DINESH

Steel Authority of India (SAIL)

Industry: Iron & Steel
Latest CMP 181
Today's Change ▲ 1.13%
52-Week High / Low 203 | 124
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 249
Expected Upside 17.1%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 6.9%
1,000 Invested 01-Oct-2006
Today's Value 3,813
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+7.5%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
253
2-Year Target Price
249
52-Week High / Low
203 / 124
20-Day Return
-6.7%
Market Cap (Cr.)
74,964
Current PE
21.0
P/BV Ratio
1.2
Dividend Yield
1.2%
Industry PE
21.7

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Steel Authority of India (SAIL) is navigating a complex landscape characterized by strategic shifts towards high-value steel products and operational efficiencies. Management's focus on vertical integration and a significant capex program aims to enhance margins and reduce reliance on external raw materials. Despite short-term challenges from geopolitical tensions and rising input costs, SAIL's long-term outlook remains positive, supported by improving pricing power and a stable domestic demand environment. Vista's forecast anticipates moderate revenue growth, with margins expected to improve as operational efficiencies take hold. The company's fair valuation aligns with intrinsic value, and the expected upside of approximately 26.6% reflects confidence in SAIL's strategic initiatives. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the successful execution of brownfield expansions and the transition to 'Green Steel', while watchpoints include potential commodity price volatility and the resolution of mining lease uncertainties

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's strategic shift towards high-value steel products is expected to enhance margins and competitive positioning
  • The ongoing capex program aims to improve operational efficiency and reduce reliance on external raw materials, supporting long-term growth
  • Improving pricing power and stable domestic demand are anticipated to bolster revenue growth in the coming quarters

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Geopolitical tensions and rising input costs pose risks to margins and overall profitability
  • Uncertainties surrounding iron ore mining leases could impact raw material security and operational stability
  • Short-term demand softness due to seasonal factors may hinder revenue growth in the near term

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 105,378 102,479 110,811 110,894 116,841
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 4,773 3,609 5,174 7,644 7,693
PBT Margin 4.5% 3.5% 4.7% 6.9% 6.6%
Net Profit (Cr.) 3,986 2,690 3,567 5,280 5,314
Earnings Per Share 9.7 6.5 8.6 12.8 12.9

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 190 27-Aug-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 185 30-Jul-2026
Citigroup ▼ Sell 160 29-Jul-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 191 29-Jul-2026
IDBI Capital ► Hold 182 29-Jul-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 195 29-Jul-2026
UBS ▼ Sell 170 29-Jul-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 190 27-Jul-2026
Morgan Stanley ▼ Underweight 160 27-Jul-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Sell 140 16-Jun-2026
Mirae Asset ▲ Buy 220 16-Jun-2026
HSBC ► Hold 200 11-Jun-2026
Axis Securities ► Hold 200 18-May-2026
ICICI Securities ► Hold 185 18-May-2026
Investec ▲ Buy 270 18-May-2026
JPMorgan ► Hold 172 18-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 181
Coverage 16 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
SAIL's focus on structural cost optimization and volume stability is expected to drive long-term growth, supported by the commissioning of the Tasra coal mine and Durgapur TMT bar mill. Analysts highlight the company's efforts to monetize iron ore fines and improve production stability through proactive maintenance. However, short-term challenges include monsoon-induced demand softness and reliance on imported coking coal, which exposes margins to global price fluctuations. The anticipated increase in capex from FY28 raises concerns about leverage and cash flow pressures.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Steel Authority of India Limited, a steel-making company, manufactures and sells iron and steel products in India and internationally. The company offers a range of railway products, which include rail, high YS/UTS rail, corrosion-resistant micro-alloyed rail, vanadium alloyed rail, end forged thick web asymmetric rail, high conductivity rail, crane rails, and crossing sleeper bars. It also provides pig iron, cold rolled products, pipes, semis, structurals, sail tmt bars, galvanized products, wirerods, pm plates, railway products, wheels and axles, hot rolled products, stainless steel products, electrical steels, and sail SeQR TMT bars. It serves government organizations, PSUS, private companies, distributors, and resellers. Steel Authority of India Limited was founded in 1954 and is based in New Delhi, India.