DINESH

Ujjivan Small Finance Bank

Latest CMP 72
Today's Change ▲ 1.80%
52-Week High / Low 72 | 42
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 116
Expected Upside 26.3%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 4.2%
1,000 Invested 12-Dec-2019
Today's Value 1,316
Investment Period 7 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+13.8%
Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
112
2-Year Target Price
116
52-Week High / Low
72 / 42
20-Day Return
+10.5%
Market Cap (Cr.)
14,097
Current PE
19.6
P/BV Ratio
2.1
Dividend Yield
2.4%
Industry PE
18.5

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Ujjivan Small Finance Bank is poised for robust growth, driven by management's strategic focus on expanding its secured lending portfolio, which is expected to enhance risk-adjusted returns and support a target of 25% credit growth for FY27. The bank's recent performance has led to an upward revision in return on assets (RoA) guidance to 1.8-2%, bolstered by lower credit costs and operational leverage. However, competitive pressures in the affordable housing segment and potential asset quality concerns remain watchpoints. The improving macroeconomic environment in India, characterized by stable inflation and favorable liquidity conditions, further supports Ujjivan's growth trajectory. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the expansion of gold loans and vehicle finance, while challenges may arise from regulatory hurdles and execution risks associated with new product scalability. Overall, Ujjivan's strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions position it well for sustained profitability and valuation upside, with a target price of approximately INR 91.46 for the next 12 months

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's focus on increasing secured loans to 56% of the portfolio is expected to enhance profitability and reduce credit costs
  • The bank's upward revision of RoA guidance to 1.8-2% reflects strong operational leverage and improving asset quality
  • Favorable macroeconomic conditions in India, including stable inflation and strong liquidity, support the bank's growth outlook

Things To Watch Out For

  • Competitive pressures in the affordable housing segment may impact margin stability and growth potential
  • Regulatory challenges, particularly related to the bank's application for a universal banking license, pose risks to future expansion
  • Execution risks associated with scaling new products and maintaining asset quality in specific geographies could affect performance

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Elite Balance Sheet
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 3,409 3,636 3,871 4,528 5,439
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 1,703 942 911 1,459 1,665
PBT Margin 50.0% 25.9% 2353.4% 32.2% 30.6%
Net Profit (Cr.) 1,298 741 693 1,109 1,265
Earnings Per Share 6.7 3.8 3.6 5.7 6.5

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Axis Securities ▲ Buy 86 23-Jul-2026
BOB Capital Markets ▲ Buy 72 09-May-2026
Elara Capital ▲ Buy 74 09-May-2026
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 85 27-Jul-2026
HDFC Securities ► Add 80 28-Jul-2026
HSBC ▲ Buy 83 24-Jul-2026
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 90 24-Jul-2026
Kotak Securities ▲ Buy 72 02-Apr-2026
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight nan 24-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 85
Coverage 9 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank is focusing on expanding its secured lending portfolio, aiming for 56% by FY27, with significant growth in vehicle finance, gold loans, and agri-banking. Strategic investments in digital onboarding and operational capacity are fueling rapid business growth. The bank targets over 25% credit growth, supported by a diversified portfolio, while optimizing its opex-to-asset ratio to lower credit costs. Despite positive momentum, challenges include competitive pressures, potential margin compression, and geopolitical risks. A prospective universal banking license could serve as a key catalyst for further growth.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Limited provides various banking and financial services in India. The company operates through Treasury, Retail Banking, and Corporate/Wholesale Banking segments. It provides current, savings, salary, TACS savings and current, and NRI accounts; and fixed, recurring, TASC fixed, NRI and NRO fixed, and tax saver fixed deposits. The company's loan products include home and micro mortgages, including home purchase and home construction, composite home, home improvement, and home equity loans; micro mortgages, business loan, and loan against property; vehicle loans, such as two-wheeler loan, electric three-wheeler loan, and dealer trade advance; micro loans, including group and individual loans; agricultural loans; micro, small, and medium enterprises loans and overdrafts; and gold and staff loans. In addition, it provides mobile, personal net, SMS and missed call, phone, video, and WhatsApp banking; ATMs and cash deposit machines; statements services; life, health, and general insurances; credit and debit cards; and safe deposit lockers. Additionally, the company is involved in retail forex and trade services. Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India.