DINESH

Tata Motors PV

Latest CMP 284
Today's Change ▲ 0.91%
52-Week High / Low 712 | 281
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Hold
Target Price 424
Expected Upside 22.3%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 4.8%
1,000 Invested 01-Oct-2006
Today's Value 2,553
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-8.5%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
351
2-Year Target Price
424
52-Week High / Low
712 / 281
20-Day Return
-9.1%
Market Cap (Cr.)
104,470
Current PE
40.5
P/BV Ratio
0.9
Dividend Yield
0.7%
Industry PE
26.8

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV) is navigating a bifurcated landscape, with strong domestic growth driven by electric vehicle (EV) adoption, while facing challenges in its Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) segment. Management's focus on a multi-powertrain strategy, including significant EV launches and capacity expansion, supports Vista's forecast of a 15% CAGR in domestic volumes through FY31. The India business is capitalizing on robust consumer demand, particularly for SUVs and EVs, which is expected to enhance revenue growth and stabilize margins. However, JLR's ongoing supply chain issues and geopolitical uncertainties pose risks to overall profitability. Despite these headwinds, TMPV's strategic initiatives, including cost reductions and operational efficiencies, are designed to mitigate pressures and enhance long-term value. The macro environment remains cautiously optimistic, with improving economic indicators, although inflation and rising fuel costs could temper consumer sentiment. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include expanding EV market share and leveraging new product launches, while watchpoints include JLR's execution risks and commodity cost pressures

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong domestic growth driven by robust demand for electric vehicles and SUVs
  • Management's strategic focus on cost reduction and operational efficiency to enhance profitability
  • Ambitious targets for volume growth and market share expansion in the Indian passenger vehicle segment

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Ongoing supply chain constraints and geopolitical uncertainties affecting JLR's profitability
  • Rising input costs and inflationary pressures impacting margins across the consolidated entity
  • Execution risks related to new product launches and market response, particularly in the JLR segment

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Weak Cash Conversion
Market Share
Losing
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 434,016 439,695 335,582 383,819 430,247
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 29,368 34,330 2,073 3,991 7,916
PBT Margin 6.8% 7.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.8%
Net Profit (Cr.) 23,791 32,716 2,519 2,993 5,336
Earnings Per Share 63.5 87.9 7.5 7.3 14.5

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Kotak Securities ▼ Sell 285 01-Sep-2026
Axis Securities ▼ Reduce 290 14-Aug-2026
CLSA ▲ Outperform 452 14-Aug-2026
Citigroup ▼ Sell 305 14-Aug-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 375 14-Aug-2026
Macguire ▲ Outperform 381 14-Aug-2026
Moneycontrol ► Equalweight 346 14-Aug-2026
Morgan Stanley ► Equalweight 367 14-Aug-2026
Motilal Oswal ▼ Sell 310 14-Aug-2026
Nomura ► Neutral 389 14-Aug-2026
Nuvama ▲ Buy 450 14-Aug-2026
Jeffries ▼ Underperform 300 13-Aug-2026
HSBC ► Hold 400 02-Jul-2026
BofA ▼ Reduce 335 17-Jun-2026
Emkay Global ► Hold 390 17-Jun-2026
Goldman Sachs ► Hold 355 17-Jun-2026
Deven Choksey ► Add 395 18-May-2026
Geojit Financials ▲ Buy 241 01-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 352
Coverage 18 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Tata Motors' domestic passenger vehicle segment is a growth driver, supported by robust EV and CNG adoption, market share gains, and aggressive production scaling. However, the JLR segment struggles with supply chain disruptions, geopolitical uncertainties, and rising costs, which pressure margins and increase debt levels. Upcoming product launches and strategic cost-reduction initiatives are expected to drive future growth, though near-term challenges persist. Analysts maintain a cautious outlook due to persistent commodity cost pressures and JLR's execution risks.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited designs, develops, manufactures, and sells various automotive vehicles. The company offers passenger and electric vehicles, as well as related spare parts and accessories. It also manufactures engines for industrial applications. In addition, the company provides information technology and vehicle financing services. It operates in India, China, the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Tata Motors Limited and changed its name to Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited in October 2025. Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited was incorporated in 1945 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.