DINESH

Tata Capital

Industry: NBFC Lending
Latest CMP 328
Today's Change ▼ -1.03%
52-Week High / Low 383 | 297
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 510
Expected Upside 24.7%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested —
Today's Value —
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+2.1%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
457
2-Year Target Price
510
52-Week High / Low
383 / 297
20-Day Return
-11.8%
Market Cap (Cr.)
139,211
Current PE
31.4
P/BV Ratio
3.0
Dividend Yield
—
Industry PE
23.5

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Tata Capital's management has expressed a confident outlook, driven by a robust Q1 performance and a strategic pivot towards high-margin products, particularly in the secured lending space. The successful integration of acquisitions and a focus on digital transformation are expected to enhance operational efficiency and cost optimization. Vista's financial outlook reflects a moderate revenue growth trajectory, supported by improving margins as the company capitalizes on its diversified portfolio and favorable macroeconomic conditions. The anticipated growth in the MSME sector, bolstered by government initiatives like ECLGS 5.0, aligns with Tata Capital's strategic priorities, positioning it well for sustained profitability. However, potential headwinds such as rising funding costs and geopolitical uncertainties warrant close monitoring. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the expansion of the gold loan franchise and the integration of AI in underwriting processes, while challenges may arise from increased competition and regulatory changes. Overall, Tata Capital's disciplined growth approach and focus on high-margin segments underpin Vista's positive investment outlook

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on high-margin products and digital transformation is expected to enhance operational efficiency
  • Government initiatives like ECLGS 5.0 are likely to support growth in the MSME sector, benefiting Tata Capital's lending strategy
  • The successful integration of acquisitions and expansion into gold loans presents significant growth opportunities

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising funding costs may pressure net interest margins and overall profitability
  • Geopolitical uncertainties could impact the performance of the motor finance segment
  • Increased competition among NBFCs may lead to margin compression and affect market share

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Elite Balance Sheet
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 8,610 13,294 15,555 15,866 18,626
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 4,376 4,910 6,606 7,845 9,417
PBT Margin 50.8% 36.9% 42.5% 49.4% 50.6%
Net Profit (Cr.) 3,315 3,771 4,955 5,920 7,042
Earnings Per Share 7.4 8.9 11.6 13.8 16.6

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Citigroup ▲ Buy 450 28-Sep-2026
Emkay Global ► Add 410 21-Sep-2026
JPMorgan ▲ Overweight 395 21-Sep-2026
Nuvama ► Hold 415 27-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 390 29-Jul-2026
Nomura ▲ Buy 415 29-Jul-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 335 24-Apr-2026
Kotak Securities ► Add 390 24-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 417
Coverage 8 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Tata Capital's strategic focus on expanding its gold loan franchise and leveraging digital transformation supports a positive outlook, with anticipated AUM growth of 23-25% by FY27. Analysts highlight the company's efforts to enhance operational efficiency and portfolio yields through AI-led process optimization. However, challenges such as rising borrowing costs impacting NIMs and competition in secured lending pose risks. Key catalysts include regulatory approval for gold loan expansion and the integration of TMFL to drive growth and profitability.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Tata Capital Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides various financial services to retail, SME, corporate, and institutional customers in India, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through three segments: Financing Activity, Investment Activity, and Others. It offers loans for retail and corporate borrowers, including asset financing, term loans, channel financing, credit substitutes, investments linked to/arising out of lending business, bill discounting, and power project finance. It also offers home loans, loans against property, personal loans, business loans, two wheeler loans, car loans, commercial vehicle loans, construction equipment loans, loans against securities, microfinance loans, and education loans. Additionally it provides supply chain finance, equipment finance, cleantech and infrastructure finance, and developer finance. The company also engages in the provision of corporate investment, advisory, wealth management, private equity fund management, and leasing services, as well as the distribution of financial products. In addition, it offers insurance and credit card distribution services. Tata Capital Limited was formerly known as Primal Investments and Finance Limited and changed its name to Tata Capital Limited in May 2007. Tata Capital Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Mumbai, India. Tata Capital Limited operates as a subsidiary of Tata Sons Private Limited.