DINESH

Varun Beverages

Industry: FMCG
Latest CMP 434
Today's Change ▼ -0.26%
52-Week High / Low 543 | 381
Price Date: 17-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 585
Expected Upside 16.0%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 36.5%
1,000 Invested 08-Nov-2016
Today's Value 20,864
Investment Period 10 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-7.7%
Mild Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
535
2-Year Target Price
585
52-Week High / Low
543 / 381
20-Day Return
-6.9%
Market Cap (Cr.)
147,128
Current PE
50.9
P/BV Ratio
7.5
Dividend Yield
0.2%
Industry PE
42.0

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Varun Beverages is currently navigating a pivotal transition characterized by aggressive geographic and product diversification, which is expected to drive long-term growth despite facing near-term challenges from heightened domestic competition and raw material inflation. Management's focus on scaling high-margin categories, such as energy drinks and value-added dairy, is crucial as these segments are experiencing significant growth rates of 40-50%. The recent extension of the PepsiCo bottling agreement until 2049 provides a structural tailwind, enhancing operational efficiencies and supporting revenue growth. Vista's financial outlook anticipates accelerating revenue growth beyond historical levels, with improving margins as the company leverages its expanded international footprint and diversified product portfolio. However, the integration of lower-margin acquisitions and regulatory pressures in the domestic market pose risks to profitability. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include successful product launches and market expansions, while watchpoints include competitive intensity and potential margin volatility. Overall, Varun Beverages is well-positioned for sustained growth, supported by a favorable macroeconomic environment and strategic initiatives

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Aggressive expansion into high-margin categories like energy drinks and dairy is expected to enhance revenue growth
  • The extended PepsiCo agreement provides structural support for operational efficiencies and long-term growth
  • Strong volume growth in international markets is a key driver for future revenue expansion

Things To Watch Out For

  • Heightened domestic competition may pressure margins and market share
  • Integration of lower-margin acquisitions could temporarily impact overall profitability
  • Regulatory challenges in the energy drinks segment may hinder volume growth in the domestic market

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Weakening
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 16,043 20,008 21,685 23,756 27,268
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 2,823 3,504 4,010 4,138 4,943
PBT Margin 17.6% 17.5% 1849.2% 17.4% 18.1%
Net Profit (Cr.) 2,174 2,740 3,067 3,257 3,858
Earnings Per Share 6.3 8.0 9.0 9.5 11.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Axis Securities ▲ Buy 530 30-Jul-2026
CLSA ▲ Buy 629 29-Jul-2026
Citigroup ▲ Buy 580 29-Jul-2026
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 490 30-Jul-2026
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 620 28-Apr-2026
HSBC ► Hold 600 28-Apr-2026
ICICI Securities ► Hold 450 30-Jul-2026
JMFinancials ▲ Buy 600 28-Apr-2026
JPMorgan ► Neutral 530 29-Jul-2026
Jeffries ▲ Buy 615 29-Jul-2026
Kotak Securities ► Add 540 22-May-2026
Moneycontrol ▲ Overweight nan 06-Aug-2026
Morgan Stanley ▲ Overweight 557 29-Jul-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 560 29-Jul-2026
Nuvama ▲ Buy 600 28-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 550
Coverage 15 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Varun Beverages is leveraging geographic and product diversification to drive growth, focusing on high-margin segments such as energy drinks and value-added dairy. The partnership with Asahi for Calpis and African acquisitions are pivotal for revenue expansion. Despite facing domestic competition and raw material inflation, the extended PepsiCo agreement and operational efficiencies offer structural support. Challenges include margin pressures from international acquisitions and regulatory impacts on energy drinks, but strategic initiatives and new product launches are expected to sustain growth momentum.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Varun Beverages Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, bottles, sells, and distributes beverages under the PepsiCo brands in India, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Zambia, Morocco, Zimbabwe, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mozambique, South Africa, Lesotho, Eswatini, Namibia, and Botswana. The company offers carbonated soft drinks under the Pepsi, Pepsi Zero, Mountain Dew, Mirinda, and Seven-Up brands, as well as the Refreshhh, Coo-ee, and Jive brands; fruit pulp and juice-based drinks under the Slice, Tropicana, Tropicana Delight, and Seven-Up Nimbooz brands; club sodas under the Evervess and Duke's brands; and energy drinks under the Sting, Adrenaline Rush, and Rockstar brands. It also provides sports drinks under the Gatorade brand; carbonated juice-based drinks under the Seven-Up Nimbooz Masala Soda brand; ice-tea under the Lipton brand; packaged drinking water under the Aquafina and Aquavess brands, as well as the Refreshhh and Aquaclear brands; and snacks under the FritoLay, Cheetos, Doritos, Simba, and Kurkure brands. In addition, the company offers energy drinks under the Reboost Energy brand; and value-added dairy-based beverages under the Cream Bell brand. Varun Beverages Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Gurugram, India.