Target Price 271
Expected Upside 32.6%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested —
Today's Value —
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+9.8%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
243
2-Year Target Price
271
52-Week High / Low
194 / 102
20-Day Return
+1.5%
Market Cap (Cr.)
16,014
Current PE
15.4
P/BV Ratio
2.4
Dividend Yield
0.7%
Industry PE
15.4

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Paradeep Phosphates is navigating a complex landscape characterized by strategic capacity expansions and a focus on higher-margin products, which are expected to bolster revenue growth and margins in the long term. Management's commitment to backward integration and operational efficiency is crucial, particularly as the company faces significant raw material cost pressures and geopolitical risks affecting supply chains. The recent merger with Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilizers has enhanced its manufacturing capabilities, positioning Paradeep to capitalize on the growing demand for NPK fertilizers driven by soil health awareness. Vista's financial outlook reflects a stable margin expectation and a revenue growth trajectory supported by these strategic initiatives. However, the company must contend with volatile raw material prices and uncertain subsidy environments, which could impact profitability. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the successful commissioning of new capacity and diversification into industrial chemicals, while watchpoints include execution risks related to capacity expansions and ongoing geopolitical tensions. Overall, Paradeep's strategic focus and market leadership in NPK products underpin a strong investment case, with an expected upside of approximately 52.8%

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strategic capacity expansions and backward integration are expected to enhance revenue and margins
  • Management's focus on higher-margin NPK products aligns with growing market demand for balanced fertilizers
  • Strong operational performance and market leadership in NPK products provide a solid foundation for future growth

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Significant raw material cost pressures and geopolitical risks may impact profitability
  • Execution risks related to capacity expansions could delay anticipated revenue growth
  • Uncertain subsidy environments pose challenges to maintaining competitive pricing

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Gaining
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 11,575 13,820 21,826 25,396 29,086
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 164 736 1,367 1,854 2,055
PBT Margin 1.4% 5.3% 6.3% 7.3% 7.1%
Net Profit (Cr.) 157 563 1,047 1,419 1,574
Earnings Per Share 1.5 5.4 10.1 13.7 15.2

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 160 03-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 158 03-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 159
Coverage 2 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Paradeep Phosphates is strategically expanding its capacity, including a 1mmtpa granulation expansion and a new Ammonium Fluoride plant, to support future growth and diversify its product portfolio. These initiatives aim to enhance production volumes and reduce dependency on external suppliers. However, geopolitical tensions and high raw material costs, particularly for sulphur and ammonia, pose challenges. The company's focus on backward integration and strategic sourcing is expected to mitigate some risks, supporting a cautiously optimistic outlook despite near-term uncertainties.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Paradeep Phosphates Limited manufactures, trades, distributes, and sells urea and complex fertilizers in India. It sells its products through dealers and retailers under the Navratna and Jai Kisaan and Mangala brand names. The company offers di-ammonium phosphate; nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium fertilizers; muriate of potash; triple super phosphate; zypmite; phospho-gypsum; sulphuric acid; hydrofluorosilicic acid; and ammonia; as well as sulphur and zinc. It sells its products through dealers and retailers under the Navratna and Jai Kisaan and Mangala brand names. Paradeep Phosphates Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Bengaluru, India. The company operates as a subsidiary of Zuari Maroc Phosphates Private Limited.