DINESH

Vedanta Ltd

Industry: Diversified
Latest CMP 268
Today's Change ▼ -1.33%
52-Week High / Low 788 | 253
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Buy
Target Price 708
Expected Upside 62.7%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 24.5%
1,000 Invested 17-Aug-2006
Today's Value 80,274
Investment Period 20 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+2.0%
Neutral Market Reaction
1-Year Target Price
405
2-Year Target Price
708
52-Week High / Low
788 / 253
20-Day Return
+2.2%
Market Cap (Cr.)
104,592
Current PE
20.7
P/BV Ratio
2.1
Dividend Yield
13.8%
Industry PE
29.1

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Vedanta Ltd's recent developments indicate a cautiously optimistic outlook, driven by management's commitment to strategic expansions and technological innovations. The company aims to achieve USD 5 billion in EBITDA by FY30, supported by projects like Gamsberg Phase-II and capacity expansions in copper and ferroalloys. However, challenges such as declining mined metal production and geopolitical issues affecting copper sales could impact growth. Vista's financial outlook reflects early revenue recovery and improving margins, aligning with management's growth targets. The company's fair valuation suggests potential upside, particularly as it navigates operational challenges. Industry trends, including improving pricing power and stable demand, further support Vedanta's growth trajectory. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include successful project completions and advancements in digital innovation, while headwinds may arise from production declines and geopolitical uncertainties

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's target of USD 5 billion EBITDA by FY30 highlights strong growth ambitions supported by key project expansions
  • Improvements in margins and early revenue recovery align with Vista's positive financial outlook
  • Technological innovations in operational efficiency and sustainability could enhance competitive positioning

Things To Watch Out For

  • Declining mined metal production at Zinc International poses a risk to revenue growth
  • Geopolitical issues are negatively impacting copper sales, particularly at the Fujairah facility
  • Weak cash conversion relative to the asset base may hinder financial flexibility

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Weak Cash Conversion
Market Share
Losing
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Increasing

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 143,727 152,968 78,437 89,277 85,691
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 17,676 24,818 17,126 31,532 27,454
PBT Margin 12.3% 16.2% 2183.4% 35.3% 32.0%
Net Profit (Cr.) 7,336 18,405 12,762 26,802 14,001
Earnings Per Share 10.3 32.9 12.9 41.1 35.8

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
BPWealth ▲ Buy 331 18-May-2026
Citigroup ▼ Sell 265 07-May-2026
Emkay Global ▲ Buy 350 30-Jun-2026
Investec ▲ Buy 319 30-Jun-2026
JPMorgan ▲ Buy 445 07-Apr-2026
Motilal Oswal ► Neutral 290 03-Aug-2026
Nomura ► Hold 420 30-Apr-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Buy
Consensus Target 319
Coverage 7 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Vedanta's strategic focus on expanding its zinc, copper, and ferroalloy operations underpins its growth ambitions, aiming for a USD5b EBITDA by FY30. Key projects like Gamsberg Phase-II and Copper India's capacity expansion are progressing well, promising future growth. However, the company faces challenges with declining mined metal production at Zinc International and geopolitical issues affecting copper sales. Upcoming catalysts include the commissioning of the Hot Acid Leaching plant and the phosphoric acid plant, which are expected to enhance production capabilities.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Vedanta Limited, a diversified natural resources company, explores, extracts, and processes minerals, and oil and gas in India, Europe, China, the United States, Mexico, and internationally. The company explores, produces, and sells oil and gas, zinc, lead, silver, copper, aluminum, iron ores, and metallurgical coke. It also operates a thermal coal-based commercial power facility of 600 megawatts (MW) at Jharsuguda in Odisha; a 1,200 MW thermal coal-based power plants in the Chhattisgarh; 1,980 MW thermal coal- based commercial power facilities in Punjab; wind power plants; and a 1,000 MW coal-based power plant at Nellore, Andhra Pradesh. In addition, it manufactures and supplies billets, TMT bars, wire rods, and ductile iron pipes; mechanizes coal handling facilities and upgrades general cargo berth for handling coal at the outer harbor of Visakhapatnam Port on the east coast of India; offers port/berth services; and manufactures glass substrates, semiconductor, displays, ferro alloys, and slag cements. The company was formerly known as Sesa Sterlite Limited and changed its name to Vedanta Limited in March 2015. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.