DINESH

Transport Corporation of India

Industry: Logistics
Latest CMP 915
Today's Change ▼ -0.97%
52-Week High / Low 1,216 | 877
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 1,033
Expected Upside 6.3%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 22.1%
1,000 Invested 15-Aug-2006
Today's Value 53,821
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-0.6%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
935
2-Year Target Price
1,033
52-Week High / Low
1,216 / 877
20-Day Return
-1.6%
Market Cap (Cr.)
7,047
Current PE
15.6
P/BV Ratio
2.7
Dividend Yield
0.9%
Industry PE
38.6

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Transport Corporation of India (TCI) is navigating a complex landscape marked by both opportunities and challenges. Management's recent commentary highlights a strategic focus on expanding its less-than-truckload (LTL) network and enhancing multimodal logistics capabilities, particularly through investments in specialized rail rakes for the automotive sector. This aligns with Vista's forecast of a 10-12% revenue growth trajectory for FY27, supported by government initiatives and rising demand for specialized logistics solutions. However, TCI faces margin pressures due to volatile fuel costs and competitive intensity, particularly in its Freight and Seaways divisions. Despite these headwinds, the company's diversified sector exposure and ongoing investments in technology and infrastructure position it well for long-term growth. The logistics sector's expansion, driven by government support and evolving market dynamics, further underpins Vista's outlook. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the rollout of new supply chain contracts and the commissioning of new ships, while watchpoints include inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties that could impact demand. Overall, TCI's strategic initiatives and market positioning support a cautiously optimistic financial outlook

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strategic expansion of the LTL network and multimodal logistics capabilities enhances competitive positioning
  • Government support and rising demand for specialized logistics solutions bolster revenue growth prospects
  • Investments in technology and infrastructure are expected to improve operational efficiency and profitability

Things To Watch Out For

  • Volatile fuel costs and competitive intensity are compressing margins in key divisions
  • Inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties pose risks to demand and overall growth
  • The high-base effect in the Supply Chain segment may limit growth momentum in the short term

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 4,024 4,492 4,917 5,016 5,583
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 390 458 500 465 521
PBT Margin 9.7% 10.2% 1016.9% 9.3% 9.3%
Net Profit (Cr.) 350 419 464 431 479
Earnings Per Share 44.9 53.9 59.7 55.5 62.3

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 1,150 05-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 1,150
Coverage 1 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Transport Corporation of India's strategic focus on expanding its Less-than-Truckload (LTL) network and enhancing multimodal logistics through investments in specialized rail rakes positions the company for growth despite current margin pressures. Analysts highlight the company's efforts to mitigate headwinds from volatile fuel prices and inflation by leveraging government initiatives and expanding high-margin segments like coastal shipping. Future catalysts include the commissioning of new rail rakes and anticipated demand recovery in the automotive sector.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Transport Corporation of India Limited provides end-to-end integrated supply chain and logistics solutions in India. The company operates through Freight Division, Supply Chain Solutions Division, Seaways Division, and Energy Division segments. It offers surface transport solutions, such as full truck load, less than truck load, over-dimensional cargo, and project heavy haul. In addition, the company provides supply chain solutions, such as supply chain network design, warehousing management, multimodal transportation, and inventory management services, as well as the company offers coastal shipping, container cargo movements, and transportation services. Further, it offers logistics and supply chain solutions, including port logistics, control tower consultancy, inbound /outbound logistics, reefer storage and TPT, liquid and gas bulk logistics, rail and container movement, handling services of heavy haulage, and streamlined logistics management services. The company serves various sectors, including automobile, chemical, e-commerce, engineering, retail, pharmaceuticals, healthcare, defense, and FMCG. Transport Corporation of India Limited was founded in 1958 and is based in Gurugram, India.