DINESH

Restaurant Brands Asia

Industry: QSR and Food
Latest CMP 99
Today's Change ▲ 0.74%
52-Week High / Low 99 | 57
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Strong Sell
Target Price 88
Expected Upside -5.6%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR -12.0%
1,000 Invested 14-Dec-2020
Today's Value 486
Investment Period 6 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+30.8%
Strong Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
88
2-Year Target Price
88
52-Week High / Low
99 / 57
20-Day Return
+48.4%
Market Cap (Cr.)
7,052
Current PE
P/BV Ratio
8.0
Dividend Yield
Industry PE
40.6

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Restaurant Brands Asia (RBA) is experiencing a significant turnaround in its India operations, with management reporting record-high same-store sales growth (SSSG) and notable margin expansion driven by menu innovation and operational efficiencies. The company's strategic focus on store-level profitability and an ambitious target of 80 new store openings for FY27 underpins a positive revenue outlook, aligning with Vista's expectations of stable revenue growth. However, the Indonesian segment remains a concern, as management shifts its focus to cost rationalization rather than growth, presenting execution risks that could impact overall profitability. The recent capital infusion from Inspira Global has strengthened RBA's balance sheet, providing a solid foundation for continued expansion. While the macro environment in India shows constructive growth indicators, rising operational costs pose challenges. Over the next 12-24 months, RBA's key opportunities lie in maintaining its expansion cadence and leveraging digital integration, while headwinds include competitive pressures and the need for successful execution in Indonesia. Overall, RBA's outlook is cautiously optimistic, contingent on sustained operational execution and effective capital allocation strategies

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Record-high same-store sales growth in India, indicating strong consumer demand
  • Ambitious expansion plan with a target of 80 new store openings for FY27, supporting revenue growth
  • Recent capital infusion enhances balance sheet strength, enabling further investment in core operations

Things To Watch Out For

  • The Indonesian segment remains a laggard, with a focus on cost rationalization posing execution risks
  • Rising operational costs, particularly in energy, threaten margin stability
  • Competitive pressures in the QSR market could impact market share and profitability

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Financial Stress Risk
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,437 2,551 2,823 3,061 3,503
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) -237 -233 -202 -114 -140
PBT Margin -9.7% -9.1% -714.7% -3.7% -4.0%
Net Profit (Cr.) -237 -233 -202 -86 -105
Earnings Per Share -3.1 -3.0 -2.6 -1.2 -1.5

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 90 05-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 125 05-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 93 04-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 93
Coverage 3 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Restaurant Brands Asia's focus on value-led traffic, menu innovation, and digital ordering has resulted in significant operating leverage and revenue growth in India. The strengthened balance sheet from Inspira Global's capital infusion supports network expansion. However, the Indonesian segment faces strategic uncertainty, particularly with the Popeyes brand under review. Analysts highlight the importance of maintaining the aggressive store expansion pace and navigating competitive pressures, while future catalysts include Indonesia's turnaround efforts and achieving targeted gross margins in India.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Restaurant Brands Asia Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates quick service restaurant chains. It develops, establishes, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Burger King brand in India, as well as Burger King and POPEYES brands in Indonesia. The company was formerly known as Burger King India Limited and changed its name to Restaurant Brands Asia Limited in February 2022. Restaurant Brands Asia Limited was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Mumbai, India.