DINESH

Parag Milk Foods

Industry: FMCG
Latest CMP 272
Today's Change ▲ 1.15%
52-Week High / Low 370 | 179
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 209
Expected Upside -12.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR -1.2%
1,000 Invested 19-May-2016
Today's Value 881
Investment Period 10 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+10.8%
Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
194
2-Year Target Price
209
52-Week High / Low
370 / 179
20-Day Return
+7.3%
Market Cap (Cr.)
3,396
Current PE
20.3
P/BV Ratio
2.7
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Industry PE
40.0

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Parag Milk Foods is navigating a transformative phase, shifting towards high-margin, value-added products, particularly in the health and nutrition segment. Management's focus on expanding cheese production and enhancing distribution channels is expected to support revenue growth above 10% for FY27, despite recent volume declines in core categories due to strategic pricing discipline. The company's commitment to maintaining margins amidst rising input costs reflects a disciplined approach to capital allocation. While the FMCG sector is experiencing robust growth, Parag Milk's competitive positioning may be challenged by inflationary pressures and increased competition. Overall, Vista's financial outlook anticipates stable margins and a moderate revenue trajectory, with a target price reflecting a cautious stance on valuation given the current market dynamics. Key opportunities include the expansion of the 'New Age' product portfolio and increased distribution reach, while headwinds consist of commodity price volatility and the need to scale premium offerings effectively

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's shift towards high-margin, value-added products is expected to drive revenue growth above 10%
  • Expansion of cheese production capacity will enhance profitability and support the growing demand for whey protein
  • Strong brand positioning and targeted distribution strategies are likely to improve market share in premium segments

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising input costs and inflationary pressures could constrain profit margins and consumer spending
  • Volume declines in core categories due to pricing discipline may hinder short-term revenue growth
  • Increased competition in the FMCG sector could limit pricing power and margin expansion

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Not Available
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 3,139 3,432 3,818 3,927 4,155
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 88 134 158 152 163
PBT Margin 2.8% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 3.9%
Net Profit (Cr.) 88 135 157 114 122
Earnings Per Share 7.0 10.8 12.6 9.1 9.8

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 250 22-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► None
Consensus Target —
Coverage 1 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Parag Milk Foods Limited processes, manufactures, and sells milk and milk products in India and worldwide. The company offers ghee, milk, paneer, sweets, curd, butter, dairy whitener, milk powder, and gulab jamun mix products. It also offers flavoured cheese wedges, spreads, slices, and angles, as well as flavored yoghurt, bocconcini, slim milk, fresh cream, buttermilk, double toned milk, lassi, flavoured milk, milk shakes, beverages, UHT milk, and other dairy products. In addition, the company provides sports nutrition products, whey protein, protein bar, sesame and groundnut chikki, and lactose related products. Further, it sells its products under the Gowardhan, Go, Topp Up, Pride of Cows, and Avvatar brand names. Parag Milk Foods Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Pune, India.