DINESH

Shriram Finance

Industry: NBFC Lending
Latest CMP 1,122
Today's Change ▼ -0.91%
52-Week High / Low 1,141 | 565
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 1,518
Expected Upside 16.3%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 23.1%
1,000 Invested 15-Aug-2006
Today's Value 64,355
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+4.5%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
1,435
2-Year Target Price
1,518
52-Week High / Low
1,141 / 565
20-Day Return
+8.4%
Market Cap (Cr.)
264,007
Current PE
26.9
P/BV Ratio
3.2
Dividend Yield
1.8%
Industry PE
23.4

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Shriram Finance's recent performance underscores a robust growth trajectory, driven by strong vehicle finance and a strategic pivot towards higher-yield segments like MSME and gold loans. Management's guidance of 18% AUM growth for FY27 reflects confidence in operational efficiency and market expansion, particularly leveraging its extensive branch network. The recent capital infusion from MUFG enhances the company's balance sheet, allowing for lower funding costs and improved profitability. However, potential risks from macroeconomic factors, such as erratic monsoon patterns and geopolitical tensions, warrant caution. Vista's financial outlook anticipates accelerating revenue growth and improving margins, supported by a favorable macro environment and government initiatives like the Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities lie in scaling the gold loan and MSME segments, while watchpoints include asset quality volatility and the impact of external economic conditions. Overall, Shriram Finance is well-positioned for sustained growth, provided it navigates these challenges effectively

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong AUM growth target of 18% for FY27, supported by a diversified product strategy
  • Recent capital infusion from MUFG enhances balance sheet strength and lowers funding costs
  • Focus on high-yield segments like MSME and gold loans positions the company for improved profitability

Things To Watch Out For

  • Potential asset quality volatility due to macroeconomic factors like erratic monsoon patterns
  • Geopolitical tensions may impact operational stability and market sentiment
  • Increased operational costs from branch expansions could pressure near-term margins

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 20,105 25,412 26,612 30,888 37,180
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 9,481 10,817 13,301 18,634 21,772
PBT Margin 47.2% 42.6% 4998.1% 60.3% 58.6%
Net Profit (Cr.) 6,184 7,717 9,160 12,764 14,913
Earnings Per Share 26.1 32.7 38.9 54.2 63.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Axis Securities ▲ Buy 1,200 26-Apr-2026
CLSA ▲ Buy 1,150 26-Apr-2026
Citigroup ▲ Buy 1,180 26-Apr-2026
Elara Capital ▲ Buy 1,300 27-Jul-2026
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 1,200 27-Jul-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 1,100 26-Apr-2026
HSBC ► Hold 1,140 27-Jul-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 1,225 27-Jul-2026
IDBI Capital ▲ Buy 1,200 27-Jul-2026
JPMorgan ▲ Buy 1,180 13-Apr-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 1,210 27-Jul-2026
Kotak Securities ► Add 1,100 26-Apr-2026
Macguire ▲ Buy 1,220 26-Apr-2026
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight nan 27-Jul-2026
Morgan Stanley ► Equalweight 1,325 10-Apr-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 1,235 27-Jul-2026
Nomura ▲ Buy 1,200 26-Apr-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ▲ Buy 1,250 27-Jul-2026
UBS ▲ Buy 1,230 27-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 1,221
Coverage 19 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Shriram Finance is leveraging its strengthened capital base from MUFG to expand into higher-growth areas like MSME and gold loans, targeting a significant increase in their portfolio share. This strategic shift is expected to drive long-term AUM growth while maintaining market leadership in used vehicle financing. Analysts highlight the company's operational efficiency gains and reduced borrowing costs as key positives, though they caution about potential margin compression from lower-yield new vehicle loans and macroeconomic risks such as geopolitical tensions and monsoon variability. The planned branch expansion and geographic diversification are seen as catalysts for future growth.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Shriram Finance Limited, a non-banking finance company, provides financing services in India. It offers fixed and recurring deposits; commercial vehicle loans for commercial goods vehicles, passenger commercial vehicles, tractors and farm equipment, and construction equipment; two-wheeler, gold, used car loan, and personal loans; and green finance services. The company also provides business loans, such as MSME loans; working capital loans, including tyre, tax, fuel, toll financing, repair/top-up loans, fuel finance, challan discounting and vehicle insurance premium loans; motor insurance, including four-wheeler, two-wheeler, passenger and goods carrying vehicle insurance products; non motor insurance products, such as personal accident, shri criti care, and home insurance; and life insurance products comprising savings, retirement, child, protection plans, as well as recharges, including mobile recharge, mobile postpaid, landline postpaid, DTH, and FASTag recharge services. In addition, it offers utilities and bills services, such as electricity, LPG gas, gas bill payment, broadband postpaid, water, and cable tv; financial services and taxes comprising credit card, loan repayment, insurance, municipal services, and recurring deposit; and other services, such as housing society, clubs and associations, and education fees. It serves first time buyers, small road transport operators, commercial vehicles operators, micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), and individuals. The company was formerly known as Shriram Transport Finance Company Limited and changed its name to Shriram Finance Limited in November 2022. Shriram Finance Limited was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Mumbai, India.