DINESH

SMC Global Securities

Latest CMP 94
Today's Change ▲ 1.61%
52-Week High / Low 97 | 55
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Strong Sell
Target Price 85
Expected Upside -5.4%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 18.8%
1,000 Invested 24-Feb-2021
Today's Value 2,627
Investment Period 6 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+9.3%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
83
2-Year Target Price
85
52-Week High / Low
97 / 55
20-Day Return
+19.0%
Market Cap (Cr.)
1,979
Current PE
16.5
P/BV Ratio
1.5
Dividend Yield
2.1%
Industry PE
29.2

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

SMC Global Securities is strategically transitioning towards a diversified, technology-driven financial services model, focusing on scaling its fee-based businesses such as insurance broking and mutual fund distribution. Management's emphasis on AI and automation aims to enhance operational efficiency and customer acquisition, particularly through the Stoxkart platform. This shift is crucial as it mitigates regulatory volatility in the derivatives market, supporting Vista's forecast of accelerating revenue growth beyond historical trends. While profit margins are expected to remain stable, the company's premium valuation reflects investor confidence amid a backdrop of improving foreign capital inflows and regulatory reforms in the capital markets. However, potential headwinds include market uncertainty affecting equity options contracts and inflationary pressures that could impact consumer sentiment. Over the next 12-24 months, SMC Global's focus on disciplined capital allocation and expansion in GIFT City presents significant growth opportunities, although the transition in leadership may pose short-term challenges. Overall, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with a balanced approach to growth and risk management

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on scaling fee-based businesses is expected to drive revenue growth
  • The adoption of AI and automation enhances operational efficiency and customer acquisition
  • Expansion in GIFT City presents significant future growth opportunities

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Regulatory volatility in the derivatives market poses risks to revenue stability
  • Market uncertainty has led to a decline in equity options contracts
  • Inflationary pressures may dampen consumer sentiment and impact margins

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Weak Cash Conversion
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Not Available
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 1,642 1,778 1,878 2,045 2,276
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 244 193 135 134 153
PBT Margin 14.9% 10.8% 7.2% 6.6% 6.7%
Net Profit (Cr.) 188 146 104 105 118
Earnings Per Share 8.9 6.9 4.9 5.0 5.6

Analyst Recommendations

No analyst recommendations available.

Consensus Recommendation ► None
Consensus Target —
Coverage 0 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

SMC Global Securities Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various financial services in India and internationally. It operates through three segments: Broking, Distribution, and Trading; Insurance Broking Services; and Financing Services. The Broking, Distribution, and Trading segment engages in the brokerage and proprietary trading in dealing in equity securities, commodities, currency, derivatives, and other securities; clearing and depositary services; fund, PMS Services, and wealth management; mutual funds and initial public offerings; research support; real estate broking; and mortgage and loan advisory, and investment banking services, as well as distribution of third-party financial products. The Insurance Broking Services segment provides life and non-life insurance products. The Financing Services segment offers loans against property, securities, and commodities; non-convertible debentures financing; business loan; SME loan; personal loan; gold loans and loan against securities; and medical equipment loans. It also offers life and non-life insurance products, as well as operates an online trading web portal. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in New Delhi, India.