DINESH

Shanti Gold

Industry: Jewellery
Latest CMP 309
Today's Change ▲ 0.57%
52-Week High / Low 326 | 157
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 674
Expected Upside 47.8%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested —
Today's Value —
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+20.6%
Strong Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
528
2-Year Target Price
674
52-Week High / Low
326 / 157
20-Day Return
+25.9%
Market Cap (Cr.)
2,225
Current PE
13.3
P/BV Ratio
3.7
Dividend Yield
—
Industry PE
18.6

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Shanti Gold International Limited is navigating a pivotal growth phase, underscored by management's aggressive capacity expansion and strategic market penetration, particularly in the UAE. The recent commissioning of new manufacturing facilities is expected to significantly enhance production capabilities, aligning with the company's bullish revenue outlook. Management's focus on a design-led, integrated manufacturing model aims to capture the shift towards organized jewellery retail, which is crucial for sustaining revenue growth and improving margins. Despite the optimistic outlook, challenges such as gold price volatility and execution risks associated with scaling operations remain pertinent. Vista's forecast anticipates accelerating revenue growth beyond historical trends, with stable margins supported by improving pricing power in the jewellery sector. The expected upside of approximately 85% reflects confidence in Shanti Gold's strategic initiatives and market positioning. However, potential headwinds, including recent duty hikes on gold imports and competition from unorganized players, warrant close monitoring. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities lie in expanding into underpenetrated markets and diversifying product offerings, while watchpoints include managing operational execution and external economic pressures

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Aggressive capacity expansion and new facility commissioning are set to enhance production and revenue growth
  • Management's focus on a design-led approach aligns with the industry's shift towards organized retail, improving competitive positioning
  • Strong wedding and festive demand, coupled with improving pricing power, supports a favorable revenue outlook

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Gold price volatility poses a significant risk to margins and consumer purchasing behavior
  • Recent duty hikes on gold imports may impact profitability and operational costs
  • Execution challenges in scaling multiple new facilities could hinder growth momentum

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Weak Cash Conversion
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 711 1,106 2,019 3,712 5,090
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 36 73 184 335 436
PBT Margin 5.1% 6.6% 9.1% 9.0% 8.6%
Net Profit (Cr.) 26 55 140 254 331
Earnings Per Share 3.6 7.6 19.4 35.3 46.0

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight nan 26-Aug-2026
Choice Equity ▲ Buy 350 04-Jun-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target —
Coverage 2 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Shanti Gold's strategic initiatives, including significant capacity expansion with new plants in Mumbai and Jaipur, and geographic diversification into North India and Dubai, underpin analysts' positive outlook. The shift towards higher-margin products like designer and Turkish jewellery is expected to enhance the product mix and capture new market segments. However, challenges such as declining margins, execution risks in ramping up new facilities, and reliance on debt financing present potential hurdles. Key catalysts include the commissioning of the Jaipur plant and the operational ramp-up of the Mumbai facility.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Shanti Gold International Limited engages in the design, manufacture, and wholesale of gold jewellery in India, the United States, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Singapore. It offers bangles, rings, necklaces, chokers, pendants, chand balis, jhumkas, and jewellery sets. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.