DINESH

Restaurant Brands Asia

Industry: QSR and Food
Latest CMP 92
Today's Change ▼ -0.43%
52-Week High / Low 106 | 57
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 104
Expected Upside 6.7%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR -9.0%
1,000 Invested 14-Dec-2020
Today's Value 579
Investment Period 6 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+39.4%
Strong Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
104
2-Year Target Price
104
52-Week High / Low
106 / 57
20-Day Return
-6.4%
Market Cap (Cr.)
6,518
Current PE
—
P/BV Ratio
7.6
Dividend Yield
—
Industry PE
39.0

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Restaurant Brands Asia (RBA) is navigating a pivotal phase characterized by strong operational performance in India, where management reported record-high same-store sales growth (SSSG) and significant margin expansion. The company's strategic focus on value leadership and digital integration is driving operational efficiencies, with plans for aggressive store expansion in India, targeting 80 new openings in FY27. However, the Indonesian segment presents challenges, requiring a turnaround strategy to optimize the portfolio and recover volume. Management's commitment to prioritizing capital for growth rather than immediate dividends reflects a long-term vision, although inflationary pressures and competitive intensity remain key risks. Vista's financial outlook anticipates stable revenue growth and improving margins, supported by the positive trajectory in India, while the Indonesian recovery poses execution risks. The QSR industry is in a favorable growth phase, but rising costs and shifting consumer preferences necessitate vigilance. Over the next 12-24 months, RBA's key opportunities lie in expanding its footprint in Tier II and III cities and leveraging digital platforms, while headwinds include inflationary pressures and the need for sustained marketing investment to maintain competitive positioning

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Record-high SSSG and significant margin expansion in India indicate strong operational momentum
  • Aggressive store expansion plans in India target untapped markets, enhancing growth potential
  • Management's focus on digital integration and operational efficiency supports long-term scalability

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • The Indonesian segment requires a turnaround, posing execution risks to overall profitability
  • Inflationary pressures on raw materials and energy costs threaten margin stability
  • Intense competition in the QSR space necessitates high marketing spend to sustain market share

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Financial Stress Risk
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,437 2,551 2,823 3,052 3,392
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) -237 -233 -202 -162 -177
PBT Margin -9.7% -9.1% -7.1% -5.3% -5.2%
Net Profit (Cr.) -237 -233 -202 -121 -133
Earnings Per Share -3.1 -3.0 -2.6 -1.7 -1.9

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 90 05-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 125 05-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 93 04-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 93
Coverage 3 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Restaurant Brands Asia's focus on value-led traffic, menu innovation, and digital ordering has resulted in significant operating leverage and revenue growth in India. The strengthened balance sheet from Inspira Global's capital infusion supports network expansion. However, the Indonesian segment faces strategic uncertainty, particularly with the Popeyes brand under review. Analysts highlight the importance of maintaining the aggressive store expansion pace and navigating competitive pressures, while future catalysts include Indonesia's turnaround efforts and achieving targeted gross margins in India.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Restaurant Brands Asia Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates quick service restaurant chains in India and Indonesia. It develops, establishes, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Burger King brand in India, as well as Burger King and POPEYES brands in Indonesia. The company was formerly known as Burger King India Limited and changed its name to Restaurant Brands Asia Limited in February 2022. Restaurant Brands Asia Limited was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Mumbai, India.