DINESH

Parag Milk Foods

Industry: FMCG
Latest CMP 211
Today's Change ▼ -3.36%
52-Week High / Low 372 | 180
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Strong Sell
Target Price 179
Expected Upside -7.7%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR -1.8%
1,000 Invested 19-May-2016
Today's Value 829
Investment Period 10 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-1.6%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
161
2-Year Target Price
179
52-Week High / Low
372 / 180
20-Day Return
-6.4%
Market Cap (Cr.)
2,635
Current PE
17.8
P/BV Ratio
2.1
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Industry PE
42.0

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Parag Milk Foods is navigating a pivotal transformation towards high-margin, premium product lines, particularly through its 'New Age' brands like Pride of Cows and Avvatar. Management's optimistic outlook is supported by a strategic focus on expanding direct-to-consumer channels and enhancing product offerings, which have already contributed to a notable 19% growth in PAT for FY26. Despite facing volume headwinds in core segments, the company is committed to achieving double-digit volume growth through aggressive distribution expansion. Vista's financial outlook reflects a stable margin environment, with expectations of continued long-term growth, although the current valuation suggests a potential value trap. The FMCG sector's expansion, coupled with Parag's strategic initiatives, positions the company favorably, despite challenges such as inflationary pressures and raw material volatility. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include scaling the New Age business and improving EBITDA margins, while watchpoints include managing cost fluctuations and consumer demand sensitivity amidst inflationary trends

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on high-margin 'New Age' brands is expected to drive revenue growth and improve gross margins
  • Successful deleveraging of the balance sheet enhances financial stability and positions the company for future investments
  • Aggressive distribution expansion into new markets supports a projected double-digit volume growth trajectory

Things To Watch Out For

  • Volume headwinds in core categories may impact short-term revenue performance
  • Inflationary pressures on raw materials could challenge margin stability and consumer demand
  • Integration of higher employee costs following recent talent adjustments may affect profitability

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Not Available
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 3,139 3,432 3,818 3,922 4,164
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 88 134 158 147 160
PBT Margin 2.8% 3.9% 413.8% 3.7% 3.8%
Net Profit (Cr.) 88 135 157 110 120
Earnings Per Share 7.0 10.8 12.6 8.8 9.6

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 250 22-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► None
Consensus Target
Coverage 1 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Parag Milk Foods Limited processes, manufactures, and sells milk and milk products in India and worldwide. The company offers ghee, milk, paneer, sweets, curd, butter, dairy whitener, milk powder, and gulab jamun mix products. It also offers flavoured cheese wedges, spreads, slices, and angles, as well as flavored yoghurt, bocconcini, slim milk, fresh cream, buttermilk, double toned milk, lassi, flavoured milk, milk shakes, beverages, UHT milk, and other dairy products. In addition, the company provides sports nutrition products, whey protein, protein bar, sesame and groundnut chikki, and lactose related products. Further, it sells its products under the Gowardhan, Go, Topp Up, Pride of Cows, and Avvatar brand names. Parag Milk Foods Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Pune, India.