DINESH

Shyam Metalics

Industry: Iron & Steel
Latest CMP 1,000
Today's Change ▲ 2.14%
52-Week High / Low 1,058 | 758
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 1,377
Expected Upside 17.3%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 20.8%
1,000 Invested 24-Jun-2021
Today's Value 2,644
Investment Period 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+5.0%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
1,223
2-Year Target Price
1,377
52-Week High / Low
1,058 / 758
20-Day Return
-4.8%
Market Cap (Cr.)
27,829
Current PE
27.0
P/BV Ratio
2.4
Dividend Yield
0.5%
Industry PE
19.4

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Shyam Metalics is strategically transitioning from a commodity-focused sponge iron producer to a diversified, value-added metal manufacturer, as articulated by management's 'Vision 2031' roadmap. This ambitious plan aims for substantial revenue growth, targeting over ₹42,500 crore by FY31, supported by a significant increase in capacity to approximately 27 MTPA and a shift towards higher-margin products like stainless steel and aluminium foils. The company's disciplined capital allocation strategy, emphasizing self-funded growth and a commitment to remain net cash positive, underpins Vista's forecast of stable margins and moderate revenue growth. However, the execution of a ₹18,785 crore capex pipeline poses risks that could impact operational performance. The broader industry context, characterized by improving pricing power and rising demand for steel products, aligns with Shyam Metalics' growth trajectory. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the successful commissioning of new manufacturing facilities and the expansion of captive power generation, while watchpoints include geopolitical tensions and input cost volatility that may affect margins and overall profitability

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's clear focus on transitioning to high-margin products is expected to enhance profitability and reduce cyclicality
  • The company's commitment to self-funded growth and maintaining a net cash positive position supports financial stability
  • Improving industry dynamics, including rising demand and pricing power, provide a favorable backdrop for Shyam Metalics' growth strategy

Things To Watch Out For

  • The execution risk associated with the large-scale capex plan could impact operational performance and financial metrics
  • Geopolitical tensions and input cost volatility may pose challenges to margin stability
  • Moderating revenue growth relative to historical performance could limit upside potential in the near term

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 13,195 15,138 18,552 20,089 24,447
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 940 1,241 1,562 1,629 2,056
PBT Margin 7.1% 8.2% 842.0% 8.1% 8.4%
Net Profit (Cr.) 1,040 1,004 1,044 1,167 1,459
Earnings Per Share 37.6 36.0 37.9 41.5 52.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Goldman Sachs ▲ Buy 1,050 21-Jul-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 980 13-May-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 1,100 17-Jun-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 1,250 22-Jul-2026
UBS ▲ Buy 1,250 21-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 1,175
Coverage 5 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Shyam Metalics' focus on value-added products like stainless steel and aluminium downstream segments is expected to drive long-term growth and profitability. Analysts highlight the company's strategic investments in CRM/coated products and aluminium, which improve product mix and EBITDA. The scaling up of the CRM complex and upcoming projects in stainless steel and aluminium are key catalysts. Despite substantial capital expenditure, the company aims to remain net cash positive by leveraging internal accruals and cost advantages from captive power.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited, an integrated metal-producing company, manufactures and sells long steel products and ferro alloys in India, and internationally. The company produces long steel products, such as iron ore pellets, sponge iron, billets, thermos-mechanically treated bars, structural steel, wire rods, ferro alloys, color-coated sheets, cold-rolled coils and sheets, pig iron, and stainless-steel products. It also manufactures and sells aluminum foils for use in food packaging, pharmaceutical and cosmetic packaging, flexible packaging, electronics, and energy storage battery applications. The company sells its products under the SEL Tiger brand. In addition, it operates three manufacturing plants, which include captive power plants with an installed capacity of 227 MW, located in Odisha and West Bengal. The company exports its products to approximately 25 countries. Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.