DINESH

Tata Capital

Industry: NBFC Lending
Latest CMP 364
Today's Change ▲ 0.12%
52-Week High / Low 383 | 297
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 556
Expected Upside 23.6%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested
Today's Value
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+3.8%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
488
2-Year Target Price
556
52-Week High / Low
383 / 297
20-Day Return
+3.3%
Market Cap (Cr.)
154,598
Current PE
31.0
P/BV Ratio
3.4
Dividend Yield
Industry PE
23.4

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Tata Capital's management has expressed a cautiously optimistic outlook, emphasizing growth in unsecured retail, affordable housing, and gold loan segments. The company anticipates a 23-25% growth in assets under management (AUM) for FY27, driven by broad-based growth across its diversified loan portfolio. This aligns with Vista's forecast of accelerating revenue growth and improving margins, supported by a strong balance sheet and favorable market conditions. The anticipated regulatory approval for the gold loan business acquisition is a significant catalyst that could enhance Tata Capital's competitive position and market share. However, challenges such as rising borrowing costs and geopolitical uncertainties may impact net interest margins (NIMs) and the motor finance segment. The NBFC lending sector's overall stability and improving pricing power further bolster Tata Capital's growth prospects. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the expansion of the gold loan franchise and the integration of Cleantech financing, while watchpoints include potential margin pressures and asset quality risks in unsecured lending segments

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on expanding the gold loan franchise is expected to drive significant AUM growth
  • The company's strong balance sheet and diversified funding sources enhance its competitive position
  • Improving pricing power in the NBFC sector supports Tata Capital's margin expansion

Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising borrowing costs may pressure net interest margins and profitability
  • Geopolitical uncertainties could adversely affect the motor finance segment
  • Intensifying competition in the retail unsecured lending space poses risks to asset quality

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Elite Balance Sheet
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 8,610 13,294 15,555 15,890 19,561
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 4,376 4,910 6,606 8,372 10,043
PBT Margin 50.8% 36.9% 4246.9% 52.7% 51.3%
Net Profit (Cr.) 3,315 3,771 4,955 6,318 7,510
Earnings Per Share 7.4 8.9 11.6 14.7 17.7

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Emkay Global ► Hold 390 19-Jun-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 335 24-Apr-2026
Kotak Securities ► Add 390 24-Apr-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 390 29-Jul-2026
Nomura ▲ Buy 400 19-Jun-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Buy
Consensus Target 390
Coverage 5 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Tata Capital's strategic focus on expanding its gold loan franchise and leveraging digital transformation supports a positive outlook, with anticipated AUM growth of 23-25% by FY27. Analysts highlight the company's efforts to enhance operational efficiency and portfolio yields through AI-led process optimization. However, challenges such as rising borrowing costs impacting NIMs and competition in secured lending pose risks. Key catalysts include regulatory approval for gold loan expansion and the integration of TMFL to drive growth and profitability.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Tata Capital Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides various financial services to retail, SME, corporate, and institutional customers in India, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through three segments: Financing Activity, Investment Activity, and Others. It offers loans for retail and corporate borrowers, including asset financing, term loans, channel financing, credit substitutes, investments linked to/arising out of lending business, bill and invoice discounting, and power project finance. It also offers home loans, loans against property, personal loans, business loans, two wheeler loans, car loans, commercial vehicle loans, construction equipment loans, loans against securities, microfinance loans, and education loans. Additionally it provides supply chain finance, equipment finance, cleantech and infrastructure finance, and developer finance. The company also engages in the provision of corporate investment, advisory, wealth management, private equity fund management, and leasing services, as well as the distribution of financial products. In addition, it offers insurance and credit card distribution services. Tata Capital Limited was formerly known as Primal Investments and Finance Limited and changed its name to Tata Capital Limited in May 2007. Tata Capital Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Mumbai, India. Tata Capital Limited operates as a subsidiary of Tata Sons Private Limited.