DINESH

Timken India

Latest CMP 3,136
Today's Change ▲ 1.61%
52-Week High / Low 3,764 | 2,907
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 3,664
Expected Upside 8.1%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 28.3%
1,000 Invested 01-Oct-2006
Today's Value 147,036
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+1.8%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
3,510
2-Year Target Price
3,664
52-Week High / Low
3,764 / 2,907
20-Day Return
+0.4%
Market Cap (Cr.)
23,589
Current PE
57.3
P/BV Ratio
7.9
Dividend Yield
0.4%
Industry PE
57.3

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Timken India Limited is positioned for robust growth, driven by strong demand in the rail, power, and commercial vehicle sectors. Management's focus on capacity expansion and technological integration is expected to enhance operational efficiency and support revenue growth, with a projected CAGR of 15% in revenue and 26% in earnings over FY26-28E. The company's strategic initiatives, including the ramp-up of the Bharuch facility and the Jamshedpur rail expansion, are critical for optimizing product mix and capturing market share. Despite facing inflationary pressures and competitive pricing challenges, Timken's disciplined cost management and effective price pass-through strategies are likely to sustain margins. The favorable macro environment, characterized by government infrastructure spending and stable industrial demand, further supports Vista's positive financial outlook, which anticipates stable margins and a fair valuation aligned with intrinsic value. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include increased export penetration and the successful integration of GGB India, while watchpoints include potential supply chain disruptions and the impact of rising raw material costs on profitability

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong demand in rail, power, and commercial vehicle sectors supports revenue growth
  • Strategic capacity expansions, including the Bharuch and Jamshedpur facilities, enhance operational efficiency
  • Management's disciplined cost management and effective price pass-through strategies are expected to sustain margins

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Inflationary pressures and rising raw material costs may challenge profitability
  • Competitive pricing pressures could limit margin expansion
  • Potential supply chain disruptions pose risks to production efficiency

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Not Available
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,910 3,148 3,419 3,570 3,787
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 523 551 530 574 603
PBT Margin 18.0% 17.5% 15.5% 16.1% 15.9%
Net Profit (Cr.) 391 444 413 447 470
Earnings Per Share 52.0 59.1 54.9 59.4 62.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Geojit Financials ▲ Buy 4,207 22-Jun-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► None
Consensus Target —
Coverage 1 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Timken India Limited manufactures, sells, and distributes tapered and other roller bearings, components, accessories, and mechanical power transmission products in India, the United States, and internationally. The company offers engineered bearing products, such as mounted, roller, energy efficient, ball, precision, plain, thrust bearings, engineered seals, bearing accessories, and lubricant solutions, as well as bearing repair; grease lubrication and filtration systems; and sealing solution, oil, rail, automotive, and industrial seals. It also provides brakes and clutches; chains and augers; lovejoy couplings; torsion contril couplings; industrial and precision gearing; linear motion; and aerospace, industrial, and rail bearing repair services. In addition, the company offers maintenance contract and refurbishment services. It sells its products under Timken, Rollon, Philadelphia Gear, GGB, Groeneveld, BEKA, Cone Drive, Nadella, LoveJoy, Diamond, Drives, SPINEA, PT Tech, Lagersmit, Torsion Control, Des-Case, and CGI Inc brand names. The company serves various markets, including aerospace and defense, automation, robotics, industrial machinery, construction, food and beverage, marine, mining, power-generation and renewable energy, and rail markets. The company was formerly known as Tata Timken Limited and changed its name to Timken India Limited in July 1999. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Bengaluru, India. Timken India Limited operates as a subsidiary of Timken Singapore Pte Ltd.