DINESH

Texmaco Rail

Latest CMP 105
Today's Change ▼ -2.09%
52-Week High / Low 150 | 79
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 144
Expected Upside 17.3%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 4.5%
1,000 Invested 03-Mar-2011
Today's Value 1,970
Investment Period 15 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-5.2%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
108
2-Year Target Price
144
52-Week High / Low
150 / 79
20-Day Return
-8.7%
Market Cap (Cr.)
4,265
Current PE
19.4
P/BV Ratio
1.8
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Industry PE
25.7

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Texmaco Rail is strategically pivoting towards a diversified, technology-integrated rail infrastructure provider, focusing on high-margin segments such as signaling and defense manufacturing. Management's emphasis on reducing reliance on cyclical domestic wagon production and expanding into private sector and export markets is expected to enhance revenue growth and margins. The recent multi-year contract in South Africa serves as a significant revenue anchor, supporting Vista's forecast of stable margins and a positive long-term growth outlook. Despite challenges from global supply chain volatility, Texmaco's proactive measures, including a contingency provision to mitigate project risks, reflect a commitment to operational efficiency and financial stability. The rail infrastructure sector's expansion, bolstered by government investments, aligns with Texmaco's growth strategy, positioning the company favorably within a robust industry context. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include capturing larger EPC contracts and leveraging technology for higher-margin services, while watchpoints include potential regulatory shifts and execution complexities in new sectors

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strategic diversification into high-margin segments like signaling and defense enhances revenue potential
  • A significant multi-year contract in South Africa provides a stable revenue foundation through FY2028
  • Management's focus on operational efficiency and technology integration supports long-term margin stability

Things To Watch Out For

  • Global supply chain disruptions pose risks to operational execution and project timelines
  • Potential regulatory shifts in procurement could impact operational strategies and cost structures
  • Execution complexities in entering new sectors like defense may challenge short-term performance

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Stable
Analyst View
Not Available
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Reducing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 3,503 5,107 4,377 3,742 4,848
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 160 336 280 251 321
PBT Margin 4.6% 6.6% 639.7% 6.7% 6.6%
Net Profit (Cr.) 164 277 232 212 269
Earnings Per Share 4.0 6.8 5.8 5.2 6.6

Analyst Recommendations

No analyst recommendations available.

Consensus Recommendation ► None
Consensus Target
Coverage 0 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Texmaco Rail & Engineering Limited manufactures, sells, and provides services for rail and rail related products in India and internationally. It operates through three segments: Heavy Engineering, Steel Foundry, and Rail EPC. The company offers freight cars, such as railway freight cars, loco components and shells, and steel castings; steel girders for railway bridges; and pressure vessels. It also undertakes EPC contracts for execution of railway track, and signaling and telecommunication projects; rail electrification and automatic fare collection; hydro-mechanical equipment. In addition, the company provides wagons, parcel vans, brake vans, as well as components for fabricated bogie; front end; fuel tank; car body shell; platform sub assemblies; bogie and base frame; and end, side, bolster, floor, and ballast assembly. The company was founded in 1939 and is based in Kolkata, India.