DINESH

Supreme Industries

Latest CMP 3,559
Today's Change ▲ 1.77%
52-Week High / Low 4,592 | 3,158
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Hold
Target Price 4,034
Expected Upside 6.5%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 31.9%
1,000 Invested 15-Aug-2006
Today's Value 253,500
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+4.2%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
3,773
2-Year Target Price
4,034
52-Week High / Low
4,592 / 3,158
20-Day Return
+3.6%
Market Cap (Cr.)
39,326
Current PE
39.8
P/BV Ratio
7.2
Dividend Yield
0.8%
Industry PE
31.6

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Supreme Industries is navigating a complex landscape marked by recent PVC price volatility, which has led to destocking and volume declines. However, management remains optimistic, projecting a recovery in demand as channel inventories normalize and PVC prices stabilize, supported by a favorable regulatory environment with the introduction of a Minimum Import Price on PVC. The company is committed to aggressive capacity expansion, with a planned capex of INR 10 billion for FY27, focusing on high-growth segments such as gas piping and uPVC windows. This strategic focus, combined with a robust distribution network and a healthy balance sheet, underpins Vista's forecast of moderate revenue growth and stable margins. While the industry outlook remains positive, driven by ongoing infrastructure projects and improving pricing power, potential headwinds include the volatility of raw material prices and competitive pressures. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities lie in scaling exports and capitalizing on new product launches, while watchpoints include the execution risks associated with ambitious growth plans and the impact of external market conditions on profitability

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's optimistic outlook for volume growth, targeting 15-17% in the plastic piping division, indicates potential for recovery
  • The introduction of a Minimum Import Price on PVC is expected to stabilize prices and support demand recovery
  • Aggressive capacity expansion plans and a focus on high-margin products position the company for long-term growth

Things To Watch Out For

  • Volatility in PVC prices poses a risk to cost structures and profitability if not managed effectively
  • Short-term demand challenges due to inventory destocking and competitive pressures could impact revenue growth
  • Execution risks associated with ambitious capex plans and market conditions may hinder achieving growth targets

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 10,134 10,446 11,218 11,078 12,547
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 1,357 1,189 1,242 1,286 1,429
PBT Margin 13.4% 11.4% 1107.1% 11.6% 11.4%
Net Profit (Cr.) 1,038 914 954 990 1,098
Earnings Per Share 94.0 82.9 86.5 89.4 99.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Citigroup ▼ Sell 3,150 29-Jul-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 4,200 28-Apr-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 3,870 28-Apr-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 3,938 29-Jul-2026
IDBI Capital ▲ Buy 3,936 29-Jul-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 4,000 29-Jul-2026
JPMorgan ▲ Buy 4,050 03-Jun-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 4,430 28-Apr-2026
Kotak Securities ▲ Buy 3,950 29-Jul-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 3,690 29-Jul-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ▲ Buy 4,610 29-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Buy
Consensus Target 3,895
Coverage 11 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Supreme Industries is poised for recovery as PVC prices stabilize, supported by regulatory measures such as the Minimum Import Price. The company's strategic focus on capacity expansion through greenfield projects and significant export growth targets signals long-term growth potential. Management remains optimistic about achieving FY27 volume and margin guidance, driven by a favorable product mix and demand recovery. However, challenges persist, including potential slowdowns in the housing market, PVC price volatility, and increased competition, which could impact profitability and market share.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

The Supreme Industries Limited manufactures and sells plastic products in India. The company offers plastic piping systems, including uPVC pipes, injection-molded PVC and handmade fittings; polypropylene random co-polymer pipe systems; HDPE and CPVC pipe systems; inspection chambers; manholes; bath fittings and sanitaryware; roto-molded tanks and fittings; solvents; industrial piping systems; DWC pipe system; PERT pipe system; O-PVC pipe system; and fire sprinkler systems. It also provides industrial products, such as industrial components, material handling system and pallets, roto moulded crates, pallets, and garbage bins and composite LPG cylinders. In addition, the company provides packaging products comprising flexible packaging film products, protective packaging products, and cross-laminated film and products; and furniture. Further, the company offers fabricated and customised windows from uPVC profile. It also exports its products. The Supreme Industries Limited was incorporated in 1942 and is based in Mumbai, India.