DINESH

Tata Chemicals

Latest CMP 611
Today's Change ▼ -0.39%
52-Week High / Low 913 | 574
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Strong Sell
Target Price 433
Expected Upside -15.8%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 22.1%
1,000 Invested 01-Oct-2006
Today's Value 54,544
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-6.5%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
368
2-Year Target Price
433
52-Week High / Low
913 / 574
20-Day Return
-4.7%
Market Cap (Cr.)
15,592
Current PE
—
P/BV Ratio
0.7
Dividend Yield
1.5%
Industry PE
19.5

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Tata Chemicals is navigating a complex landscape characterized by strategic shifts and market pressures. Management's pivot towards a non-cyclical portfolio, focusing on 'Living Essentials' such as food and pharmaceuticals, is crucial for long-term growth, especially as the Indian market shows resilience amid global challenges. The company's commitment to operational efficiency and capacity expansions in salt and silica positions it well for future revenue growth, despite headwinds from oversupply in the soda ash market and elevated logistics costs. Vista's financial outlook reflects a cautious optimism, projecting a revenue/EBITDA CAGR of 10%/27% over FY26-28, supported by strong domestic demand and diversification efforts. However, the global soda ash market remains under pressure, with geopolitical tensions impacting margins. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the successful rollout of new product lines and capacity expansions, while watchpoints include potential raw material supply disruptions and pricing volatility. Overall, Tata Chemicals' disciplined capital management and focus on sustainability are expected to enhance its competitive position in a challenging environment

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's strategic pivot towards non-cyclical products is expected to enhance revenue stability
  • Strong domestic demand in India supports robust volume growth and better realizations in key products
  • Capacity expansions in salt and silica are anticipated to drive future revenue growth

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Global soda ash market faces significant headwinds from oversupply and pricing pressures, particularly from China
  • Elevated logistics costs and geopolitical tensions are likely to impact margins
  • Potential raw material supply disruptions could hinder operational efficiency and profitability

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Weak Cash Conversion
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 15,421 14,887 14,584 16,127 17,148
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 1,642 591 497 281 485
PBT Margin 10.6% 4.0% 3.4% 1.7% 2.8%
Net Profit (Cr.) 904 474 69 214 222
Earnings Per Share 28.9 12.6 -4.4 5.0 8.7

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
HSBC ► Hold 720 15-Sep-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Sell 620 28-Jul-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 700 28-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 700
Coverage 3 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Tata Chemicals faces a challenging global soda ash market with oversupply and pricing pressure, particularly from China, impacting international operations. However, strong domestic demand and better realizations in India support resilience. Strategic diversification efforts, including sodium-ion battery development, present potential growth avenues. Expansion plans for salt and silica plants in India aim to bolster future capacity. Despite these positives, international margins remain pressured by lower realizations and higher logistics costs.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Tata Chemicals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, sells, and distributes basic chemistry and specialty products in India, Asia, Africa, Europe, the United Kingdom, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Basic Chemistry Products and Specialty Products. The company offers dense, heavy, high purity, industrial grade, and light soda ash; allied chemicals, such as caustic soda, chlorine and bromine-based products, and gypsum; sodium bicarbonate; sodium chloride; calcium chloride; crushed refined soda; standard ash Magadi; natural and synthetic light soda ash; crex; energy; ordinary Portland and masonry cement under the Tata Shudh brand name; and livestock and dry industrial salt. It also provides nano zinc oxide and silica; prebiotics and dietary fibers; herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, bio-fertilizers, bio-stimulants, micronutrients, organic fertilizers, water-soluble fertilizers, bio-pesticides, and seeds; and energy storage solutions. The company's products are used in various applications, such as agriculture; animal nutrition; chemicals; construction; food and nutrition; glass; high performance rubber; metals; oral care and cosmetics; paints, inks, and adhesives; pharmaceuticals; safety and environment; soaps and detergents; textiles and leather; lithium-ion, dry cell, and other batteries; and others. Tata Chemicals Limited was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.