DINESH
Latest CMP 160
Today's Change ▼ -2.02%
52-Week High / Low 379 | 157
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Strong Sell
Target Price 212
Expected Upside 15.0%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR Not Available
1,000 Invested
Today's Value
Investment Period < 5 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
-12.7%
Negative Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
113
2-Year Target Price
212
52-Week High / Low
379 / 157
20-Day Return
-16.2%
Market Cap (Cr.)
5,803
Current PE
13.9
P/BV Ratio
1.8
Dividend Yield
Industry PE
20.2

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

Vikram Solar is currently navigating a challenging transition marked by significant margin pressure and execution delays, primarily due to rising input costs and a competitive pricing environment. Management's focus on backward integration and entry into the Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) market is promising, with ambitious capacity expansions planned across the solar value chain. However, the delay in commissioning the 9GW cell plant and scaling back of wafer/ingot capacity plans reflect a cautious capital allocation approach, which may hinder immediate earnings recovery. Despite a robust order book and supportive government policies, the company's heavy reliance on debt for its INR 100bn capex cycle introduces execution risks. Vista's financial outlook anticipates accelerating revenue growth, supported by these strategic initiatives, although margins are expected to remain under pressure. The current valuation reflects long-term growth expectations, but recent trading indicates cautious investor sentiment. Over the next 12-24 months, key opportunities include the successful commissioning of new plants and expansion into the BESS market, while watchpoints include execution risks and potential impacts from US trade actions on exports

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Ambitious capacity expansions across the solar value chain, targeting significant growth in module and cell production
  • Strategic entry into the Battery Energy Storage Systems market, capitalizing on long-term demand for solar and storage solutions
  • Supportive government policies enhancing domestic demand for solar technologies

Things To Watch Out For

  • Significant margin pressure due to rising input costs and a competitive pricing environment
  • Delays in commissioning key production facilities, impacting near-term earnings visibility
  • Heavy reliance on debt for capital expenditures introduces execution and balance sheet risks

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Strong and Investable
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Hold
Dividend History
No Dividend History
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,511 3,423 4,802 7,367 10,697
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 119 217 653 286 697
PBT Margin 4.7% 6.3% 1359.9% 3.9% 6.5%
Net Profit (Cr.) 97 188 474 209 509
Earnings Per Share 2.7 5.2 13.1 5.8 14.1

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Elara Capital ► Accumulate 202 08-May-2026
JMFinancials ▼ Reduce 205 09-Jun-2026
Prabhudas Liladhar ► Accumulate 173 11-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ► Hold
Consensus Target 189
Coverage 3 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
Vikram Solar faces significant challenges with margin compression due to elevated input costs and a competitive pricing environment, compounded by execution delays in its 9GW cell plant. While the company is expanding into the BESS market and expects growth in its DCR business, these initiatives are overshadowed by a heavy reliance on debt for its capex cycle, introducing balance sheet risks. Analysts remain cautious about the pace of earnings recovery despite strong module sales volume growth.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

Vikram Solar Limited manufactures and sells solar photovoltaic modules/systems in India and internationally. It also offers engineering, procurements, and construction solutions, such as risk analysis, site survey, design and engineering, procurement, civil construction, erection and commissioning, project management and control, and quality assurance. In addition, it provides solar operations and maintenance solutions, comprising preventive and corrective maintenance, performance monitoring and analysis, equipment upgrades and retrofits, spare parts management, troubleshooting and fault resolution, and data management and reporting. It sells its products under the Suryava, Hypersol, Paradea, SOMERA, and PREXOS brand names. It also involved in rooftop projects. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Kolkata, India.