DINESH

United Breweries

Industry: Breweries
Latest CMP 1,158
Today's Change ▼ -4.31%
52-Week High / Low 1,827 | 1,158
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 1,701
Expected Upside 21.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 12.1%
1,000 Invested 01-Oct-2006
Today's Value 9,810
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-4.9%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
1,474
2-Year Target Price
1,701
52-Week High / Low
1,827 / 1,158
20-Day Return
-9.8%
Market Cap (Cr.)
30,620
Current PE
92.9
P/BV Ratio
6.7
Dividend Yield
0.5%
Industry PE
44.8

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

United Breweries (UBL) is currently positioned for a transformative phase, driven by management's focus on premiumization and operational efficiency. Recent commentary from management highlights a strategic pivot towards enhancing the premium segment, with expectations of mid-teens EBITDA margins supported by disciplined pricing and cost management. The company's 'EverGreen 2030' initiative aims for double-digit organic revenue growth, leveraging favorable regulatory reforms and a robust pipeline of premium products. Despite facing near-term challenges from rising input costs and competitive pressures, UBL's long-term outlook remains positive, underpinned by a stable demand environment and a commitment to optimizing its supply chain. Vista's financial outlook reflects an anticipated acceleration in revenue growth beyond historical trends, with margins expected to remain stable. The breweries industry is experiencing favorable conditions, including improving pricing power and a stable demand backdrop, which further supports UBL's growth trajectory. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include capturing market share through premium offerings and expanding distribution, while watchpoints include potential regulatory changes and rising competition from peers like Carlsberg

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on premiumization is expected to drive margin improvement and revenue growth
  • Favorable regulatory reforms are likely to enhance pricing power and market share
  • A robust pipeline of new products and capacity expansion supports long-term growth potential

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising input costs and packaging expenses may pressure margins in the short term
  • Intense competition, particularly from Carlsberg, poses execution risks in the premium segment
  • Regulatory uncertainties at the state level could impact pricing power and operational stability

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 8,123 8,915 9,240 9,893 10,722
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 551 631 507 535 667
PBT Margin 6.8% 7.1% 5.5% 5.4% 6.2%
Net Profit (Cr.) 402 445 359 382 476
Earnings Per Share 15.2 16.8 13.6 14.4 18.0

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Anand Rathi ▲ Buy 1,600 07-Sep-2026
Choice Equity ▲ Buy 1,480 04-Sep-2026
DAM Capital ▲ Buy 1,685 04-Sep-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 1,500 04-Sep-2026
Investec ► Hold 1,453 04-Sep-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 1,400 06-Aug-2026
ICICI Securities ► Add 1,432 05-Aug-2026
BofA ▼ Reduce 1,200 08-May-2026
JPMorgan ▼ Reduce 1,300 07-May-2026
Kotak Securities ▼ Sell 1,220 07-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Buy
Consensus Target 1,514
Coverage 10 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
United Breweries is leveraging premiumization, notably through Heineken Silver and Kingfisher Ultra, to drive margin expansion and market share gains. The company's 'EverGreen 2030' strategy emphasizes state-mix optimization and supply chain productivity, aiming for double-digit revenue growth and mid-teens EBITDA margins. Challenges include competitive pressures from Carlsberg and regulatory risks, but catalysts such as the national rollout of Project Everest and new brewery expansions are expected to support growth. Persistent input cost inflation remains a key risk, impacting short-term profitability.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

United Breweries Limited engages in manufacture, purchase, and sale of beer and non-alcoholic beverages in India and internationally. The company provides beer products under the Heineken Original, Heineken Silver, Kingfisher Premium, Kingfisher Strong, Kingfisher Ultra, Kingfisher Ultra Max, Kingfisher Ultra Witbier, Amstel, Amstel Grande, Bullet, Bullet Super Strong, Cannon 10000, Zingaro, Kingfisher Strong, Kingfisher Flavour Mango and lemon, Kalyani Black Label, UB Export Lager, UB Export Strong, London Pilsner Premium, London Pilsner Strong, and Queenfisher brands; and non-alcoholic products under the Kingfisher Premium Packaged Drinking Water, Kingfisher Strong Power Soda, Kingfisher Ultra-Premium Soda, and Heineken 0.0. It also licenses its brands; and offers contract manufacturing services. In addition, the company is involved in scrap sales. The company was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India.